Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Suspense before intermission!

Unitech Sell Postionally

Nifty going to open gap up around 3410 due to global market.Sustain over 3445 nifty can see 3550 in coming days. Nifty below 3330 weak for today , Before the market takes a big break, we are in for a volatile session as traders weigh their moves in the F&O segment today

Among the key domestic indices, the Nifty may get support at 3305 and may test higher levels at 3420. The Sensex has a likely support at 10850 and on the upside could test 11150 levels

Stocks in news: RIL, Britannia Industries, Dr. Reddy’s Lab

We said, "upper shadow is indicating profit-booking ...
see if can hold Monday's low of 11176. Positive if it
does, else Green support line can be tested." Index
couldn't hold 11176, as a result of which, it lost over
3% and tested the Green support line as suspected.
Realty/Metals/Banks lost more, about 5%. A/D
worsened to 1:9.

The action formed a Belt Hold Line Bear candle, which
is bearish if selling continues below its low at 10961.
Such an action would open downsides testing previous
crucial support near 10719. On the other hand,
protecting its low can appear as an attempt to hold the
31-day long Green support line

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Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Midcaps to correct

Nifty Levels 28.04.09
Nifty Spot Support and Resistance for 28th April 2009
27.04.09 Total Gain of 82 Points in Bull and Bear market
Spot Previous Close: 3470
Resistance One : 3508
Resistance Two : 3549
Trend Reversal Point (intraday) : 3467
Support One : 3426
Support Two : 3385
Trend : Up
Happy Trading

Watch out for metal shares today. We are bearish on Steel stocks and advice booking profits and short seeling Tata Steel and SAIL at current prices of Rs 253 and Rs 111 respectively. Also, banking looks vulnerable after a a decent run yesterday.

We suspect huge F&O positions on the upside and there are strong indications that a major player is trying push the market towards the Nifty 3500 level. This is one of the major reason for the sort of resilience we have seen in the Indian markets inspite of a global meltdown.

There have been some gainers in the midcap space. The volumes have been really low in the winning stocks today a strong indication that the bulls are tired. The Sensex might hold as far as points are concerned, but stocks might suffer some losses. Thanks to the F&O expiry

DLF is experiencing selling pressure at higher levels. Utilise rallies to sell the stock, with tight stop-loss at Rs 252. The outlook remains positive as long as ICICI Bank trades above Rs 455 level. We recommend a buy. Infosys is pausing, avoid trading in this counter. Fresh long position can be initiated if L&T exceeds Rs 927 level, with stiff stop-loss. We recommend a sell in ONGC and Reliance Communications. Initiate fresh short position if Reliance Capital declines below Rs 515 and SBI tumbles below Rs 1,266, with tight stop-loss. RIL is moving sideways, desist trading in this counter for the session. Nifty future is witnessing selling interest around Rs 3,500 levels. Sell Nifty futures in rallies with tight stop-loss at Rs 3,495

Monday, April 27, 2009

Be Stock Specific

The stock of Cipla (Rs 240) might see some demand on the news of outbreak of swine flu across the globe. The generic drug Indian drug maker has the capability to manufacturing Tamiflu if needed. Reliance Industrial Infra has gained nearly 30 percent yesterday and is hovering close to Rs 800 levels. We have advice a sell on this stock at Rs 800 level in the previous weeks. The stock has corrected to Rs 600 and spiked by nearly 30 percent to Rs 796 on Friday. It will be a good idea to sell this stock around this level, as the valuations are far stretched.

TVS Motors (Rs 30), Core Projects, Jai Corp, Akruti City and Vishal Info are some stocks that are looking week for the coming sessions and investors might consider selling their holdings or short selling these stocks

Friday, April 17, 2009

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Thursday, April 16, 2009

View on indian media

Let us see the ownership of different media agencies

NDTV: A very popular TV news media is funded by Gospels of Charity In Spain Supports Communism. Recently it has developed a soft Corner towards Pakistan because Pakistan President has allowed only this Channel to be aired in Pakistan . Indian CEO Prannoy Roy is co-brother of Prakash Karat, General Secretary of the Communist Party of India . His wife and Brinda Karat are sisters.

India Today: which used to be the only national weekly which Supported BJP is now bought by NDTV!! Since then the tone has Changed drastically and turned into Hindu bashing.

CNN-IBN: This is 100 percent funded by Southern Baptist Church with Its branches in all over the world with HQ in US.. The Church Annually allocates $800 million for promotion of its channel. Its Indian head is Rajdeep Sardesai and his wife Sagarika Ghosh

Times group list: Times Of India, Mid-Day, Nav-Bharth Times, Stardust, Femina, Vijay Times, Vijaya Karnataka, Times now (24- hour news channel) and many More... Times Group is owned by Bennet & Coleman. 'World Christian Council¢ Does 80 percent of the Funding, and an Englishman and an Italian Equally share balance 20 percent. The Italian Robertio Mindo is a Close relative of Sonia Gandhi.

Star TV: It is run by an Australian, who is supported by St. Peters Pontifical Church Melbourne .

The Hindu: English daily, started over 125 years ago has been recently Taken over by Joshua Society, Berne , Switzerland .. N. Ram's wife Is a Swiss national

Indian Express: Divided into two groups. The Indian Express and New Indian Express (southern edition) ACTS Christian Ministries have Major stake in the Indian Express and latter is still with the Indian counterpart.

Asian Age and Deccan Chronicle: Is owned by a Saudi Arabian Company With its chief Editor M.J. Akbar

Gujarat riots which took place in 2002 where Hindus were burnt Alive, Rajdeep Sardesai and Bharkha Dutt working for NDTV at that Time got around 5 Million Dollars from Saudi Arabia to cover only Muslim victims, which they did very faithfully... Not a single Hindu Family was interviewed or shown on TV whose near and dear ones had Been burnt alive, it is reported.

Tarun Tejpal of Tehelka.Com regularly gets blank cheques from Arab Countries to target BJP and Hindus only, it is said. The ownership Explains the control of media in India by foreigners. The result is obvious.

So what you understand about INDIAN MEDIA

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Now.....Major Question in Everyone Mind is.......When to Offload their..........MONTH OLD HOLDING.............

Don't Worry @ All

We'll Be the First..........to Let u Know.......When to Exit

Realty, Power and Banking were in the limelight in yesterday's trade and the trend is likely o continue in these sectors.New economy stocks like Suzlon, Reliance Comm are looking technically string and might carry their gains forward.

We have seen strong momentum in logistics, Oil and drilling stocks in yesterdays' trade. alindee rail is our favorite among the infra related stocks. Essar oil has made a huge move and more speculative action is not ruled out. This stock is only for investors with huge appetite. Punters are back in the ring with stocks like Mudra Life, Renaissance Jewellery and Inox leisure hitting 20 percent circuit.

We advice investors not to get carried away with the spike in the secind rung counters. It is advisable to stick with 'best of the breed' and be safe, than sorry

DELIVERY CALLS

RNRL : Target 75+

RPOWER : Target.......150+

RELIANCE IND.: Target 1950+

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Consolidation time on the Street, All eyes on Infy

Stocks in India are likely to open lower and consolidate at the current levels barring a negative news on the results from Infosys. Expect the sensex to give up neary 150 to 200 points or 2 percent for the day.

We expect Infosys to report numbers'inline' with the markets expectation and the guidance is expected to be a lower and might spell trouble for the company's stock price which hovering around Rs 1400 level

Our favorite stock, Rolta spiked by more than 40 percent yesterday crossing the Rs 100 mark. we advice investors to book profits at these levels and re-enter the stok at Rs 80 level, as the long term fundamentals still look good for the company. Stay away from fancy stocks like prime focus and operator driven stocks like Prithvi Info. It is consolidation time on the street and expect some correction to set in, first thing in the morning


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Monday, April 13, 2009

Market may target 200 DMA at 3,450 in coming weeks

The massive resistance at around 3,450 is unlikely to be overcome unless there is a volume explosion.

The market continued to surge ahead. The Nifty hit intra-days highs of 3,400-plus before settling to close at 3,342 points for a gain of 4.08 per cent. The Sensex was up 4.4 per cent at 10,803 points. The Defty gained 4.75 per cent as the rupee recovered to above the 50 level.

While FIIs were heavy buyers through the week, domestic institutions also bought, thereby contributing to the rally. Volumes rose perceptibly in both the cash and derivative segments. The advances-to-declines ratio was positive. The broader BSE 500 was up 5.2 per cent.

Outlook: Most of the signals were positive and the market tested resistance at around 3,400. However, the rally is looking overbought and a reaction is overdue. There is massive resistance at around 3,450. That is unlikely to be overcome unless there's a volume explosion. On the downside, there's support at around 3,225 and strong secondary support at 3,100.

Rationale: The market has seen gains of over 31 per cent since March 6, rallying from the 2,539 mark. It was unable to beat resistance between 3,350 and 3,400, though it tested that level in the last two sessions. Momentum signals are overbought and the RSI is also pretty high. This could mean a reaction. If this is a typical bear market rally, the downturn would be severe. The market could easily lose back the 30 per cent it has gained in the next four weeks.

Counter-view: The 200 Day Moving Average is between 3,440 and 3,470, depending on method of computation. If the Nifty closes above that level, there would be room for optimism and hopes that the long-term bear market was coming to an end. In theory, the rally could last for up to six weeks. But proximity to elections and Fibonacci time calculations suggest that it is likely to peter out within the next 5-10 sessions. Either way, expect high intra-day volatility on high volumes.

Bulls & Bears: The Nifty Junior and Midcaps 50 outperformed the Nifty/Sensex pair this week, mainly because the gainers within these indices rose far more than the losers fell. Metals, real estate and housing finance stocks were among the bullish drivers with most major banks also doing well.

IT stocks saw a small pullback as the rupee strengthened. However more than short-term currency fluctuations, Infosys' 2008-09 results and advisory are liable to prove crucial to future direction in IT industry scrips. Towards the end of the truncated week, stocks started running into resistance at higher levels, mirroring the position of the indices.

MICRO TECHNICALS

ICICI Bank
Current price: Rs 398
Target price: Rs 365

The stock is ripe for some profit-booking. It's hitting resistance above Rs 400. On the downside, there is support between Rs 360-Rs 370 and that is likely to be tested on intra-day basis at least. Keep a stop at Rs 405 and go short. Book profits below Rs 365. Be prepared for 10 per cent intra-day swings.

Punj Lloyd
Current price: Rs 114
Target price: Rs 125

The stock has made what seems like a valid breakout from a base at Rs 105. It has a potential target of Rs 125. Keep a stop at Rs 110 and go long. Start booking profits above Rs 122. If the stock dips below Rs 106, the next reliable support is at Rs 97. So a short would be possible.

Suzlon Energy
Current price: Rs 57.5
Target price: Rs 63

The stock has made a breakout past resistance at Rs 54 on a volume expansion. It has a potential target of Rs 63 and perhaps Rs 65. Keep a stop at Rs 55 and go long. There is massive resistance at Rs 67- Rs 68 so the stock is very unlikely to cross the level.

LIC Housing
Current price: Rs 282
Target price: Rs 300

The stock has broken out past resistance at Rs 250 on high volumes. It could achieve a target of about 300. Keep a stop at Rs 276 and go long. Be prepared for major bursts of volatility in what is usually a very stable stock. Book some profits above the Rs 290-mark.

Unitech
Current price: Rs 42
Target price: Rs 48

The stock has moved up on strong volume expansion. It has a potential upside till the Rs 48 level and if there is a burst of profit-booking, it could collapse back till the Rs 37-Rs 38 level. Keep a stop at Rs 40.5 and go long. Start booking profits above Rs 46.

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All eye will be on Satyam Computers today, as the winner in the bidding process is likely to be revealed today. The price is likely to be between Rs50- Rs55 according to market sources. Technology will be the hot sector to watch out in the next few days. Infosys Technologies is expected to announce its Q4 numbers on Wednesday and these numbers are likely to set the tone for the Indian markets in the short run.

We believe that sme of the midcaps have moved up too much too fast and it is in the best interests of the investors to book some profits in theses stocks. We strongly recommend investors paring their holdings in stocks like Essar Oil and Reliance Ind Infra at the current levels

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Thursday, April 9, 2009

Positive opening on cards, Sensex close to 11,000 mark

Watch out for sesa Goa, Tata Steel and Hindalco in this space.

Power stocks might be attractive in today's trade and NTPC is ikely to move higher after announcing expansion plans. GVK Power is another stock we are bullish about, as the stock looks attractive at the current levels.

It is time to book some profits in stocks that have made a vertical move up. Exit stocks like Reliance Infra, prime focus, Kavveri Telecom and Spice Communication in this rally. Overall, the markets are expected to finish the short week on a positive note.

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Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Market to correct sharply, Exit speculative Midcaps

As mention on Monday be on bear side for Today markets are likely to correct sharply. Expect the becnhmark index to lose 4 percent or more than 400 points for the day, as investors are likely to book profits

As expected the markets are ripe for correction and we might see a huge wave of selling in the first hour of trade. Some of our favorite short selling trades today is Reliance Communications (Rs 218) which has gained over 70 percent from its 52 week low, Metal stocks like Tata Steel and Hindalco are other stocks in the index that might correct and might provide a great opportunity to short.

We advice investors to get rid of speculative stocks that have been on rage in the past few weeks. Investors can look at booking profits in Essar Oil, Deccan Chronicle and Nagarjuan Constructions that have gained nearly 80 to 100 percent in the past month. Bears are likely to dominate the whole day. We advice investors against bottom fishing in this market

Buy Hpcl And Sell cairn for unlimited Profit

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Monday, April 6, 2009

Nifty 3300+ Seems

Tech sector might steal the thunder today as the sector has underperformed the Sensex in the past few weeks. Also the news of two multi-million contracts being awarded to HCL Tech, might provide the mich needed fuel for technology stocks. We like midcap stocks like Mastek and Mindree in this space from a trading perspective

Hospital stocks like Apollo Hospitals and Fortis Healthcare are also likely to be under the radar as Wockhardt plans to sell 24% of stake in its subsidiary Wockhardt Hospitals

Radar stock - Hcl,Satyam.....


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Thursday, April 2, 2009

Bulls in command, Midcaps to lead the rally

we strongly recommend Bajaj Hindustan Sugar at the current level of Rs 50 for atleast a 20 percent appreciation.


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Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Time to book some profits, Keep an eye on sugar stocks

SELL
Wockpharma - target for clients

We might see a small bull back in banking and real estate stocks today.

Investors can book some profits in metal stocks like Tata steel and Hindalco on an upmove today. Most of the action is likely to be limited to the speculative midcap stocks.

Tea stocks were hot yesterday and its time to take a break these stocks. Book profits in Harrison Malyalam and Jayshree Tea, as the move is not convincing. ICSA, Skumars Nationwide and Bajaj Hindustan are the stocks to watch out for the next few sessions. Finally, we don't make tea without sugar. So watch out for Sugar stocks to rally today

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