Tuesday, June 30, 2009

One Need to Subscribe for Stock and Nifty levels

Watch out for Oil stocks like Cairn India for some gains today.

In an interesting development, the government is proposing to increase foreign direct investment in Direct-to-Home (DTH) to 74 per cent, and up to 24 per cent in FM Radio.We like Dish TV Rs 40.10, Sun Tv Rs 243 and our favorite Rs 179. Bag Films and Adlabs are other companies that have minor exposure to FM radio.

Investors have punished Tata Motors, which fell more than 8 percent on reporting huge loss for the quarter and the Suzlon Energy got it's share of treatment as investors dumped the stock after lacklustre results. It will be interesting to see how the stock of Pyramid Saimira reacts to the news of sale of its assets abroad.

As expected midcaps fared better yesterday with a 1.14 percent against a 0.14 percent gain on the Sensex. JP Hydro, Praj Ind, Indus Ind Bank, Educomp and Glory Polyfilms are some of the stocks to keep on radar from a short term perspective.

Monday, June 29, 2009

One Need to Subscribe for Stock and Nifty levels

Expect a flat market in Indian markets, as most of the activity will be limited to stocks that might benefit from the budget. Tata Motors is one stock, we are bullish in today's trade, as the news of JLR entry to India is likely to boost the stock price from current level of Rs 340. Any positive news on the loan front will be a bonus for investors betting on this scrip.

It will be interesting to watch Suzlon (Rs 123) today, as markets will decide if they are going punish the scrip for the quarterly loss, or reward the company for registering a sales growth of more than 80 percent.Wockhardt Ltd might get some breathing room from its financial woes, as the company sold its animal health division to a French company for an undisclosed sum. We like Fortis Healthcare in the hospital space (Rs 100).

Investors are likely to focus on midcaps as we have not seen any interest in the index based stocks. The Sensex is likely to hover around the current levels. Traders can keep a close eye on Vakrangee Software, Gitanjali Gems, Titagarh Wagons,Adlabs and VIP Ind in today's trade.

Friday, June 26, 2009

Infosys Track

Realty, Oil & Gas and Banks might outperform the broader market. Crude made a come back on Thursday to nearly $69.50 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as prices hover under the year's peak on economic concerns. Watch out for Cairn Energy and Reliance Petroleum in this space.

Meanwhile the race for Great Offshore Rs 413 is heating up, as ABG is likely to make a revised offer soon, to trump Bharati Shipyard counter offer. We still maintain a target of Rs 450 on this stock.The stock of Unitech might see a sigh of relief. Unitech is poised for another upmove after a decent gain yesterday. The stock might reach Rs 92 in Friday's session.

Bartronics India was locked in circuit Rs 170, on speculation that the company will be a front runner in the newly announces 'Identity Card' program by the government. The stock has a long way to go from here. JP Hydro was another mover on huge volumes on some fund buying. Max India,BEML, D-Link and Hotel Leela are some of the stocks to watch out in today's trade

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Nifty Btst book in good Profits

Banking, Power and Realty sectors are likely to outperform other sectors in today's trade. IT sector might witness some demand as gains in the technology laden Nasdaq might rub on to the Software stocks. Suzlon Energy has witnessed heavy buying among the NSE-50 stocks and the uptrend is likely to continue.

HDFC, ICICI Bank and Sterlite Ind remained subdued on Wednesday. Expect a mart pull back in ICICI Bank an HDFC, which might gain from reforms on the housing front. Dewan Housing Finance was also locked in 10 percent circuit as housing finance companies were in demand.

The stock of Educomp is on fire and surged by nearly 11 percent to 3,421 on news of investment from UK based publishing company, Pearson. Torrent Power gained more than 15 percent on huge volumes, on expectations of power reforms in the budget. Unitech, FACT, Glenmark Pharma and Pyramid Saimira are worth taking a look from a trading perspective.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Book nifty btst on Profit

Metals and Realty which have been the laggards in the past week are likely to bounce after taking a hard hit in the past 5 trading sessions. Watch out for a pull back in DLF and Unitech in Realty space and Sterlite Ind, Hindalco and Tata Steel. We like Tata Steel from a trading perspective.

Mahindra Satyam is likely to be merged eventually with the parent Tech Mahindra some time soon. This is bad news for Satyam shareholders as we believe that the swap ratio will be unfavorable to the current share holders of the Satyam Computers. It is a good idea to exit the stock at the current level of Rs 73.

In a separate development the race for Great Offshore Ltd is heating up as ABG Shipyard announced a counter bid to trump Bharti Shipyard's offer. We recommend a 'Buy'on Great Off Shore even at the current level of Rs 413. There is a possible upside of nearly 10 percent left in the stock.

We are likely to see a small rally in the run up to the budget. There are some decent stocks in Infra Structure, Auto, Textiles and Engineering space. We will provide the picks to the subscribers soon. Also, there are couple of stocks that might take a big hit from the budget. For day traders, Gateway Distriparks, Punj Lloyd, SUN TV and Gujarat Alkalies are some of the stocks to keep on the radar.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

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Tata Motors on Tuesday announced the first 1,00,000 lucky buyers of the popular small segment car 'Nano', and said that the names have been selected through a random computerised process.

Buy around 4120-30 nifty

Steel shares are weak with few midcap banks...Sell n make profit during first half session

HPCL, BPCL ,IOC are good buy in morning session(profit book on time/rise)

There are rumors in the market that IFCI, is looking to rake in a partner and is considering various possibilities. We think that this far from happening and any up move in the stock could be used to exit the stock in the short term. Investors are also advised to stay away from speculative midcaps in the current market scenario.

On the flip side, we believe that the current correction will provide long term investors to 'accumulate' select stocks. We like some stocks in Healthcare and some select 'value' stocks which could provide a decent gains in the run up to the budget. We advise day traders to take small positions after a drop of nearly 2.5 percent on the Sensex as there is a possibility of a minor pull back.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Railway Stock in action

Stocks likely to trade up in early trade and Second half session is to watch As Nifty only below 4300 could see small selling otherwise 4360-70 is maximum level what we could see for today

We have some picks for our subscribers to benefit from the railway budget.

Stayam Computer services will go by 'Mahindra Satyam' pulling the curtains on the dark past of the IT bellwether.The stock of Reliance Communications Rs 305 is likely to be in limelight as news reports suggest that the world's largest mobile company,China Mobile is mulling to pursue strategic alliance and a possible equity partnership of 5 percent in the ADAG company.Expect some early fire works in the stock.

Short term investors could place some calculated bets on stocks that are likely to benefit from budgetary reforms. Traders could look at a minor up move in metals and select midcaps in today's trade. Gujarat Industrial Power, Bartronics,Insecticides India, Religare Enterprises and BGR Energy are the stocks to keep on the radar in Monday's trade

Friday, June 19, 2009

Nifty can close in Green

As mentioned in our pre-market review Realty and Metal stocks continued their slide with the sectoral indices losing nearly 5 percent for the day. Tata Steel and unitech which were highlighted in review section yesterday were among the major losers with Unitech falling nearly 10 percent for the day.

We believe it is time for a small pull back in the beaten down sectors. Metals might bounce back after 3 days of correction. Also, we would like to reiterate our bullish view on the healthcare sector and especially generic drug manufacturers. Also, IT looked resilient in a weak market as the sector managed to end the day with a small gain.

We would like to focus on Auto sector in today's section. The stocks of Tata Motors, Mahindra and Ashok Leyland are due for a good pull back as investors might bid up the shares in this sector on hopes of revival in demand for four wheelers. Auto Ancillaries also look attractive at current levels and Amtek Auto is our pick in this space.

Speculative midcaps might grab some attention after getting trashed for the past few days.On Mobile, Royal Orchid Hotels, Neyveli Lignite, Crew BOS and KEI Industries are some of the stocks that might catch fire if there is a rally in the market

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Expect the benchmark index or the Sensex to trade in a band of nearly 1 percent with some upside momentum.

We have seen a deep correction in Realty and Metals sectors and these sectors likely to be under pressure even in today's morning trade. Tata Steel was a major loser among the NSE-50 stocks and there is some more room for correction in the coming days. We have recommended investors to do some 'short selling' in Unitech and this has worked well. The stock made a high of Rs.92 and reached an intra day low of Rs 82which coincided with our intra day target.

One sectors that looks healthy even in this chaotic scenario is healthcare. We like Fortis Healthcare on a pull back here as the might be reaping the benefits of growing hospital industry and also the consolidation. Wockhardt Hospitals is again in news, as the company sold its German unit and is also looking sell stake in its hospital business. This might bode well for Wockhardt in the long run.

We like the generic drug market, as this space is likely to attract great deal of interest in the coming days. Cipla Ltd, Reddy's and Aurobindo stand out in this space along with Sun Pharma. Investors who would like to play safe can look in to this sector as these stocks have been defensive plays in volatile market.ABG Shipyard, On Mobile Ltd, Berger Paints and GSS America might be the stocks in the midcap space to closely watch ahead of some key events

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Be stock Specific , Nifty range 4450-4550

We have seen some decent move in ADAG group companies yesterday with Reliance Capital and Reliance Infra making decent gains.We still believe that the market is not a safe place to be in the current markets. Go short in Realty, Metal and some speculative midcaps.

Unitech looks like a good bet for the shorts, as the company has announce plans to issue nearly a billion shares diluting the equity. We believe that the company has a long way to go and might face severe head winds if the economic crisis deepens.At around Rs 90 level, it looks over valued considering the effect of dilution on its earnings power. If by any chance, we see a spike on the news of the offering, sell this stock to make decent money for a target of Rs 82.

Satyam Computers is one stock one could look for a bullish up move as the stock has consolidated at Rs 80 level. Traders with some risk appetite could look in to getting in to this stock for a target of Rs 85. This pick is strictly for traders. Max India (Rs 227) might spike and might breach the 52 week high of Rs 245 on news of possible sale according to a leading business daily.

Wire & Wireless, Zee News, GSFC, Zee news are some of the midcaps to watch ahead of the Q4 numbers. Today might not turn out to be a good one for the bulls. We are not being a bear by being overly pessimistic. Just wanted to caution you that there is room for a pull back here. Long term investors who have a 18-24 month horizon there is nor reason to panic, if you are holding blue chips.

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

BPCL, HPCL good buy

Bears are likely to dominate Tuesday's session on Dalal Street, as negative global cues and profit booking might take a toll on the Sensex. Expect the benchmark index to give up nearly 2 percent or nearly 300 points and might test the crucial technical support of 14,520.00

Metals stocks took a beating on Monday as expected. Sterlite Ind, Tata Steel and SAIL were among the major losers on the Nifty as predicted by us yesterday. We might see further correction in Realty, Metal and this might spread to Consumer Goods and Durables today.

RNRL was a high flier yesterday as the stock jumped by nearly 25 percent to Rs 108 on the news of favorable court ruling. We advise investors to book partial profits int his stock, as the legal battle might extend for few months or years as RIL is likely to move to the higher court. It is a good idea to sit out of the markets today, as ther will be only few opportunities to trade. The market is likely to open low stealing away the opportunity to short at attractive prices. We advise investors not to short the market after a 2 percent fall in Sensex, intraday.

Monday, June 15, 2009

Nifty close Below 4550 we can see 4450

Tea stock to watch and Reliance

Stocks on Dalal Street are likely to undergo a small correction in the morning session. Investors are likely to book profits and lock in their gains after a humongous run on the Sensex for the past three and half months. The Sensex has gained 87 percent after the March 9th bottom. Expect the benchmark index to correct more than a percent or nearly 200 points for the day

There is a strong chance of a pull back in crude on Monday. We advise investors to book some profits and a little bit off the table. Metals are likely to correct and might underperform other sectors. Book profits in Sterlite Ind, Tata Steel and Hindalco. Realty will also be under pressure this morning as the stocks in this sector are technically weak after a 9 percent fall last week.

There is a strong chance for the Sensex to breach the 15,000 level on the downside. Midcaps are the most vulnerable as investors will refrain from taking on more risk and bet on these stocks. The Midcap space has been under selling pressure last week and this is likely to continue, atleast on Monday.

Friday, June 12, 2009

Ferlizer Stock On Radar

Commodity stocks which have been the new darlings for the street have led the gainers on Thursday and are likely to jump further on Friday. The stocks in this sector like Sesa Goa, Sterlite Ind and Tata steel look good from a trading perspective.

Sugar as a sector looks good in the current market Bajaj Hindustan, Triveni Eng an Balrampur Chini looks good for short term traders. Tulip IT, Gateway Distriparks and Noida Toll Bridge have seen a decent upmove with good volume action. Further gains are not ruled out. Expect a dull day of trade with minor gains on the Sensex, GAIL India, SREI Infra, D-Link are some of the stocks to keep on radar for day traders


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Thursday, June 11, 2009

Buy in dips..Carin our Pick

Subdued credit growth is another worry. Monsoon could be lower than expected. Budget may disappoint. Exports are sliding. Fundamentals of India Inc. are yet to catch up with the surge in stocks. Considering these headwinds, one may argue that the recent run-up has gone too far, too fast. On the bright side, the downside may not be scary

Energy and drilling stocks will be the bright spot in today's market, as crude prices soared overnight, as supplies tightened. Light, sweet crude for July delivery settled $1.32, or 1.9%, higher at $71.33 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the highest settlement since Oct. 20, 2008. Watch out for stocks like Cairn Energy, Essar Oil, Jindal Drilling and Shiv-Vani Oil Exploration.

We advise caution and it is a great idea to sit on the sidelines as the market is getting unpredictable at these levels. Oil related stocks, Everonn Systems, Hindustan oil Exploration and SREI Infra are the stocks to watch out for investors who are willing to take some risk

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Mid Cap IT Sector in focus.Book BTST in nifty with good profits

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Metal stocks expected to rally after a slew of upgrades for the steel makers from global investment banks. Commodity prices continued to rise in the on hopes of a increase in global demand. Expect Sterlite Ind, Tata Steel and SAIL to lead the gainers list.

IT stocks might continue to rise after better than expected numbers from Satyam Computers. The stocks will likely open in circuit for the second day in a row. Also keep a close eye on Maytas Infra which is likely to be locked in circuit. We like second rung IT stocks like Rolta, Polaris and Geodesic at current levels for a quick trade.

Expect a 100 point gain on the Sensex with some fire works in the midcap space. GVK Power & Infra, Dewan Housing, Satyam Computers and some select second rung IT stocks are likely to be in focus for Wednesday's trade.

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Small pull back expected after a massive sell off

Realty stocks were major losers in yesterday's trade with the sectoral index losing more than 10 percent for the day. Metal stocks were under pressure as investors booked some profit. We expect a minor pull back in Realty stocks , but metal stocks might fare better than scrips in realty sector.

News of PE firms like TPG being the front runner to pick up stake in Pantaloon Retail might bring back some interest in to the retail stocks to some extent. Investors have turned cautious with the sharp fall we have seen yesterday and this might rule out big gains for the midcaps in today's trade.

The breadth of the market is negative with most of the speculative stocks in the 'B' group finding no buyers in Monday's trade. Expect a similar situation in these stocks even in today's trade. Only one stock advanced for every 9 stocks that declined on the Bombay Stock Exchange reflecting the pessimism in the market.

To wrap up, there is a chance of a pull back in the markets today and risk averse individuals might consider this as an opportunity to lighten their positions in low quality stocks

Monday, June 8, 2009

Nifty Stbt Book in Profit

There are two sets of news reports that might impact on the markets this morning.Members of Sebi have suggested a phased reduction of the securities transaction tax, as part of a package of measures to develop the capital markets that was discussed with FM late in May. Meanwhile HDFC Bank has revised upwards India's growth forecast from 5.8 per cent to 6.5 per cent for FY 10.

Traders could concentrate on Oil stocks like ONGC and Cairn India (Rs 259) for quick gains as oil prices continue to climb and is likely to breach the $ 70/barrel. The stock of Unitech might see some buying interest on the news that the company plans its debt by selling some assets.The going for the market from the current level is going t be tough.

Investors are likely to selective and only few winners might emerge from current levels. We have recommended one multi-bagger in Healthcare and a swing trading call in Engineering sector today.

Some of the stocks to watch in today's trade are; Gwalior Chemical which is set to report Q4 numbers today, Saregama ahead of its preferential issue, VIP Ind before its quarterly numbers on tuesday. Over all, a flat to positive market with some sparks in the midcap space

Friday, June 5, 2009

Buy Banks .....Profit Today for You

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Cairn Hot Buy

Metals and Oil stocks might lead the rally today as the sectors are the first to benefit from a global recovery. Focus on Cairn Energy from the Oil sector and Sterlite Ind, SAIL, Tata Steel are the picks in the Metals sector. We might also witness some interest in Real estate stocks like DLF and Unitech.

Coming to stocks specific action, Guj NRE Coke looks tempting at Rs 56 after the news of take over of mines in Australia. We reiterate a 'Buy' on Shipping Corp and ITI, especially after the news of aid to the telecom firm from the government. We also like Bharti Shipyard, ABG Shipyard and last but not the least drilling stocks like Great Offshore, Aban Offshore and Jindal drilling

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Yesterday Stbt nifty Book in Profit

FMCG stocks sprung back to life in yesterday's trade as investors bet on sectors that have underperformed in the past 12 months. Textile stocks were on fire on hopes of favorable textile policy in the soming budegt. Some tax relief and relaxation of FDI norms is on cards. Stocks like Arvind Mills, Alok Textile and Skumar's were active and are likely to be major beneficiaries of the measure.

Leather and Apparel stocks are also seeing some demand, as stocks like Crew BoS, Mirza tanneries and Evinix Apparel have shown a bullish pattern on Wednesday's trade. Oil related stocks like Cairn India might come under some pesuure after fall in crude prices. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, July crude settled down $2.43, or 3.54 percent, at $66.12.

Overall the market is expected to remain in the negative territory, barring some gains in select midcap stocks.Watch out for some select stocks like Power Finance Corporation, Jyothy Laboratories, Nagreeka Exports and Divi's Laboatories.

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

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The markets have traded in negative territory for the most of Tuesday but managed to close above the dotted line in the final hour of trade.Consumer durables, metal and auto sectors performed relatively better than rest of the sectors. Tata Steel, SAIL and Tata Motors were among the major gainers and these stocks are likely to be firm today.

We like some select stocks in today's trade.The stocks of Satyam computer is likely to steal the limelight for the second day in a row as there is some speculative build up by the operators ahead of the closure of the open offer. The stock might touch Rs 70 in the coming days and is a good bet for traders with risk appetite.

We also like the oil pack HPCL, BPCL & IOC ahead of the regualtion and believe that there is still a 20-30 percent move left in these stocks. Micap and smallcap stocks might cool off a bit, as they ae witnessing some profit booking after a massive run up.

For today's trade watch out for tea stocks like Mcleod Russel, Infra stocks like Orbit Corp, GMR Infra and last but not the least Power Finance Corporation and NALCO might join the parade. Overall, expect a positive day but not do not expect a big up move

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Fertilizer related Stock to watch

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Commodities might lead the bull run as the prices of metals firmed up due to the falling dollar. Crude was a major beneficiary of the weakness in the dollar. The price of oil touched $ 68 mark today in Nymex. Cairn India, Essar Oil and Reliance Petroleum might trade up. In the metal space we stock with Sterlite Ind.
Auto Stocks like Tata Motors and Mahindra might catch some attention as they are likely to benefit at least to some extent, by the branktptcy of US auto giant GM.We like Tata Motors in particular from the auto space.

There was some brisk trading in some select Hotel stocks yesterday. Hotel Leela has seen a volume of more than 12 million shares on the NSE and the scrip was locked in 20 percent circuit.Other stocks in the sector like Taj GVK and Royal Orchid ended with strong gains.HPCL, IndiaBulls Real Estate, Power Finance and GMR Infra along with airline stocks like Spice Jet and Kingfisher Air are the stocks to keep on radar for today's trade.

Monday, June 1, 2009

Buy RCOM,ADLABS in truck load.

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We like commodity related stocks like Sterlite Ind, SAIL and Hindalco on today's trading. Metals sector is taking a bet in the short term as hot money is flowing in to these sectors and we might see a sharp move on some speculative buying.

Shipping is another sector we think is a decent trade at current levels. Investors could bet on recovery in global trade and firming shipment rates. The Baltic Dry index that tracks the shipping rates has vaulted by 96 percent for the month of May.Shipping related stocks like Bharati Shipyard, Great Offshore Ltd and shipping stocks like Mercator lines, Varun Shipping and Shipping Corp might see some demand.

Oil stocks are looking hot ahead of deregulation and HPCL, BPCL, Indian Oil are some of the major beneficiaries of the move. Also watch out for stocks like Vishal Retail, Opto circuits, Nalco and Mcleod Russel in today's trade.Over all a flat to negative day with stock specific activity in the offing for investors in Dalal Street.