Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Be stock Specific , Nifty range 4450-4550

We have seen some decent move in ADAG group companies yesterday with Reliance Capital and Reliance Infra making decent gains.We still believe that the market is not a safe place to be in the current markets. Go short in Realty, Metal and some speculative midcaps.

Unitech looks like a good bet for the shorts, as the company has announce plans to issue nearly a billion shares diluting the equity. We believe that the company has a long way to go and might face severe head winds if the economic crisis deepens.At around Rs 90 level, it looks over valued considering the effect of dilution on its earnings power. If by any chance, we see a spike on the news of the offering, sell this stock to make decent money for a target of Rs 82.

Satyam Computers is one stock one could look for a bullish up move as the stock has consolidated at Rs 80 level. Traders with some risk appetite could look in to getting in to this stock for a target of Rs 85. This pick is strictly for traders. Max India (Rs 227) might spike and might breach the 52 week high of Rs 245 on news of possible sale according to a leading business daily.

Wire & Wireless, Zee News, GSFC, Zee news are some of the midcaps to watch ahead of the Q4 numbers. Today might not turn out to be a good one for the bulls. We are not being a bear by being overly pessimistic. Just wanted to caution you that there is room for a pull back here. Long term investors who have a 18-24 month horizon there is nor reason to panic, if you are holding blue chips.