Monday, June 30, 2008

A royal pull back indeed!

Indian stock market volatile, Nifty (4137) S 4050 R 4210

Bullish break out- Ifci, contain corp, cairn,idea,geometric ltd.

Today, we see another tumultuous day for the bulls, which should begin with a cautious opening. The intra-day choppiness will continue and one may see some buying at lower levels, though the rebound may prove to be short-lived.

The next big trigger will come from the first-quarter results, which will be declared over the next few days. As always, IT sector will lead the way, with Infosys announcing its results on July 11.

Among stock specific news, Blue Green Constructions and Investments could be in action as the board will met to sell majority stake to discount retailer Subhiksha

This week, the ECB (European Central Bank) will take a call on interest rates. If it decides to jack up rates to fight inflation, there will be more trouble for the dollar. On the domestic front, the political situation has once again turned precarious with the Congress determined to go ahead with the nuke deal, and the Left reiterating its threat of pulling down the Government

Results Today: Ansal Infra, Asian Hotels, BEML, Bombay Dyeing, BPL, Deccan Chronicle, Gammon India, India Cement, Indo Rama Synthetics, Ispat, MMTC, Madras Cement, Matrix Labs, Pfizer, REI Agro, Sun TV, Trent, TVS Motor and Wyeth.

ANG Auto will consider buy back of shares
HT Media surged by over 4 percent to Rs101 as the company reportedly acquired 0.65% stake in real estate major Sunil Mantri Realty for Rs200mn. HT bought equity shares of Re1 at a price of Rs125. The company plans to use the funds for new projects. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs102 and a low of Rs92 and recorded volumes of over 5,00,000 shares on BSE.

Sun Pharma edged lower by 0.8% to Rs1333 after reports stated that the company has launched a hostile bid for Taro Pharma. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs1382 and a low of Rs1305 and recorded volumes of over 92,000 shares on BSE.

Jet Airways dropped by 5.2% to Rs490 after reports stated that the company may post Rs20bn loss in two years. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs509 and a low of Rs488 and recorded volumes of over 14,000 shares on BSE.

Cairn India advanced by 1.4% to Rs275 after crude oil prices hits all time high of US$141.71/bbl. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs282 and a low of Rs267 and recorded volumes of over 23,00,000 shares on BSE.

Allcargo Global rose 2.5% to Rs825. The board of directors of the company said that it deferred the decision on sub-division (split) of nominal value of equity shares of Rs10 each. They have also recommended final dividend of 30% (Rs3 per share). The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs825 and a low of Rs751 and recorded volumes of over 43,000 shares on BSE.

Bafna Pharmaceuticals started trading at Rs43.7 against the issue price of Rs40. The scrip finally closed at Rs38.50 translating slipping below its issue price of Rs40 per share. It hit an intra-day high of Rs47 and a low of Rs37.3 and recorded volumes of over 2,00,00,000 shares on BSE.

The company offered 64,00,000 equity shares of Rs10 each for cash at premium of Rs30 per share. The issue to the public constituted 40.05% of the post issue paid-up capital.

The Chennai-based Bafna Pharmaceuticals is engaged in the manufacturing of betalactum and non-betalactum pharmaceutical formulations in tablets, capsules and liquid forms. The company manufactures 126 formulations under various therapeutic segments such as anti-infective, cholesterol lowering agents, analgesic and antipyretic, antihelmintics, appetite stimulants, cough & cold preparations, antiulcerants anti diabetic and vitamins .

The proceeds of the issue would be utilized towards brand building exercise in domestic market. It intends to register the company, products and create brand in international markets. Bafna would also strengthen up R&D facility at its grantlayon plant besides getting MHRA certification. It is also proposing to retire high-cost debts through the IPO proceeds.

Anant Raj Industries advanced by 5% to Rs142 after the company announced that that M/s. Acacia Real Estate Ltd, a Bahrain based development fund has entered into a joint venture agreement with the company to acquire minority stake in one of its wholly owned subsidiary, Anant Raj Projects Pvt Ltd for Rs2.16bn.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs153 and a low of Rs126 and recorded volumes of over 59,000 shares on BSE.

Renuka Sugars has slipped by 1.5% to Rs107. The company announced that it commenced production at its Haldia Sugar Refinery, having a refining capacity of 2000 metric tons sugar per day and Power cogeneration plant of 15 MW.

The scrip has touched an intra-day high of Rs107 and a low of Rs105 and has recorded volumes of over 3,00,000 shares on BSE.

Unitech plans to dilute 26% stake in its telecom arm to a foreign company. (TOI)

Reliance Industries may tie up with BP or Shell for bidding for new oil blocks under NELP VII round.(ET)

Daiichi Sankyo may sell debt to raise half the cost of its US$4.6bn acquisition of Ranbaxy Laboratories.(BS)

India’s crude oil production rose by 3.2% in May on back of better performance by ONGC.(FE)

Jupiter Biosciences acquires a facility of Merck in Switzerland and signs a five year agreement for its peptide products with the latter’s biosciences company.(BL)

Apollo Tyres launches capacity expansion at its Africa plants.(BL)

ONGC to start commercial production from Jaria-Parbatpur block by early 2009.(BL)

SAIL plans to run its own fleet of vessels in partnership with public as well as private players to ship imported cooking coal.(ET)

Unitech plans to invest Rs40bn in hospitality business in the next five years.(DNA)

China-based Dongfang Electric Corp. may tie up with BHEL or L&T for its proposed manufacturing unit in India.(ET)

Kingfisher Airlines receives an in-principle approval from ICICI Bank for a Rs10bn loan facility.(ET)

ONGC Videsh decides to surrender its Qatar block as reserves are low and not commercially viable.(BL)

M&M arm FirstChoice Wheels plans to invest Rs2bn in the next five years for its expansion.(TOI)

GMR Group plans to create holding firms for its three primary businesses and list them overseas.(Mint)

Food and grocery retail chain Subhiksha to invest Rs12bn by 2010.(BS)

Holcim divides the operations of its two companies, ACC and Ambuja Cements India, into three regions.(ET)

Essar group plans port terminal for LNG and a container cargo facility and depots.(Mint)

Cairn India and ONGC have nearly finalized the plan for joint development of Ambe and North Tapti offshore marginal gas fields on the Gujarat coast.(BL)

AT&T is likely to buy 74% stake held by Maxis Communication in Aircel.(ET)

Subhiksha Trading Services, which runs country’s largest food & grocery discount retail chain, acquires majority stake in Chennai based Blue Green Constructions and Investments.(BL)

Future Group plans to split Big Bazaar into two entities.(ET)

Duncan Tea has tied up with Essel Group’s portal itzcash.com for online retailing of tea.(ET)

Reliance Retail is planning to open a chain of specialty stores of retail mobile phone handsets across the country.(ET)

Economic News

Higher crude oil prices could cause fuel subsidy bill to reach Rs3tn this year.(BS)

DoT scraps plan to auction 3G spectrum for CDMA players.(BL)

Railways to increase freight rates to offset diesel price hike.(BS)

PSU oil companies to raise ATF prices by Rs3,000/KL from July 1, 2008.(ET)

Hotel tariffs in five and four star segments may be soon revise downwards as economy heads for a slowdown.(BS)

TRAI to study long term spectrum availability to see whether there is space for new players.(FE)

It would not be possible for India to maintain 9% growth in current fiscal due to rising inflation, says Planning Commission Deputy Chairman.(BS)

Railways to increase discounts on empty-flow direction freight from 30 to 50%.(ET)

Accounting regulator ICAI says firms would have to provide for FCCB redemption premium in their books over life of instrument.(FE)

Government may temporarily ban export of cotton.(ET)

Tyre makers mull 7% price increase due to rising input costs.(BS)

Implementation of commodities transaction tax is likely to be delayed to end of year or next year due to rising inflation.(BS)

Ministry of renewable energy announces a generation-based incentive of 50 paise per unit of electricity for investors who do not have access to the benefits of accelerated depreciation

Friday, June 27, 2008

13000 or 15000 still guessing ??? Subscribe now

DOW NASDAQ down by 3%
Asian Down by more than 2%
Crude hitting New High
INFLATION is all set to come in Double Digit
SGX NIFTY trading at 4136 (-114)

But hope in afternoon trade market will recover on the back of Short Covering and may be by FRESH BUYING

To know more visit

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Thursday, June 26, 2008

Fears rejected for time being

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Nifty (4253) Sup 4150 Res 4315

Rumours going around in the market that Radico Khaitan the maker of 8PM whisky might be an acquistion target. The stock rose more than a 13 percent on 3 times its usual volumes.GHCL, Gujarat Sidhee and Sasken are some of the stocks that look technically strong and would be worth keeping an eye on.

The market seemed to have rejected the exaggerated fears of the RBI move as benchmark indices advanced after a four-day drubbing. But don't accept the gains as a reversal in sentiment as yet. Most of the gains could be attributed to the short-squeeze ahead of the F&O expiry today. Things are not looking too bad for the bulls this morning either. US ended higher (though off the day's highs) after the Federal Reserve left its key rates steady and expressed concern on rising inflation

We expect our markets to follow the global trend and inch further up, driven by further short covering. Having said that, considerable risks still remain in the system due to multi-year high inflation and rising interest rates. The political situation still remains uncertain. So, don't go overboard. May sound too basic but remember to buy at dips and not at bouncy intra-day tops.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs3.64bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Wednesday while the local institutions poured in Rs5.3bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers of Rs1.11bn

Results Today: Allcargo Global, Apar Industries, Cranes Software, Gateway Distriparks, JK Paper, Nitin Fire, Panacea Biotec, Radha Madhav, Religare, Surana Tele, Tata Steel, Tulip Telecom and West Coast Paper

Spice Communications rallied by over 33% to Rs72 after the Board of Directors of the company announces that they have entered into of a share purchase agreement between MCorpGlobal Communications Pvt Ltd and Idea Cellular for the sale of 281,489,350 equity shares of Rs10/- each of the company by MCorpGlobal Communications Pvt to Idea Cellular representing 40.8% of the total paid up equity capital of the company at a price of Rs77.30 per equity share.

The company approved the merger of company with Idea Cellular based on an exchange ratio of 49 equity shares of Idea Cellular for every 100 equity shares of the company held by the shareholders.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs73 and a low of Rs52 and recorded volumes of over 4,00,00,000 shares on NSE.

Shares of Idea Cellular also gained by 3% to Rs102 after the company announced that it would sell 464.7mn shares at Rs156.96 to Telekom Malaysia. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs105 and a low of Rs97 and recorded volumes of over 48,00,000 shares on NSE

Cairn India gained by 3% to Rs268 after the company’s unit plans to spend US$2bn to develop oil fields and build a pipeline over 18 months. A project to develop fields in the western state of Rajasthan will cost $850 million. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs269 and a low of Rs255 and recorded volumes of over 14,00,000 shares on NSE.

Ranbaxy Labs gained by 4% to Rs545 after the company announced that it received tentative approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to manufacture and market Valganciclovir Hydrochloride Tablets, 450 mg. Total annual market sales for Valganciclovir HCl Tablets were US$239mn (IMS MAT: March 2008). Ranbaxy believes that it has First-to-File status on Valganciclovir tablets, thereby providing a potential of 180-days of marketing exclusivity, offering a significant opportunity in the future.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs548 and a low of Rs518 and recorded volumes of over 8,00,000 shares on NSE.

GMR Infrastructure gained by 3% to Rs99 after the company announced that it would develop 3,200MW of power in India. The company also said that it would spend US$1bn in India over 4-5 years. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs102 and a low of Rs94 and recorded volumes of over 29,00,000 shares on NSE.

Reliance Infrastructure surged by 4 percent to Rs948 after reports stated that it secured Rs120bn engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract for the 3,960 mw Sasan ultra mega power project (UMPP) of group company Reliance Power.

Reliance Infrastructure will complete the first plant of the 6X660 mw project within 42 months and the remaining five will be commissioned with an interval of three months, stated reports. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs959 and a low of Rs876 and recorded volumes of over 8,00,000 shares on NSE.

Nagarjuna Construction fell by 4 percent to Rs146. The company announced that it secured three new orders aggregating Rs3.33bn. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs156 and a low of Rs143 and recorded volumes of over 4,00,000 shares on NSE.

News

The Government asks Reliance to supply KG gas first to urea plants, LPG plants and existing power projects. (BL)
Ranbaxy gets tentative USFDA nod for AIDS drug. (BL)
SAIL has affected an increase of 5-8% in all categories of steel from the first week of June for long-term contracts and is contemplating another hike in July last week or beginning August. (FE)
GMR Infrastructure Ltd has acquired 50% stake in Intergen, a power company based at Burlington in the US, for US$1.1bn. (BL)
Reliance Exploration and Production, a subsidiary of RIL has signed a cooperation agreement with the UAE-based petroleum company Crescent Petroleum. (ET)
Nagarjuna Construction has secured three new orders aggregating Rs3.3bn from Maharastra and Karnataka governments. (BL)
Tech Mahindra has inked an US$8mn deal with Telecom Fiji, subsidiary of Amalgamated Telecom Holdings. (ET)
NTPC to set up 4,000MW power plant in UP. (ET)
SBI to raise its lending rates by 50 basis points post RBI’s move to hike both CRR and repo rate by 50 basis points. (FE)
Reliance Infra has inked a partnership with US consultant Black & Veatch. (ET)
PSL Ltd announced that its order book stands at about Rs40bn. (ET)
Bangalore International Airport Ltd is seeking a valuation of up to US$2.5bn to raise about US$200mn in equity to fund the second phase of the airport’s development. (ET)
Birla Cotsyn (India) plans to raise about Rs1.4bn through an IPO. (ET)
IndusInd Bank raises Rs2.2bn through GDR issue. (BL)
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd intends to spin off its pharma retailing business into a separate company. (BL)
Mt Everest mineral water is fighting a legal battle with Bisleri International over the use of the word Himalaya in its mineral water branding. (ET)
Amtek Auto through its subsidiary Amtek Transportation Systems Ltd has signed a JV agreement with American Railcar Industries Inc based in St Charles, Missouri. (BL)
Wipro received marketing-related intangible assets valued at Rs4.9bn from the brands of Singapore-based FMCG Company Unza which it acquired last year. (ET)
ITC Infotech to pull out of its BPO equal joint venture with US-based Sitel Corporation. (BS)
Mauritius-based Frontline Strategy’s private equity fund bought a stake of 26% in Shriram SEPL Composites, a JV between Shriram EPC and Strategic Engineering. (BS)
GoAir plans to offload 26% stake. (ET)
Reva Electric Car Company is looking at licensing its vehicle technology to other carmakers. (ET)
Hindustan Copper Ltd has applied to the government of Madhya Pradesh for reconnaissance permit for an area of 1,600 sq km in the district of Balaghat. (FE)
HTMT Global to buy BPO co in Europe. (BL)

Economic News

The Centre plans to increase the credit exposure limit of 15% on bank lending to NBFCs for infrastructure projects, especially in the power sector. (FE)
The government’s direct tax collection increased by 43.5% to Rs494bn until June 21, on the back of higher advance tax payments by Companies. (FE)
The Indian Railways is hiking freight charges for ores and minerals, petro-products, coke and coal, fertilizers, foodgrains and a host of other commodities by 5-7%. (BL)
The Federation of All India Petroleum Traders has warned that petrol pumps across the country may go dry in the next 15 days if the government does not resolve the issues concerning sale of branded fuel. (ET)
The government is yet to decide the floor price at which it will purchase key kharif crops. (ET)
Airport operators are unlikely to cut landing and parking fees for airlines. (ET)
Auto parts suppliers to cut supplies to OEMs in the next quarter.

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Eye ranbaxy at lower levels for buying

Today, Nifty has support at 4,069 and 4005 and resistance at 4,262 and BSE Sensex has support at 13,635 and resistance at 14,352.


Sell Jet Airways (518) SL 523 Target 508, 504

Sell RCom (474) SL 481
Target 464, 460

Sell Yes Bank (136) SL 140
Target 126, 123

Sell DLF (440) SL 447
Target 427, 424

Sell Titan (1019) SL 1034
Target 989, 980

The Indian Market is expected to have negative opening on the back of weak global cues, political uncertainty and rates hike by RBI. Tuesday, the Indian market closed in red for the fifth straight trading day backed by selling across the ground. The BSE Sensex fall below the 14,000 mark for the first time since late August 2007

Investors will have eye on the crucial meeting of the members of UPA with left scheduled today to decide on the fate of proposed deal between the Congress party and the U.S. President. Left parties had threatened to withdraw support if the government went ahead with the deal.

RBI on Tuesday raised its key lending rate and the CRR by 50 basis points each to tame inflation that hit a 13-year high early in June. As a second increase this month in its repo rate, the RBI raised the key lending rate to 8.5% from 8.0% with immediate effect. RBI will raise the cash reserve ratio to 8.75% from 8.25% in two stages, to 8.5% from July 5 and to 8.75% from July 19. These hikes will have adverse implications for the manufacturing sector, which have impact of high interest rates.

Today's Pick - Chambal Fertilisers

We recommend a sell in Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals from a short-term perspective. From the charts to the stock we note that it had been on a medium-term uptrend from its March 2008 low of Rs 41, till it encountered resistance at Rs 94 in mid June.

The reversal from Rs 94 level has been supported by negative divergence in the daily moving-average convergence and divergence (MACD).

Recently, the stock penetrated the 21-day moving average and the medium-term up trendline, signalling bearishness. The daily MACD has displayed negative divergence and is indicating a sell.

The other daily momentum indicators are declining in the neutral region towards the bearish zone. Our short-term forecast for the stock is negative. We anticipate the stock’s down move to continue until it hits our price target of Rs 66 in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 79


For the time being there is no fear of the unknown. The RBI has done what he can and we haven’t seen the last of hikes as yet. Just the other day the RBI governor Dr. Reddy had hinted at a "calibrated" approach to control inflation.In what seems to be a desperate political move to reign in inflation, the RBI has hiked both the repo rate and the CRR by half a percentage points each. We hear that a section of the market was perhaps aware of something like this in the offing. That explains the sharp fall yesterday in the last half an hour. The bloodbath may continue, at least at the start today.

On the political front, expect lots of voices from New Delhi as the UPA-Left panel on the Indo-US nuke deal meets today. Both sides may try and hammer out some compromise formula, as nobody wants an early election. The market may benefit if the outcome of the meet is definite. Any further uncertainty on this front will hit market sentiment. One will have to see which way the dice rolls. As far as global markets are concerned, there hasn't been any major fall, though the undertone remains precarious amid fresh worries over the financial sector and near-record crude oil prices.

Coming back to our market, banking, realty and auto stocks will bear the brunt of the selling pressure. Others like capital goods, construction and consumer-centric sectors may also decline. This doesn't mean stocks in the rest of the sectors will be any better off. Overall, we expect a gap-down opening. However, things may stabilise a wee bit as FIIs weren't big sellers yesterday and globally things are not that bad.

Much of the action today will be seen in the F&O segment, where most indicators are pointing to further weakness. For the Nifty, 4200 was seen as a big support. But, that has been broken. Most traders are net short. With F&O expiry tomorrow, Fed announcement (nothing much is expected) later today, and the UPA-Left meet, the bulls have their task cut out. Expect high volatility as has been the case in the last two days. In these turbulent and uncertain times, like we mentioned yesterday pick up the better counters available at rates you once asked for!.

FIIs were net buyers of Rs900.6mn (provisional) in the cash segment on Tuesday while the local institutions poured in Rs4.76bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net sellers of Rs10.86bn

Volatility to prevail

A highly volatile session ended in negative terrain for fifth straight day on back of weak global cues coupled with al round selling in scrips across the sectors. Markets closed at days low and Nifty closed below the 4,000 mark for first time since Aug 24 2007.

The fall could be attributed to heavy selling in index heavyweights like Infosys, L&T and Tata Steel. However, bucking the negative trend were, Reliance Industries, HDFC and BHEL.

All the key Sectoral indices also ended in red, the BSE Metal index was the biggest loser, (down 3.5%), other like BSE PSU index (down 2.8%), BSE FMCG index (down 2.5%) and BSE IT index (down 2.1%).

Among the 50-Nifty, 41 stocks ended in negative terrain and only 9 stocks ended in green. Finally, the BSE benchmark Sensex lost 186 points to close at 14,106 and the Nifty index lost 75 points to close at 4,191.

TCS ended lower by 1.6% at Rs843. The company won a transformational engagement from the Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) to design and implement integrated tax administration system. The new system will manage all domestic domestic taxes and duties for the URA including income tax, value-added tax, witholding tax and other excise duties.

It will help the URA increase the level of tax compliance in the country, broaden the tax base and provide effecient service to Uganda's tax payers. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs864 and a low of Rs823 and recorded volumes of over 3,00,000 shares on BSE.

S.Kumars Nationwide gained by 0.5% to Rs106 after the company said that GIC SI would invest Rs9bn in Reid & Taylor through a fresh issue of shares and warrants. Post-conversion, GIC SI would own 25.4% of Reid & Taylor, valuing it at Rs35.40bn. The company will own 74.6% of Reid & Taylor (India) Ltd post the investment from GIC SI.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs108 and a low of Rs105 and recorded volumes of over 1,00,000 shares on BSE.

Torrent Pharma rallied by over 12% to Rs174 after the company announced that it denied reports that the company’s founders would sell stake to Sun Pharma. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs182 and a low of Rs158 and recorded volumes of over 7,00,000 shares on BSE.

Orchid Chemicals declined by 4.7% to Rs225. The company announced that it received approval from the Canadian TPD for ANDS (Abbreviated New Drug Submission) for Piperacillin and Tazobactam for Injection.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs243 and a low of Rs224 and recorded volumes of over 9,00,000 shares on BSE.

NIIT Ltd gained by 2.5% to Rs104 after the company announced that the company has entered into a strategic alliance with Infospectrum to offer proven Educational Resource Planning Solutions". The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs105 and a low of Rs101 and recorded volumes of over 90,000 shares on BSE.

Binani Industries was down 1.2% to Rs106. The Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on June 23, 2008, approved the enhancement of guarantee limits from Rs16bn to Rs40bn. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs110 and a low of Rs106 and recorded volumes of over 3,000 shares on BSE.

Sagar Cements gained by a over 3 percent to Rs388 after the company announced that the Board of Directors at its meeting held on June 23, 2008, has decided to implement a green field cement plant of 5.5mn ton capacity in Gulbarga District in Karnataka through a special purpose vehicle to be jointly promoted with M/s. Vicat S.A., France.

To mobilize a sum of Rs700mn through issue of 10,00,000 equity shares of Rs10/- each at a premium of Rs690/- per share on a preferential basis to M/s. Vicat S.A., France, its affiliates and subsidiaries. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs394 and a low of Rs375 and recordede volumes of over 1,00,000 shares on BSE.

Jain Irrigation ended 2% lower to close at Rs469. The company announced that it secured contract worth Rs227.7mn. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs480 and a low of Rs461 and recorded volumes of over 16,00,000 shares on BSE.


Corporate News

Suzlon Energy is partnering Bahrain-based PE firm Arcapita to bid for Chinese alternative energy Company, Honiton Energy Holdings estimated at US$400mn (ET)

GMR Group is likely to buy 50% stake in US-based power generation firm InterGen in a deal valued at US$1.2bn (ET)

GIC Special Investments to acquire 25.4% stake in S Kumars’ Reid & Taylor brand for Rs9bn (ET)

HDIL buys 51% stake in Broadcast Initiatives, a Sri Adhikari Bros Group controlled media firm for an undisclosed amount (ET)

Reliance Infra bags Rs120bn EPC order from R Power to develop Shashun UMPP (BS)

Tata Group has increased stake in its South African Telecom Venture Neotel by 30% to 56% (ET)

TCS has won a contract worth US$11.5mn from Uganda Revenue Authority (ET)

Information & Broadcasting Ministry has asked DoT to initiate action against Bharti Airtel for launching IPTV services without requisite approvals (ET)

Jindal Saw is planning to set up a ship building & repair hub in Gujarat with an investment of over US$2bn (ET)

RIL and Essar Oil have agreed to buy entire crude oil from Cairn India’s Rajasthan block and are negotiating prices (ET)

ADAG Group is set to launch 24-hour FM radio station in Singapore in collaboration with local station MediaCorp Radio (ET)

Tech Mahindra has bagged a US$7.6mn deal with telecom Fiji Ltd (BL)

RIL signs an agreement with UAE-based, Crescent Petroleum Company to jointly develop oil & gas projects in Middle East (DNA)

Jet Airways and Kingfisher Airlines are moving towards zero commission structure for travel agents (ET)

IndusInd Bank has raised Rs2.2bn from the overseas market through fresh issue of shares (ET)

Vicat buys 6.67% stake in Sagar Cements for Rs700mn at Rs700/share (BS)

ICICI Ventures may list US$1.5bn realty fund on the London Stock Exchange (BS)

Essar Shipping is planning to set up ports in Brazil, China and Vietnam (ET)

IndusInd Bank hikes PLR by 50bps (BS)

NIIT has signed an agreement with Infospectrum to market latter’s customizable Educational Resource Planning solutions in schools (BL)

Nilkamal to invest Rs1.5bn to develop retail stores in India (FE)

Essar Shipping arm lines up Rs100bn expansion plans for third party logistics (DNA)

Tata Chemical to spend Rs5bn to de-bottleneck and modernized its plant in current fiscal (DNA)

Economic News

RBI hikes repo rate by 50bps with immediate effect and raises CRR by 50bps in two stages (ET)

Exports grew by 2.9% in FY08 to US$155.4bn (ET)

Car makers to increase prices by Rs,6000-Rs30,000 across models (BS)

CBDT has raised Direct Tax collection target for FY09 to Rs3.95trn (BL)

Cement prices may to increase by Rs3-5 per bag from 1st July in Bombay (FE)

RBI pumps in Rs387bn through repo window (FE)

Planning Commission says 9% growth is possible

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Will July Month See more Blood??? Subscribe to know

Use lower levels to add the large caps only even though the mid-cap and smaller stocks may have fallen more

SELL ONGC IN TRUCK LOADS N HOLD
Nifty at a support of 4212 and 4156 with resistance at 4325 and 4390 levels.

After a partial rebound from lower levels yesterday, we expect some bounce today. Barring European markets, which tumbled on bad set of economic data, most global markets ended flat to slightly negative. We see a cautious to perhaps a slightly higher opening in our market. Though a short-squeeze we predicted yesterday didn't fully materialise, the F&O segment did see some short covering. The Nifty June futures closed with a slight premium as against a discount of a few points. The open interest too declined substantially.

These factors point to short covering by the bears. More can be expected over the next couple days ahead of Thursday's settlement day. We will also have the outcome of the Fed meeting, where the US central bank is likely to keep rates steady while stressing on containing inflation.

On the political front, there hasn't been any significant new development, though some reports suggest that the UPA and Left may agree to some comprise formula to avoid early polls. A truce between the Congress and the red brigade could come as a welcome breather.

On the whole, the bulls may well have a good day in office after a four-day drubbing during which the Sensex has lost some 1,400 points. Much will hinge on global markets and F&O trends.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs6.66bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Monday while the local institutions poured in Rs917.5mn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net sellers of Rs1.66bn.

On Friday, FIIs were net sellers of Rs9.53bn in the cash segment. With this, they have pulled out almost $5.9bn from the Indian market this year.

Results Today: Amara Raja, Apollo Hospitals, Classic Diamond, Cyber Media, IndusInd Bank, Jet Airways, Patel Engineering, PSL, Ramsarup Industries, Sadbhav Engineering, Tata Chemicals and TV Today.

Shares of Rane Engine Valve Ltd. will get re-listed today.


Today's Pick -Tata Chemicals

We recommend a sell in a Tata Chemicals from a short-term perspective. It is evident from the charts that it was on a medium-term uptrend between March 2008 and May 2008 (from a low of Rs 255 to a high of Rs 440). However, the stock reversed direction and started experiencing selling pressure, after touching an all-time high of Rs 440. We notice a head and shoulders pattern (a top reversal pattern), spanning the last two months with neckline at Rs 333. On June 23, the stock breached this neckline and tumbled 6 per cent. The daily relative strength index has entered the bearish zone. The daily moving average convergence and divergence has entered the negative region too. We are bearish on the stock in the short-term. We expect the stock’s decline to prolong until it hits our price target of Rs 290 in the approaching trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 341

Corporate News

GMR will replace ONGC in Rs310bn Kakinada refinery and petrochemical project in Andhra Pradesh. (BS)
Tata Power plans to invest Rs250bn to boost its capacity by six-fold to 12,800mw by 2013. (BS)
GIC and Temasek may be allowed to pick up 10% stake each in ICICI Bank. (FE)
GAIL will issue one bonus share for every two equity shares held by its shareholders. (BS)
Wipro has raised Rs14bn through external borrowings. (BS)
Tech Mahindra has bagged a US$24mn engagement to assist Telecom New Zealand overhaul its retail business. (BL)
SBI is likely to raise its PLR and is awaiting fresh monetary action from the RBI to finalise the extent of increase. (BS)
Reliance Industries USA has acquired a polyester manufacturing facility in North Carolina for about US$12.2mn from Unifi Kinston and plans to invest US$215mn in that company. (ET)
Tata Motors has decided to absorb a significant portion of the cost increase of its Nano vendors. (ET)
Reliance Globalcom, the global arm of RCOM is entering into an alliance with a VOIP exchange in the US. (DNA)
M&M’s used-car business, First Choice is likely to sell 10% stake to Phi Advisors for ~Rs800mn. (ET)
Nalco will resume full production from June 25 after a strike cut the supply of coal to its Orissa power station. (BS)
Binani Cement has lined up capex plans of Rs16bn to take its global capacity to 13mmtpa by 2011-12. (BS)
Binani Cement is close to acquiring an African cement company for ~US$100mn. (ET)
Kingfisher Airlines and Deccan have slashed over 10% of their total daily flights. (BL)
Saint-Gobain Glass India plans to invest Rs10bn on a 0.3mn ton a year greenfield float glass making plant in Bhiwadi in Rajasthan. (BL)
ONGC Tripura Power Co, a unit of ONGC has awarded a Rs22.07bn order to a consortium of BHEL and GE for its 720 MW plant in Tripura. (ET)
Unichem has received a certification from the European Directorate for the Quality of Medicines and Healthcare for its active pharmaceutical ingredients plant in Roha, Maharashtra. (BL)
Unichem Laboratories has got approval from the US Food and Drug Administration for its formulations plant in the northern state of Uttar Pradesh. (ET)
JK Tyre has acquired 100% shares of Tornel, the Mexican Tyre company, along with its subsidiaries, for Rs2.7bn. (ET)
JK Tyre & Industries will raise prices of tyres by August. (ET)
Lupin has entered into a promotion agreement with Ascend Therapeutics Inc to promote its Suprax 400mg tablets in the US. (DNA)
The Parikhs, co-promoters of Zandu Pharmaceuticals have sent a letter to SEBI to thwart Emami Group’s attempt to take over the company. (ET)
Reliance Brands have entered into a 50:50 JV with Italy’s luxury sportswear brand Paul & Shark. (ET)
Alok Industries will invest Rs400mn in expanding its retail venture in FY09. (BL)
Religare Enterprises plans invest over Rs1bn for setting up 200 retail stores in the personal finance space under the Finmart brand over the next one year. (ET)
Pyramid Saimira Group, Chairman and MD P. S. Saminathan is considering an open offer to consolidate his stake in the company. (Mint)
Vodafone Essar has secured Rs70bn loan from lenders led by State Bank of India. (DNA)
SpiceJet plans to cut 20 flights from July 1. (BL)

Economic News

Around Rs80bn worth of real estate projects covering over 40mn square feet are facing delays. (BS)
DoT has asked TRAI to review termination charges. (BS)
Advance tax collection for the June 15 installment is expected to have gone up 30% on a yoy basis. (BL)
The June 30 bid submission date for the seventh round of NELP will not be deferred. (BL)
Indian corporate houses have raised a record more than Rs1trn by issuing corporate bonds during FY08. (Mint)
The DoT committee, formed to recommend ways to allocate and price 2G spectrum for mobile services, is likely to hold its first meeting in the first week of July. (ET)
The Competition Commission of India has asked SEBI to make compliance with competition law mandatory for listing on stock exchanges. (ET)
Government has held discussions with Nigeria to acquire more oil and gas fields. (FE)
RBI has decided that, for the limited purpose of valuation, all special securities issue by GoI, directly to the beneficiary entities, which do not carry SLR status may be valued at a spread of 25bps above the corresponding yield on GoI securities.

Monday, June 23, 2008

Gap down for sure BUT Squeeze…handle with care!

Today, Nifty has support at 4,234 and resistance at 4,419 and BSE Sensex has support at 14,218 and resistance at 14,801

The outcome of this week's Federal Reserve meet and that of the UPA-Left panel on the nuke deal will have some bearing on the sentiment.

Today, we expect another gap-down opening. The current situation warrants extreme caution. Any advance (dare we say) is likely to be driven by short-covering as fresh buying is negligible. FIIs continue to be heavy sellers even as local funds are continuing their shopping spree. The market will remain under pressure unless crude oil (and local inflation) cools off sharply and FIIs turn net buyers.


The Indian Market is expected to have negative opening on the back of weak global cues as the US market closed in red and Asian markets are trading weak. On Friday, the Indian market closed with heavy losses pressurized by selling across the ground. It was a hard day for the domestic market as it hanged around extremely negative zone after positive start. It had shown negative attitude through out the trading session. Nuke Deal and inflation worries also caused distress for the market as political uncertainty occurred after CPM threatened the UPA to withdraw its support if government moves forward with the deal. Inflation figure released on Friday reached to 13 years high to 11.05% for the week ended 7 June 2008. From the sectoral front, metal and oil & gas stocks were most unfavorable as most of selling was seen in these baskets

Corporate News

Hindalco Industries plans 1:3 rights issue to raise Rs50bn.(TOI)
GMR group to buy stake in ONGC’s Rs310bn Kakinada refinery in Andhra Pradesh.(BS)
Taro Pharmaceuticals sues its proposed buyer Sun Pharmaceutical Industries for allegedly thwarting formers’ attempt to sell off its unit in Ireland.(BS)
L&T says its heavy engineering division crosses Rs10bn of order booking for hi-tech equipment & systems in two months of current quarter.(BL)
Essar Shipping Ports and Logistics to invest Rs 100bn for the development of shipping, ports and oil field services over the next three years.(BS)
DLF to get around 5,000 acres near greater Noida at less than market rate under the Taj Expressway Industrial Development Authority’s scheme.(ET)
Great Off-shore secures an order for its heavy lift vessel in a Mediterranean company for US$15mn per annum.(FE)
Ranbaxy to continue to pursue acquisitions despite the change in its ownership.(BL)
Glenmark has received an approval from USFDA for marketing and distribution of Trandolapril tablets.(TOI)
NTPC would add 3,000MW of power for commercial use in the current fiscal.(BL)
HDFC Bank raises its benchmark prime lending rate by 0.25% to 15.25%.(FE)
Petronet LNG considering taking participating interests in gas assets in Australia.(BL)
Reliance Industries USA to invest US$215mn and create 200 new jobs at a newly acquired polyester plant in the US.(FE)
A consortium of developers led by Maytas Infra starts work at the greenfield airport in Shimoga, Karnataka.(BL)
Jindal Steel & Power plans to invest Rs320bn in coal-to-liquid projects.(TOI)
MTNL floats a Rs2.5bn tender for building network based on Internet Protocol infrastructure.(ET)
Spencer’s Retail, part of the RPG group, plans to invest Rs25bn over the next two years to expand its retail network.(DNA)
HDFC AMC invests Rs2.4bn in Ansal Properties & Infrastructures’ Noida project.(BS)
Parsvnath Developers plans to open retail stores by end of this fiscal.(DNA)
Tata Steel and Essar Steel along with ArcelorMittal ruled out of the race to acquire a stake in Indonesia's state-owned Krakatau Steel.(ET)
Coal India and Tata Power to form a 40:60 JV to produce power from washery rejects.(BL)
Government approves mining plan for the coal block that Reliance Power plans to use for setting up 4,000MW UMPP at Sasan in Madhya Pradesh.(BS)
Royal Orchid Hotels to develop six new hotels with an investment of Rs5.2bn.(DNA)
Indo Asian Fusegear shelves its plan to buy a majority stake in a European firm.(ET)
SAIL keen on reviving a long pending proposal to fund Rs1.7bn project for redevelopment of Bharat Coking Coal operated Moonidih mine in Jharkhand.(BL)
Punjab National Bank to raise deposit rates by 50bps.(TOI)
Three UK based companies show interest in picking up a controlling stake in GHCL.(BL)
US based Holiday Group to enter into infrastructure, housing and hospitality sectors in Kerala with an investment of Rs10n.(ET)
SVP Group has signed a deal with Bharti Retail to lease out 32,000sq ft of space in Ghaziabad.(ET)
S Kumars subsidiary Reid and Taylor may sell stake to a European fund for Rs150 per share.(ET)
Amtek Transportation Division, part of Amtek Auto, enters into a JV with American Railcar Industries to foray into railcars.(ET)

Economic News

Leading Indian carriers say more air fare increases are possible.(BS)
Finance Ministry says it expects RBI to take monetary measures to help check inflation.(FE)
3G spectrum is not available in certain circles for allocation to CDMA players, according to an internal TRAI study.(BS)
TRAI to submit its recommendations on internet telephony in two months.(ET)
Coal ministry gives its approval for setting up a regulatory body for coal.(DNA)
Provident Fund trustees to press for increasing the interest rate on PF to at least 12%.(ET)
CMIE forecasts 5.5% inflation for FY09.(FE)
As per SEBI, currency futures may start by end of August 2008.(ET)
India exports to the European Union may face higher barriers, if the latter goes ahead with a proposal to place carbon tax on goods imported from advanced developing countries.

Friday, June 20, 2008

Inflation to fuel proceedings

We might see a bounce in Realty and banking sector today,

A dark horse in this scenario might be Aviation,

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Thursday, June 19, 2008

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We expect the market to open on a weak note and the trend may not change for most part of the day, unless there is some fresh short covering. The market will have to keep one eye on New Delhi and the other eye on global markets. Quite a strain for the eyes and the market!

FIIs were net sellers of Rs4.35bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Wednesday while the local institutions poured in Rs1.94bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net sellers of Rs1.93bn.

The institutions remain sluggish to buy at lower levels and that more or less explains the continued tension on the bourses. After a two-day rally (any small gain is a rally these days), the key indices gave up some of the gains. Renewed weakness in global markets and fresh tension between the Government and the Left parties over the Indo-US nuclear deal played spoilsport. The sudden rise in political temperature in New Delhi could do some more harm today amid worries over the fate of the Congress-led UPA regime. Given the uncertain political environment, the bulls may like to tread cautiously. Also, global markets fell sharply overnight while Asian markets too are in the red this morning. Crude oil continues to be highly volatile, keeping global markets on the edge.
Today's Pick - Bank of Baroda


Picks - SUJANA TOWER,GSS AMERICA, BURNPUR CEM

We recommend a sell on Bank of Baroda from a short-term perspective. From the charts of Bank of Baroda, we note that the stock has been on an intermediate-term downtrend, since its January 2008 high of Rs 501, forming lower peaks and lower troughs.

However, after touching 2008 low of Rs 211 on June 9, the stock witnessed a corrective up-move.

This up-move of the stock did not sustain, as the stock encountered twin resistances (a key resistance level and down trendline) at about Rs 260.

On June 18, the stock declined and formed a dark cloud candlestick pattern that indicates bearishness. The weekly momentum indicator is featuring in the bearish zone and the daily momentum indicator is likely to re-enter this zone.

With the intermediate-term down trendline still intact, we are bearish on the stock in the short-term. We expect the stock to decline until it hits our price target of Rs 218 in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock, while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 258.

Shares of Niraj Cement Structurals Ltd. will get listed today.

Results Today: EIH Associates, Future Capital, JHS Svendgaard, Kirloskar Ferrous, Ratnamani Metals, Simplex Realty and Uniflex Cable

Corporate News

Ranbaxy settles worldwide patent litigations with Pfizer over Lipitor. Under the agreement, Ranbaxy will be allowed to sell generic versions of the drug in the US from November 30, 2011. (BL)
ONGC, IOC and Gail have expressed interest in buying ADB's stake in Petronet LNG. (ET)
RCom may initiate criminal proceedings against RIL officials involved in the signing of January 12, 2006 agreement. (BL)
The MSRDC may ask Mukesh Ambani-controlled SeaKing Infrastructure Ltd (SKIL)-led consortium to bring down the concession period for the Rs60bn, 22-km sea link between Sewari and Nava Sheva. (BS)
MTNL has received the international long distance license from DoT. (ET)
Zee Entertainment may list its two divisions Zee Motion Pictures and Zee Limelight on the London Stock Exchange’s AIM. (FE)
Tata Steel and Essar Steel are vying for a majority stake in the proposed joint venture of Indonesia's PT Krakatau Steel to build a 2.5mtpa plant. (BS)
The Government may infuse more capital into Central Bank of India on improved performance. (FE)
RIL has denied it has signed formal gas sale contracts with prospective customers in defiance of a Bombay High Court order. (ET)
M&M plans to roll out "Mahindra" tractors from the Punjab Tractors unit in Mohali. (BS)
The NCD-cum-convertible warrants offer of Indian Hotels faced lukewarm response, forcing the promoters to pick up the unsubscribed portion of just over 80% for about Rs4.8bn. (ET)
Reliance Big Entertainment is in talks with PEs for selling a 10% stake for a valuation of US$5bn. (ET)
Andhra Bank to raise US$300mn foreign currency loan in 2008-09. (BL)
The Leela Palaces, Hotels and Resorts signs a sales and marketing agreement with US-based Preferred Hotel Group. (ET)
MindTree to invest US$45mn in its new software development centre at Mahindra World City SEZ in Maraimalai Nagar. (BL)
Union Bank of India to raise US$2bn through medium term debt from international market for its overseas expansion. (ET)
With the Karnataka High Court approving the Kingfisher Airlines – Deccan Aviation merger, Kingfisher Airlines’ plans to fly overseas soon. (BL)
Moschip Semiconductor has acquired US-based Indigita, the audio and video division of Intellasys. (BL)
Sintex Industries has acquired Digvijay Communications and Networks in the form of a slump sale. (BL)
Citrix to invest US$200mn in its second R&D facility in Bangalore over the next five years. (ET)
Sujana Towers has acquired of 51% stake in an African telecom infrastructure company, Telesuprecon. (BL)
Exide Industries acquires 51% in Bangalore-based lead smelter Leadage Alloys India Ltd. (BL)
Shyam Group and Spanco have sign an agreement with Punj Lloyd to acquire its Internet services company Spectranet. (BL)

Economic News

Infrastructure sector growth dips to 3.6% in April compared to the same month last year. (BL)

Aided by higher TDS collections, the Centre’s net direct tax collections recorded a 71.3% increase during the first two months of the current fiscal to Rs228.4bn against Rs133.4bn in the same period last year. (BL)

India to receive an estimated loan amount of US$9.2bn from the Asian Development Bank between 2008 and 2010 for various development projects. (FE)

The Government to allow only Gujarat companies to export cement. (ET)

The RBI has made it mandatory for RRBs to report all suspicious transactions above Rs1mn to the directorate of financial intelligence as part of exercise to strengthen the anti-money laundering drive. (ET)

The Government reduced prices of complex fertilizers by up to Rs2,296 per ton.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

A rocket won't fly unless somebody lights the fuse.

Today, we expect another cautious to slightly positive start,

Nifty (4653) Sup 4580 Res 4695

Seeing buying in Ashok , Suzlon in dips

The bulls may have regained some lost ground with bears covering their shorts in the last couple of days. Global markets too have largely held up quite well and oil prices have retreated a bit. Lack of fresh bad news coupled with buying by local institutions have kept the bears on the defensive in the last two days. FIIs turned net buyers in the cash segment yesterday on a provisional basis. However, it remains to be seen whether the current momentum can be sustained, as the bulls still lack conviction.

Mutual funds may be sitting on a huge pile of cash, but the market needs FIIs to turn net buyers in a big way. In short the FIIs have to light the fuse to ignite positive action in the Indian bourses.

Results Today: Aurobindo Pharma, Dish TV, Era Infra, Finolex Industries, Greenply, Hotel Leela, Indraprastha Gas, Kei Industries, Marg, Mascon Global, Power Grid Corp., PNB and Rajesh Exports



Today's Pick - Allcargo Logistics

We recommend investors buy the stock of Allcargo Global Logistics with a short-term perspective. From the charts, we see that it has been on a long-term downtrend from its January 2007 peak of Rs 1,355 to its June 2008 low of Rs 620.

However, the stock found support at around Rs 640 for the second time (a key support level) recently and commenced an up move. At around Rs 700, the stock crossed over the 21-day moving average, showing signs of bullishness.

Recently, the stock penetrated the 50-day moving average as well as the long-term down trendline. The daily relative strength index is featuring in the bullish zone and the weekly RSI is rising towards this zone. The moving average convergence and divergence is on the brink of entering positive territory.

We are bullish on the stock in the short-term. We expect the stock’s current up move to prolong until it hits our price target of Rs 895 in the approaching trading sessions. Traders with a short-term perspective can buy the stock while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 750

Corporate News

Reliance Industries and ONGC may resume oil production from PMT fields. (ET)

Reliance Communications is considering buying over 40% in MTN. (BS)

Hindalco plans US$1bn rights issue. (ET)

IDEA close to launching operations in Mumbai. (ET)

UBI plans to raise upto US$2bn via MTN. (BS)

Reliance Power, Tata Power, Lanco, amongst companies qualified for Rajpura thermal power project. (BL)

Ashok Leyland may divest stake in Nissan JV. (ET)

Tech Mahindra enters into IPTV global alliance with Microsoft. (ET)

GMR’s Delhi hospitality project hits AAI hurdle. (ET)

Tata Motors plans to build US$150mn factory in Mexico to assemble cars for exports to South America. (DNA)

Two Glenmark drugs are set to enter the clinical trial stage in October 2008. (DNA)

JSW Steel Group will invest Rs5.5bn in Chile mines. (BS)

Jet Airways and SpiceJet are introducing sharp cutbacks in staff cost and salaries. (BS)

Pantaloon Retail’s arm ties-up with Dubai’s Aramex to open a 90,000 sqft warehouse in Mumbai. (BL)

Aditya Birla Group’s BPO division plans to acquire captive arms of niche financial services firms. (DNA)

Voltas buys remaining 50% stake in Fedders International. (FE)

Cadila to spin-off and merge the consumer products division into its unit, Carnation Nutra Analogue-Foods Ltd. (FE)

Escorts Group is developing a bio-fuel powered tractor. (FE)

Castrol intends to spend Rs1bn on advertisement and product promotion. (BL)

S Kumars Nationwide plans acquisitions in Europe and North America. (BS)

IBM set to invest in KLG Systel. (DNA)

Ipca Labs is looking at an overseas acquisition in the range of US$10-20mn. (DNA)

Chettinad Cement plans new plant in Karnataka and defers rights issue. (BL)

Indo Asian Fusegear is planning to foray into power generation. (BS)

KEC International wins Rs1.6bn order from NTPC for rural electrification in Jharkhand. (ET)

Godawari Power to invest Rs2.8bn over the next two years to expand capacity and acquire majority stake in an iron ore pelletisation plant. (DNA)

Champagne Indage plans to raise US$50mn through issue of securities in overseas market. (BL)

Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn plans to invest an additional Rs3.5bn in FY09 on capacity expansion. (ET)

Plethico Pharma plans to acquire a US-based nutraceuticals company. (DNA)

Economic News

Nuclear Power ventures may get overseas funding. (ET)

Indirect tax collection registers a growth of 12.8% in the first two months of the current fiscal

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

After short squeeze a flat day!

Nifty support at 4515-4430
Resisitance at 4630-4690

For the day, we expect the market to open on a flat to slightly positive note, as the short squeeze may continue

F&O indicators suggest that there may be more upside in the offing. The Nifty futures expiring in June shed more than 20 lakh shares in open interest while the discount slumped from about 30 points to almost nil. With this, the total open interest in Nifty futures has slipped below 4 crore shares. Over the past few months there have been a few instances where the market trend has taken an about turn following this event. It remains to be seen if the bulls are lucky this time round as well.

The advance tax numbers for a few top companies are out and as usual it’s a mixed bag. Banks like ICICI Bank, SBI and HDFC have done well and so has Reliance Industries. Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors and Ambuja Cements have reported lower tax outgo versus the same period last year.

Cadila Healthcare's Board will meet today to consider options to consolidate / restructure the Consumer Products business of the group, including its listed subsidiary, namely Carnation Nutra-Analogue Foods Ltd.

Champagne Indage's Board will consider raising of long term / medium term financial resources.

Both L&T and Crompton Greaves have denied reports that L&T is doing due diligence to acquire Crompton Greaves' project business.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs5.48bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Monday while the local institutions poured in Rs2.9bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers of Rs593.2mn


Results Today: BPCL, Bilpower, Cambridge Solutions, Chettinad Cement, IRB Infra, Jumbo Bag, Sical Logistics, Sri Digvijay Cement, Tantia Constructions, Tata Communications, Wire & Wireless and Zee News.



Today's Pick - GSFC

We recommend a buy in Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals from a short-term perspective. It is clearly visible from the charts of Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals that it had been on an intermediate-term downtrend from its January 2008 high of Rs 370 until it reached its June low of Rs 152.

However, after finding support at around Rs 150 (a significant long-term support level) in the recent times, the stock began to move up. During this upmove, the stock conclusively penetrated the intermediate-term down trendline and its 21-day moving average.

There is also an increase in trading volumes over the past two trading sessions.

We believe that the stock will continue to move higher in the short-term. The daily Relative Strength index is rising towards the bullish zone. We notice a crossover in the daily moving average convergence and divergence and it is rising in line with the stock price, indicating bullishness. Our short-term forecast for the stock is bullish. We expect the stock to move upwards until it hits our price target of Rs 200 in the forthcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can buy the stock while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 167.
Corporate News

Japanese drug-maker Daiichi-Sankyo may revise the open offer price for Ranbaxy in the case of a competitive bid. (BS)
Reliance Industries is seeking to borrow US$1bn to fund its expansion projects. (DNA)
Reliance Power will get a US$500-million loan from ADB for the 4,000-MW UMPP coming up at Krishnapatnam in AP. (BS)
IOC, HPCL and BPCL sell bonds to RBI at a premium. (BS)
Maruti may launch a stripped-down version of Maruti 800 to compete with Nano. (BS)
Balmer Lawrie is set to acquire a 50% stake in a travel and tourism company with a national presence. (ET)
TCS plans to participate in e-governance projects in India as well as countries in the Middle East, Latin America, eastern Europe and Africa. (ET)
Unitech has scrapped plans for a US$600mn sale of shares in a real estate investment trust in Singapore. (BS)
ITC Welcom Group through its subsidiary Fortune Park Hotels Ltd is planning to add another 21 hotels in the next three years. (BS)
The Al Rostmani group, one of the largest conglomerates in the UAE, is planning to pick up a majority stake in GHCL for an estimated investment of Rs7bn. (BS)
Srei Equipment Finance Pvt. Ltd., a 50:50 JV between Srei Infrastructure Finance Ltd and BNP Paribas, will raise ~Rs80-90bn during FY09. (DNA)
Aksh Optifibre, in collaboration with MTNL has cut its subscription rates to Rs199 per month. (ET)
Daiichi-Sankyo has been granted two product patents by the Kolkata Patent Office. (BS)
Jet Airways plans to put its international expansion on hold until the end of next year due to soaring oil prices. (ET)
Jet Airways has announced a two-year tie-up with Shell-MRPL Aviation Fuels and Services Pvt. Ltd for its fuel supply at the new airports in Banaglore and Hyderabad. (Mint)
Sterlite Industries may consider legal action if the bankruptcy court favors Grupo Mexico's counter-offer of US$4.1bn for Asarco, the US copper mining giant. (BS)
Godavari Fertilisers and Chemicals Limited would solely cater to the agri input requirements of the state farmers, starting this kharif season. (BS)
Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation (GSPC) has applied to the Directorate General of Hydrocarbons (DGH) for declaration of commerciality of its discoveries in the KG basin block. (BL)
SRF plans to put its share buyback plan on hold. (Mint)
NMDC has resumed operations at three iron ore mines in Chattisgarh. (Mint)
Transport Corporation of India plans to raise capital for its expansion plan by diluting promoter holding by ~10%, which is expected to generate ~Rs680mn. (ET)
Goldman Sachs has acquired a minority stake in Shapoorji Pallonji’s engineering arm Sterling & Wilson for over Rs2bn. (ET)
Gemini Communications has acquired a majority stake in Chennai based Veeras Infotek for Rs70mn. (ET)
Nokia’s market share in India has increased to 62.5% in 2007-08 from 53.6% last year. (ET)
Cobra Beer India, the Indian subsidiary of the US$400mn UK-based Cobra Beer will be launching diet beer in India. (ET)
Malaysian national carmaker Proton plans to enter the Indian passenger vehicle market (ET)

Economic News

State governments to roll back jet fuel tax cuts, as they believe that benefits have not been passed on to the consumers. (BS)
The Government has allowed private mobile operators to enter into mutual agreements for intra circle roaming with each other. (BS)
Mumbai Metro rail project will generate 651,938 carbon credits between 2011 and 2020. (BL)
States have asked the Centre to pay them Rs40bn for the revenue loss due to duty cuts on petrol, diesel and cooking gas during the remaining part of 2008-09. (FE)
Soaring steel and cement prices have virtually put the brakes on the Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana, the rural road component of the UPA’s flagship ‘Bharat Nirman’ programme. (FE)
The department of fertiliser (DoF) has firmed up a time-bound completion of revival of seven sick units of Fertiliser Corporation of India (FCI) and Hindustan Fertiliser Corporation (HFC). (FE)
According to ministry officials, the national-wide rollout of CAS will happen only after the general elections in 2009. (ET)
According to TRAI, Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) that intend to enter the domestic mobile space will not be allowed to own spectrum. (BS)
The empowered group of state finance ministers deferred its decision on rationalization of sales tax on aviation turbine fuel to June 23, 2008. (DNA)
According to CMIE, GDP is expected to grow at an impressive 9.5% in 2008-09. (ET)
Small and medium enterprises will get Rs550mn IPR facilitation package for implementation over the next four years. (ET)
Gems and jewellery exports rose by over 36% yoy to US$1.8bn in May 2008

Monday, June 16, 2008

A better Monday!

Today are nifty btst will speak rally can be seen till 4600

Bulls may lack the steam but after yet another tumultuous week, they would fell better seeing some green ticks across most global markets

Hindalco might announce a rights or bonus issue soon

Buying seen in Tata Power and Sterlite Industries as these stocks will be added to the BSE Index starting July 28th this year. These two scrips are expected to replace Ambuja Cements and Cipla Ltd

WATCH -Wire & Wireless and Indraprastha Gas Ltd.


Lots of stock specific activity is expected. Watch out for RCOM in the wake of RIL's opposition to the MTN deal. Ranbaxy could also remain in the limelight due to talk of Pfizer announcing a counter bid. Sterlite may be under pressure as it is also facing a counter bid for Asarco. Steel and iron ore companies will attract attention after the Government announced changes in duties. Car makers may be hit due to the increase in excise duty on big cars, MUVs and SUVs. Vikas WSP could see action as it announces its results today.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs1.16bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Friday while the local institutions poured in Rs4.57bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers of Rs6.25bn.

Today's Pick - Dabur

We recommend a buy in Dabur India from a short-term perspective. It is evident from the charts that the stock has been consolidating sideways since mid January in a broad range between Rs 94 and Rs 110. The stock began its current up move form the key support level at Rs 94.

During this up move it crossed the 21-day moving average. The daily momentum indicator is rising in the neutral region towards the bullish zone and the weekly momentum indicator has taken support around 40 level and has started rising. The moving average convergence and divergence is also showing signs of bullishness and is likely to enter the positive territory.

We are bullish on the stock in the short-term. We expect the stock to move upwards until it hits our price target of Rs 110 in this period. Traders with short-term perspective can buy the stock while maintaining the stop-loss at Rs 94.

Corporate News

Reliance Industries sends letter to MTN; says it has the first right of refusal to buy the controlling interest in Reliance Communications.(FE)
JSW Steel plans to invest Rs800bn to add 20mn tonne capacity.(BL)
Idea Cellular to buy Spice Comm. in a three stage deal in which minority shareholders of latter can swap their shares for Idea’s shares or sell them in an open offer.(BS)
Goldman Sachs to pay Rs7bn for a minority stake in M&M.(TOI)
Hindalco Industries considering various options including rights issue to repay a US$3bn bridge loan it took to finance the acquisition of Novelis Inc.(BL)
Telekom Malaysia is understood to have picked up ~15% stake in Idea Cellular at a price of Rs158 a share.(DNA)
Videocon to roll out its GSM services from Chennai on August 15th of current year.(ET)
Vedanta Resources bid for US copper firm Asarco faces a roadblock.(Mint)
Hinduja Group to finalise a strategic investor to offload 15% stake in the 1,040MW coal fired project at Vizag in Andhra Pradesh.(FE)
Wipro Technologies pulls out of its JV with Motorola.(ET)
SBI decides against raising interest rates for the time being.(BS)
ONGC Videsh, Indian Oil and Oil India together expect to spend US$3bn if they get the right to develop the Farsi block in Iran.(BS)
The New York Times Company in discussion to acquire a 5% equity stake in Sieger Solutions, a 100% subsidiary of Deccan Chronicle Holdings.(BL)
Reliance Power emerges as the lowest bidder to build two power projects in the Allahabad district of Uttar Pradesh.(BS)
3i Infotech completes the acquisition of US based Regulus Group for US$100mn.(DNA)
TPG Newbridge may invest US$150mn for a 49% stake in a company that will hold 100% equity capital of Shriram City Union Finance.(BL)
Pipe manufacturer PSL secures Rs 1.2bn order from BPCL.(BL)
Spice Comm. promoter B K Modi in negotiations to acquire 39% stake in Sony Entertainment Television.(BS)
Reliance Retail will soon enter into a 51:49 JV with US-based Avery Dennison Corp.(ET)
Philips Electronics India decides to buy back shares for Rs1.8bn at Rs260 per share.(DNA)
Maharashtra government decides to allot 25 acres of land in Nagpur to Mahindra Lifespace Developers.(ET)
Ultra mega power project in Tilaiya, Jharkhand to be awarded in November; eleven companies short listed for the project.(BS)
MAN Infraprojects, subsidiary of MAN Industries, to invest Rs10bn in real estate (DNA).
Indo Asian Fusegear forms JV with a Spanish firm to manufacture wiring devices for home automation.(Mint)
Lehman Brothers to invest Rs7.5bn in Unitech’s 97 acre project in North Mumbai.(ET)
JK Tyres to set up a greenfield site for passenger car tyres.(ET)
Sarswat Cooperative Bank has made a fresh application to the RBI to acquire the ailing South Indian Cooperative Bank.(ET)

Economic News

Inflation rises to 8.75%, a seven year high on dearer primary goods for week ended May 31st.(BL)
State governments are planning to cap sales tax on jet fuel at 12.5%.(ET)
Government raises export duty on iron ore and long steel products; imposes fresh excise duty on large cars and SUVs.(BS)
Cement output in May 2008 fell marginally to 14.89mt against 15.02mt in April according to Cement Manufacturers’ Association.(BL)
Drug price regulator has introduced pro rata pricing for injectibles in addition to oral liquids, tablets and ointments.(ET)
Due to slowdown in passenger traffic and high ATF costs, airline companies are canceling or cutting deliveries due this year or sub-leasing them to other carriers globally.(BS)
Government withdraws 5-15% export cess imposed on variety of steel products including hot and cold rolled coils, steel pipes and tubes and galvanized sheets.(ET)
DoT may impose eligibility conditions for 3G spectrum auction.(BL)
Cable operators may be allowed to build an optical fibre infrastructure.(ET)
Government approves 13 FDI proposals worth Rs 15bn including one by steel major ArcelorMittal for its operations in India.(FE)
Mining ministry to buy a Rs4.5bn deep-sea research vessel for seaboard mapping.(ET)
Government is contemplating ban on maize exports to reduce price in the domestic markets.(ET)
Empowered group of state finance ministers likely to discuss today Center’s proposal to reduce sales tax on petrol, diesel, cooking gas and jet fuel

Friday, June 13, 2008

Sell in trucks GE Shipping, Shipping Corp and book on time

It's Become, Nifty Future Habits to Achieve Our Targets Smoothly.

Yesterday's Our Target was 4500 , It's Exactly , went Upto 4530 and now near term 4600.

Now, What You'll Say about this !!!

Nothing Miracle , No Black Magic


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Thursday, June 12, 2008

Main support at 4350 -4270

Buy Tcs in dips for 2-3 days

The IIP numbers come out today , they can change market scenario

Overall we think market will be down, but do not expect a crash or a carnage in the street.,Recovery is possible

THE SO CALLED DEAD CAT BOUNCE SEEMS TO BE OVER - IN A SPAN OF ONE & A HALF TRADING DAYS NIFTY RECOVERED FROM THE LOW OF 4370 TO 4540, A SOLID 170 POINT RISE.

SIMILARLY SENSEX MADE UP ABOUT 581 POINTS FROM TUESDAYS LOW OF 14645 TO WEDNESDAYS HIGH OF 15226.

WITH CRR HIKE BY RBI COMING AFTER MARKET HOURS ON WEDNESDAY, BE SURE TO SEE A BIG GAP DOWN OPEN IN MARKETS LIKE EARLIER CASES OF CRR HIKES OF 2006 & 2007. SO EXPECT ABOUT 2 TO 2.5% GAP DOWN OPEN FOR INDICES.

FIIS HEAVY SELLING IN EQUITIES CONTINUED ON TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY & THEY WILL BE FIRST ONES TO LIQUIDATE POSITIONS ON THURSDAY IRRESPECTIVE OF CONDITION OF DOW & OTHER ASIAN MARKETS.

In details
A hike in repo rate – a short term interest rates, by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after trading hours on Wednesday, 11 June 2008, and an overnight setback in US stocks are likely to take their toll on the bourses today. The market, however, had factored in a rise in interest rates with bank and realty stocks witnessing a sharp fall over the fast few days. Banks are likely to raise interest following a strong signal from RBI that interest rates in the economy are headed north. Higher interest rates will raise borrowing costs and hit bottom line of corporates.

US stocks sank on Wednesday, 11 June 2008, with all the three indices viz. the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite index - losing around 2%, after oil prices shot back near their record high, stoking fears about inflation and its toll on consumers. More signs of trouble in the financial sector further soured the mood on Wall Street. The Financial Times said on Wednesday that Lehman Brothers may look to raise more capital, hammering shares of the investment bank.

Oil futures jumped almost $7 to an intraday high above $138 a barrel on Wednesday, and settled at $136.38 a barrel on that day.

A surge in global commodity prices led by crude oil spooked stocks across the globe in the past few days. In India, foreign funds have pressed heavy sales. FIIs sold shares worth a net Rs 5170 crore in the first few days of this month, till 10 June 2008. They had dumped stocks worth a net Rs 5011.50 crore in May 2008. Their outflow in calendar 2008 reached Rs 20539.40 crore, till 10 June 2008. There has been heavy buying by domestic funds led by insurance firms in the past few days, but that has failed to stop the slide on the bourses.

A near term trigger for the market will be corporate advance tax payments for the first installment which falls due on 15 June 2008. The income tax law requires a company to 15% the estimated tax liability for the year as advance tax in the first installment. The advance tax payment by the corporate sector will give a cue on Q1 June 2008 results.

The market will also be keeping a watch on the industrial production numbers for April 2008, which the government will unveil today, 12 June 2008, which will give a cue on the extent of slowdown in the Indian economy caused by high interest rates.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

BUY Hpcl,Suzlon,Rpl

Book profit accordingly as target only for clients .So subsribe NOW

Bounce back in the offing...if nifty stays above 4500 for a period of time, short covering can kick in with force.....

Yes i mentioned to stay long in nifty 4500 on radar, now watch the fun till thursday

Today, we expect a cautious to positive start for our market. Its a no brainer that the bulls will struggle later to keep the early momentum going with too many negative factors floating around. The bravehearts may pick up battered quality stocks for long-term purpose. Having said that, one has to be vary careful while picking the scrips for investments.

NIIT could see some action as it will announce a strategic JV with Genpact for the BPO industry.
FIIs were net sellers of Rs9.1bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Tuesday while the local institutions poured in Rs2.96bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net sellers at Rs5.37bn.

On Monday, FIIs were net sellers of Rs13.42bn in the cash segment. With this, they have pulled out a net of $4.88bn from the Indian market this year so far.

GMDC, KPIT Cummins, NIIT, NIIT Technologies and SCI will declare their results today.

Corporate News

Hindustan Motors to launch new passenger car in October 2008. (Mint)
Reliance Industries to produce oil from KG basin by August 2008. (Mint)
BPCL to invest $200mn in overseas exploration. (Mint)
IDFC to list $1.25bn India Infra Fund. (Mint)
JSW Steel plans to borrow from export credit agencies to fund its $3.3bn expansion plan. (Mint)
Grasim sells sponge iron unit from Rs10.3bn. (Mint)
Vedanta plans to invest $20bn in India in next four years. (Mint)
Idea Cellular to invest in Spice Communications network and technology upgrade. (BS)
Bosch makes considering increasing offer price for delisting its Indian arm, Bosch Chassis Systems. (BL)
TVS Motors plans power bikes to take on competition. (BS)
Scooters India to make E-bikes. (BS)
RCom-MTN combine may seek London listing. (BS)
Omaxe forays into Dubai market. (BL)
IDFC picks up 22% stake in Seaways Shipping. (BL)
Tata Elxsi has planned a capex of Rs450mn and addition of 1,000 employees in 2008-09. (BL)
Bharti Airtel to bring Apple’s 3G iPhone to India. (BL)
Spice Telecom to unveil Braille mobile phone. (BL)
UB Group says their IPL team, Royal Challengers have achieved breakeven in the first year of operations. (BL)
Gati may hike freight rates by 7-10%. (BL)
Tata Tea to develop new range of products, fortified water, functional water and enhanced water. (FE)
Indiabulls Real Estate arm enters in MoU with government of Jharkhand for setting up 1,320MW power project. (FE)
Tata Steel JV with Riversdale Mining in Mozambique to yield premium hard coking coal and thermal. (FE)
Jet Airways enters into code-share agreement with Etihad Airways effective July 1, 2008. (FE)
Gitanjali Gems raises stake in Fantasy Diamond Cuts Pvt Ltd to make its wholly owned unit. (FE)
Gitanjali Gems merged two founder group companies Decent Securities & Finance and Eureka Finstock with itself. (FE)
Aurobindo Pharma receives USFDA approval to manufacture and market Zaleplon Capsules. (FE)
Bosch Chassis makes an offer of acquiring the public holding at a price not exceeding Rs600 per share. (FE)
Godrej Appliance to foray into colour television market by August. (FE)
Tata Motors seeking to raise US$1bn in debt or equity from the overseas market. (FE)
Tata Motors looking to raise its borrowing limit to Rs200bn from the current Rs120bn. (FE)
Idea willing to pay a premium of 10-15% over the current market price of Spice Communication. (FE)
PNB to bid for stake in IFCI through a consortium. (FE)
PNB to foray into credit card business within six months. (FE)
BHEL, L&T, Crompton Greaves among major bidders for Rs180bn transmission strengthening and upgradation project. (FE)
Financial Technologies promoted Power Exchange to launch its operation within a fortnight. (FE)
Duncans Tea in talks with IOC to tap rural market. (FE)
Bombay Dyeing to open its first retail store in Dubai. (ET)
Bombay Dyeing tied up with Dubai-based luxury lifestyle retailer Revoli Group. (ET)
Karuturi Global looks to acquisition in Europe and to foray into Horticulture. (ET)
Dabur Pharma subsidy, to get accreditation from college of America next year. (ET)
GTL promoters to hike their equity stake in the group’s telecom tower arm GTL Infrastructure to 68.29% from 43.29%. (ET)
Middle East‘s Al Rostamani may buy 25% stake in GHCL for ~US$200mn. (ET)
ONGC to tie-up with SCI to manufacture rigs. (ET)
Bata India eyes franchise model to launch its upcoming retail stores. (ET)

Economic News

Fertilizer industry wants a pricing policy in place. (BS)
New 3G aspirants unlikely to get 2G spectrum. (FE)
Civil Aviation minister Praful Patel, to meet Prime Minister today for a reduction in landing and parking charges. (ET)
The NPPA made it mandatory for companies to inform it of their plans to change the composition of their drugs. (ET)
Karnataka Government planning to come out with semiconductor policy. (ET)
Sugar production declines 6% in May 2008

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Sell Suzlon and cover it soon as u get profit

Now Sensex 13800 or 16000??

Still thinking for subscribe ??

Market will be Volatile throughout the Day

Still, It's Not Advisable to Take Any Fresh Long Position.

However, Trader Can Trade, with Little Qty

On Upper - Side It Can Try to Hit 4510 - 4535

Support : 4390 - 4330

we may see some bounce back after yesterday's carnage. Stick to the defensive sectors like IT (given circumstance it is defensive for time being), Pharma and FMCG and stay away from the risky ones like Real Estate, Infrastructure and Capital Goods. Of course you can argue that the beaten down ones will recover fastest. But we are worried it may take longer. So be on the defensive.

Also, small- and mid-cap stocks could be risky, especially now. On the other hand, quite a few large caps have fallen to attractive levels. Long-term buying can be considered in these stocks.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs13.45bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Monday while the local institutions poured in Rs10.3bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers at Rs3.69bn. On Friday, FIIs were net buyers of Rs3.07bn in the cash segment. With this, they have pulled out a net of $4.5bn from the Indian market this year so far.

ABG Shipyard, Asian Hotels, Evinix Accessories, Gujarat Industrial Power, Gujarat Fluorochemicals, NALCO, Sangam India and Zandu Pharma will announce their results today

Corporate News
Idea cellular to buy out 40.8% BK Modi’s stake in Spice Communication for Rs22bn. (ET)

TCS hedges US$1.5bn to safeguard it from Rupee fluctuations. (BS)

UB group to offer stake in airline business to raise funds. (BL)

ONGC may not accept Gazprom’s offer to pick up 50% in its (Gazprom’s) shallow water exploration asset in the North Eastern coast off Orissa. (BL)

Educomp Solutions has secured contracts from 395 schools under the ICT segment. (BL)

M&M to capitalise on the recent acquisition of the US$12mn Italian two-wheeler design company, made by its component arm Systech. (BL)

Paramount Airways has joined the race for buying Spicejet. (ET)

Great Offshore drops plans to acquire two rigs; the company is now planning to buy only one rig. (ET)

HT Media has signed a JV with German media group Hubert Burda. It will set up a printing facility near its own Greater Noida facility. (BL)

Ashok Leyland to borrow Rs10bn in two equal parts to raise its India capacity. (Mint)

Moser Baer plans to set up Rs20bn manufacturing facility near Chennai to make photovoltaic products. (BL)

Aditya Birla Group may acquire 51% stake in Apollo Sindhoori Capital, a broking firm promoted by Apollo Hospital Group. (ET)

SC directs Sahara India Financial Corporation to approach RBI on Thursday to convince it that its financial activities are in order. (BS)

Zydus Cadila acquires majority stake in South Africa based Simalaya Pharmaceuticals. (BS)

BSNL reduces STD rates for its fixed line and cellular subscribers by up to 50%. (BL)

Gujarat High Court has stayed on NPPA order to cut prices of Cadila's drug Envas. (ET)

Cognizant Techology has acquired Strategic Vision Consulting, Inc (SVC), a management and technology consulting firm in US. (BL)

Pipavav Shipyard plans to build offshore patrol vessels for the Indian Navy. (Mint)

Integreon is likely to acquire three companies for US$100mn in next two-three years. (ET)

Economic News

The Government may revise gas pricing formula by raising the cap for gas and crude oil prices at KG basin. (ET)

Finance Minister says the direct tax collection target will be hiked to Rs4 trillion for the current fiscal year. (ET)

According to the Nasscom, the Indian IT industry to witness a 3-4% dip in growth in FY09 as against a 28% growth it achieved in FY08. (BS)

SEBI has proposed to expedite the process of disclosures made by listed companies. (BS)

SEBI proposes to shrink time period for disclosure from 9 days to 2 days. (BL)

The Centre is mulling over a fresh proposal for decontrol of the sugar industry. (BL)

The Government to enforce corporate governance norms in the Navratna Central Public Sector Enterprises CPSEs. (BS)

Steel prices in the spot markets of Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai have gone up during the first week of June

Monday, June 9, 2008

BUY IN DIPS FOR SHORT TERM

Dont be late to subscribe...............

Level to watch on sensex 15250

Maybe this is the dip one should buy at - however, since we cannot confirm whether this is a long term bear or short term bear market - one could just nibble selectively and not buy huge lots.

Today, we see a gap-down opening, but do not rule out a slight rebound later in the day if global indices reverse the weak trend. Short covering could be the only other factor which could lessen the damage. Some key markets in Asia are actually shut today for holidays, which may be of some help to the bulls. Get in with an investment view. Should you be able to pocket some gains in the brief reversals, no harm in booking some quick profits. The undertone remains precarious and fragile.


FIIs were net buyers of Rs766.5mn (provisional) in the cash segment on Friday while the local institutions poured in Rs4bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers at Rs3.05bn. On Thursday, FIIs were net sellers of Rs14.19bn in the cash segment. With this, they have pulled out a net of US$4.6bn (Rs186.6bn) from the Indian market this year so far. Mutual Funds were net buyers of Rs5.47bn.

Gokaldas Exports and Inox will announce their results today.


Today's Pick - JSW Steel

We recommend a sell in JSW Steel from a short-term perspective. The stock has been on a medium-term uptrend from its April low of Rs 490 levels.

However, the stock encountered resistance at Rs 1,200 recently and began to decline forming a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern in the daily chart. This reversal has been supported by the negative divergence in the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI has entered the neutral region from the bullish zone.

A crossover in the daily moving average convergence and divergence indicates a sell signal. The stock is currently testing the medium-term up trendline around Rs 1,085 level.

Considering the above factors, we are bearish on the stock in the short-term. We expect the stock to penetrate the uptrendline and decline until it hits our price target of Rs 980 in the approaching trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while keeping the stop-loss at Rs 1,138 level.

Corporate News

Axis Bank plans to raise Rs65bn through upper and lower tier II bonds.(BS)

SpiceJet is looking to raise Rs4bn in equity capital to part finance aircraft acquisitions plans.(BL)

Punj Lloyd lines up a capex of US$100mn for 2008-09.(BS)

NTPC and its JV subsidiary, Nabinagar power plant, awards BTG contracts to BHEL for Rs35bn.(ET)

RCOM and MTN close to signing a deal to merge the two entities; swap formula of 35:100 likely.(BL)

Personal care product maker Emami forces Zandu Pharma to withdraw its preferential issue.(BS)

Nalco announces expansion plans worth Rs400bn for the next five years.(BL)

Essar Steel Holdings says it might raise its takeover bid for US based Esmark.(BS)

Punj Lloyd secures Rs6.5bn order from IOC for the latter’s Barauni refinery.(FE)

Reliance Petroleum's export oriented 29mn tons refinery to start generating revenues from current year.(BS)

Indian Oil and Oil India to acquire Reliance Industries’ offshore oil block in East Timor.(BL)

JK Lakshmi Cement is adding five more ready-mix concrete units as part of its expansion plans.(ET)

UAE based Etisalat pulls out of negotiations to acquire stake in Spice Communications; cites high valuations.(BS)

Cargill Ventures has cut by half the US$9mn investment it had announced into KPIT Cummins a year ago.(DNA)

GMR Infrastructure to relocate its 220MW power plant to Kakinada in AP from Mangalore in Karnataka.(DNA)

Sobha Developers to foray into the Mysore realty market with three projects in current fiscal.(BS)

Corporation Bank may waive Rs2.8bn under the debt relief scheme for farmers.(BL)

Coal India may come out with an IPO before getting ‘Navratna’ status.(BS)

UK based Vincent Tchenguiz is holding talks with Tata, to invite investment from the latter in a new US$10bn environment fund.(ET)

CavinKare and Henkel have announced a 5% hike across product categories.(TOI)

Axis PE, the PE arm of Axis Bank, is investing Rs1.4bn in two Ahmedabad companies.(ET)

Delhi government owned Indraprastha Power Generation to set up a 2,000MW coal fired power station in MP.(FE)

Gail India is looking at setting up a CNG corridor comprising Nagapattinam, Karaikal and Puducherry.(ET)

Adani Logistics is all set to develop 14 inland container depots across the country by 2010.(ET)

NHPC is likely to sign an agreement with J&K Power Development Corp. to harness 2,100MW at a cost of Rs150bn.(FE)

Six NBFCs, including Shriram Transport Finance, Ashok Leyland and Reliance Capital are believed to be in the race for buying a US$1bn loan portfolio of Citicorp Finance.(ET)

Renault-Nissan combine has started construction work on its passenger vehicle plant in Chennai.(ET)

Alok Industries has resumed talks with PE players to dilute 20% equity it owns in its unlisted unit, Alok Infrastructure.(ET)

Mercator Lines has chartered out a new offshore rig to a Singapore-based firm for US$93,000 per day for three years.(ET)

Economic News

The Government may increase export cess on long steel products from 10% to 15%.(ET)

Global telecom companies approach TRAI to open mobile market for entry of MVNO.(BL)

Seven bidders are vying for Mumbai International Airport’s Rs7bn annual ground handling contract.(Mint)

SEBI increases cumulative debt investment limits for FIIs to US$5bn and US$3bn in government securities and corporate debt, respectively.(FE)

NPPA, the pharma pricing authority, revises prices of 440 medicines.(BS)

PM’s Advisory Council scales down FY09 economic growth to 8% from 8.5%.(FE)

FMCG companies plan to increase prices again after the hike of 3-4% a few months ago.(BL)

Personal computer market in India grew by 10% yoy in January-March 2008 period.

Saturday, June 7, 2008

Be careful in Stock and Bullion

TIME TO SUBSCRIBE BEFORE YOU LOOSE YOUR HARD MONEY ,MARKET AHEAD IS CRUCIAL BEWARE

TRADERS it is Better to gain 1000 than to loose 10000

contact us on sheth_jg@yahoo.com for more details

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Friday, June 6, 2008

Will Pullback rally sustain till 4800 levels

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Thursday, June 5, 2008

Expect Dead Cat Bounce

FRIENDS, CONTINUOUS SELLING BY FIIS FOLLOWED BY NERVOUS RETAIL INVESTORS MAKE NIFTY BREACH THE CRITICAL 4633 LEVELS AND CLOSED BELOW IT. AT PRESENT INDICES LOOK HIGHLY OVER SOLD, AND ANY TIME A GOOD BOUNCE CAN BE EXPECTED, BUT ANY BOUNCE MAY MEET WITH HEAVY SHORT SELL & FRESH SELLING PRESSURE BY FIIS WHO ARE CONTINUOUS SELLING IN OPEN MARKET. -VE DOW FUTURES DURING THE AFTERNOON SESSION AND HIGHLY -VE EUROPEAN BOURSES ADDED FUEL IN LAST 1 HOUR MARKET FALL; ANY SMALL BOUNCE IS A POINT OF HEAVY FRESH SELLING (BASKET SELLING). NOT GO LONG BELOW NIFTY 4840 !! CHANCES – 1. 60% CHANCES R THAT WE TEST NIFTY 4448 (DT. 22/01/08) 2. 20% CHANCES R THAT WE SEE BOTTOM AT NIFTY 4200 3. 20% CHANCES R THAT WE NOT BREACH NIFTY 4503, AS LOW OF 18/03/08

A minor pull-back is not ruled out. But, any rally should be looked at a chance to lighten positions.

FIIs were net sellers to the tune of Rs11.99bn (provisional) in the cash segment yesterday while the local institutions poured in Rs4.2bn. In the F&O segment, foreign funds were net buyers at Rs3.35bn. On Tuesday, FIIs were net sellers of Rs9.52bn in the cash segment. Mutual Funds were net buyers of Rs1.24bn.

Fortis Healthcare and HOV Services will announce their results today.

After correcting sharply in yesterday's trades, the market is likely to witness sideways movement. However, on the other hand, the undertone still looks bearish on the back of strong selling by the FIIs. For the Nifty, the key resistance level is at 4635 and has a likely support at 4540 on the downside. The Sensex has a likely support at 15300 and resistance at 15700.

As usual, the Left parties, and the BJP slammed the Government's decision. Even the RJD, very much part of the Congress coalition, has called for a rollback. If the political temperature continues to mount, there could be a small reversal in the fuel price hike.

Coming to the markets, the much-awaited announcements didn't cut much ice with the investors. Even the shares of OMCs gave up most of their gains by the end of the day. Though the price hike and other measures will provide some relief to OMCs, they will still be in considerable pain. What's more, the fiscal situation is also likely to worsen. Inflation is soon expected to hit double-digits. Companies in sectors like Auto, Aviation, Cement and Steel will be hit the most. Banks will also be affected as higher inflation will lead to more monetary tightening.

To add to the macro-economic woes, we have the fresh concerns over the global front. There are talks that Lehman Brothers could report losses and will have to raise fresh capital to stay afloat. Two of the biggest US bond insurers may have their ratings cut by Moody's. Though oil prices have cooled off substantially from US$135 per barrel, they are still quite high. The US economy may have avoided a recession (only technically though), but it's not going to gallop either. Also, Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke has hinted that the central bank may not increase rates any further.

Given the slew of negative factors, we expect the market to remain under pressure in the near-term. There are more chances of it falling than rallying from here. Technical and F&O indicators too are negative. FII selling has accelerated in the past few days. So, the bulls appear to be cornered from all fronts.

Corporate News

Private equity firms Blackstone, Apax Partners and Carlyle are raising US$5bn for Reliance Communication Ltd’s deal with MTN. (FE)

Reliance Communications hires Deutsche Bank to fund MTN takeover. (BS)

Tech Mahindra bagged US$2.5mn deal to provide end to end systems integration services to the Botswana Tele-Communications. (BL)

Bharti Airtel to opt for the mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) model to increase its footprint overseas than acquisitions abroad. (FE)

SAP plans to invest around US$4-5mn which could go up to US$8-10mn in start-up companies in India through its investment arm, SAP Ventures. (ET)

National Aluminium Company (NALCO) to invest Rs400bn in Greenfield and brownfield projects. (BS)

RBI bars Sahara India Financial Corporation from accepting public deposits due to violation of regulations. (BS)

IVRCL Infrastructure bags RS8.36bn project from ONGC Petro Addittions. (BS)

Phoenix Mills to raise US$450mn from private equity investors to fund its mall and hospitality business. (BS)

Reliance Retail in talks with Liz Claiborne for a JV to open its stores in India. (

Novartis has bought US-based Protez Pharmaceuticals in a deal worth up to US$400mn, giving it rights to an antibiotic which could be used to fight superbugs such as methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). (ET)

Biocon launches pre filled syringes for two drugs for kidney and for cancer patients. (BS)

Essar plans to partner or buy controlling stake in Kalindee Rail Nirman to benefit from the high spending by the railways. (Mint)

Tata Sky not granted relief by Delhi High Court on petition filed for ‘misleading’ advertisement by Dish TV. (BS)

FITCH Ratings placed Reliance Infrastructure on negative rating watch, indicating that the ratings may be downgraded or remain at the current level. (ET)

Air India to induct seven Boeing 737-800’s to its fleet of 18, making its total fleet to 25. (BS)

Orissa based Ruserger Mines and Minerals has applied for license for three mines in Sindhudurg in Maharashtra. (BS)

TVS Motor has entered into a contract manufacturing arrangement with Mahabharat Motors Manufacturing Pvt Ltd. (BL)

TATA BP Solar plans to launch its solar-powered hoardings product called I-Sign by September. (ET)

Raymond launched its new readymade garments range, Raymond Finely Crafted Garments and is close to forming a joint venture with an overseas company. (ET)

Himalaya Drug Company is going to launch a new strategic business unit (SBU) for expanding into smaller towns and hinterland districts. (ET)

Economic News

The Centre to sanction Rs45bn for Mumbai Metro Rail project.

National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD) to open a special liquidity assistance window for cooperative credit institutions to assist during tight resource conditions. (BS)

State governments have decided to reduce the sales tax on petrol and diesel, to reduce the impact of increase in prices. (BL)

The Board of Approval (BoA) for Special Economic Zone (SEZ) cleared 21 SEZs proposal, but there was no decision on Goa SEZ. (FE)

Infrastructure development in and around Mumbai could come to a halt as a result of the proposed coastal management zone (CMZ) regulations. (ET)

The print media industry recorded a growth of 16% last year and stood at Rs149bn according to the ministry of information and broadcasting (I&B). (ET)

In its recommendations on satellite radio Trai has recommended an FDI cap of 74% and a 4% revenue share for all players who want to offer services on this platform. (ET)

The general insurance industry grew by 14% in April led by strong growth in premiums collected by private sector insurers. (ET)

FMC will frame new rules on appointment of directors and tenure of board members in commodity exchanges in a move to improve corporate governance in these entities. (ET)
The Centre has decided to keep the base prices of edible oils unchanged for this fortnight

Wednesday, June 4, 2008

HIGHTLIGHTS

Following are the highlights of the petroleum product price
hikes and tax revisions announced by the government:
* 3 rupees/L hike in diesel price.
* 5 rupees/L hike in petrol price.
* Govt hikes LPG prices by 50 rupees per cylinder.
* Customs duty on crude cut to nil.
* Govt cuts excise duty on diesel, petrol by 1 rupee/L.
* Customs other petro products cut to 5% vs 10%.
* Govt cuts customs duty on petrol, HSD to 2.5% from 7.5%.
* Excise duty cut to cost 66.60 bln rupees.
* Duty cut on oil pdts to cost govt 226 bln rupees.
* Revised fuel prices effective midnight