Nifty has formed a strong bear candle, closing below
the lows of Friday. This indicates fresh weakness. For
the coming session, although a positive opening
cannot be ruled out on the basis of global cues, we
need to watch if the Nifty sustains above 2800 levels.
Failure to hold these levels would continue the
downward move.
Nifty (2767) Sup 2720 Res 2815
Buy BEL (854)
Target 870, 875
Buy Cummins (170)Target 177, 179
Buy Reliance Cap (387-391) Target 400,
Tata Tea
We recommend a sell on Tata Tea from a short-term trading perspective. It is evident from the charts of Tata Tea that it had been on a medium-term uptrend between late November 2008 and mid January 2009 when it moved from Rs 430 to Rs 635. The stock almost gained 47 per cent during this period. This up move of the stock retraced exactly 38.2 per cent (fibonacci retracement level) of its prior downtrend.
The stock has a significant long-term resistance between Rs 635 and Rs 650. It encountered resistance at Rs 635, and lost its bullish momentum. Subsequently the stock breached its medium-term up trendline and 21-day moving average. The daily relative strength index (RSI) is falling in the neutral region towards the bearish zone.
Moreover, the price rate of change indicator has entered in to the negative territory that indicates increase in selling pressure. We are bearish on the stock from a short-term horizon. We expect the stock to decline further until it hits our price target of Rs 534. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining a stop-loss at Rs 618.