Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Midcaps on fire, time to take a pause

Buy HPCL and Sell Cairn ..Profit urs ..loss mine

Stocks in Indian markets are likley to be flat and with negative bias, inspite of the good news from abroad. Expect the Sensex to trade in aband of 1 percent or 150 points with odds in the favor bears to win the battle for the day

Book profits in Oil and Oil related stocks as we have seen a sharp fall in the crude prices. Oil prices tumbled $2.32 to $72.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prior to trading Tuesday, prices had climbed 8.1 percent in just 5 days. Stocks like Alpha Geo,Selan Exploration Jindal Drilling and Hindustan Oil exploration had incredible gains in the past month and it is a good idea to take some money off the table.

IT and Consumer Durables were major gainers yesterday and the stocks in these sectors are likely to move sideways. The stock of Suven life was active on announcement by the company that it is in talks with global majors for a partnership for its Alzheimers drug. The stock hit 20 percent circuit at Rs 31. We recommend investors to wait for a pull back to enter the stock. A pure speculative play.

We maintain our pessimistic view on the markets in the short term, as we foresee a correction in the near term. Midcaps are getting too hot and it would be great for the market if there is a some consolidation, before a move up. Karuturi Global, Alps Industries and ISMT are some of the midcaps to watch in today's trade

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Sensex ripe for correction, time to book profits

Indian markets are set to open flat to lower in the first hour of trade. Expect some profit booking to come in today at higher levels

As mentioned in the last column Oil exploration stocks were on fire as Crude Oil rallied to a 10 month record high. Alpha Geo, Selan Exploration and Jindal Drilling were all up more than 15 percent as the drilling sector is expected to make a come back. We advice investors to start trimming their holdings in this sectors as we believe the Crude prices might stabilize at the $ 80 level by the end of the year and this rally could be used to book profits in these stocks.

Midcap realty stocks like Brigade Enterprises and Madhucon Projects flared up on heavy operator activity especially in the former. There was unusual volume with decent price action in India Bulls Securities as the stock gained 14.5 percent on a volume of more than 10 million shares.

We are of the opinion that the market is overheated and has formed an intermediate top. There is a strong possibility of crash in the coming days as we thing some of the stocks have run ahead of the fundamentals. Book profits and stay on the sidelines

Monday, August 24, 2009

Positive opening on cards, Caution advised in the near future

Stocks on Dalal Street are expected to open higher on the back of positive global and cues and positive sentiment among the investors. The benchmark index or the Sensex is likely to gain 100 to 150 points or nearly a percent for the day.

Realty and Auto stocks were strong in Friday and we see Oil & Gas along with metals to dominate the market today. Watch out for stocks like ONGC, Cairn energy and Reliance Petroleum, as crude prices hit a two month high on NYMEX. Metals stocks are likely to benefit from a weak dollar and increasing global demand. Hindalco, Tata Steel and SAIL will be active in today's trade.

It was party time for Tea stocks as rumors were wide spread in the market that the output from Kenya might not be enough to fulfill the demand this year. Jayshree Tea, Harrison malyalam, Dhunseri Tea and Mcleod Russel were active on Friday's trade with gains of 10 to 20 percent. Fertilizer stocks like HOCL and RCF were had a good day with double digit gains. We advise investors to book profits in Tea stocks on another up move, may be 10 percent from here. There is some more room for fertilizer stocks in the short term.

We are likely to see a higher open in the first hour of trade and some decent gains are not ruled out in the Sensex. We advise caution investors as we believe that correction might be around corner and the current valuations have factored in the fact that we at the end of the recession. Gujarat Apollo Ind, Granules India, Geometric Ltd and Jain Irrigation are some of the stocks to watch out for Monday's trade

Monday, August 17, 2009

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Thursday, August 13, 2009

Bulls to return to the drivers seat, Stocks set to gain in early trade

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Stocks on Dalal Street are set to roar after being mum for more than a week. We expect some buying to come in on the opening bell and there might be some short covering, that could boost the indices. Expect the benchmark index or the Sensex to gain nearly 300 points or 2 percent for the day

Realty and Healthcare stocks dominated the day with decent gains, where as metals and IT were on the receiving end. Realty stocks like DLF moved against the tide helped by DLF and Unitech. Banking stocks were flat to negative, but today might there is a string chance that these stocks will be one of the major gainers in today's trade.

As recommended Natco Pharma vaulted and was locked in circuit on huge volumes, we see some speculative buying and there might something cooking in the counter. There was some insider buying in the beginning of the year in this counter. Agri commodity related stock spiked up as traders placed bets that the prices of food product might spike due to drought conditions. LT Overseas, KCP Sugars, Kohinoor Foods, Heritage Foods and Ruchi Soya were some of the gainers in this space.

Prism Cement continued to gain and has some more room to move even after a decent run up. We recommend booking profits in Sugar stocks on an up move , as the rise has been too far and too fast.Also book partial profits in Hind Oil Exploration as the stocks has skyrocketed in the past few sessions.Karuturi Global, ICSA,Webel SL enery are some of the stocks to watch in today's trade

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Sensex headed for a lower open, Banking and Realty stocks might take a hit

Indian markets are likely to open red and might trade in the negative territory, as investors are likely to dump stocks on negative global cues and lack of near term triggers. Expect the benchmark index or the Sensex to give up less than a percent. There is strong chance that we perform relatively better than our Asian peers today.

Auto stocks led the recovery on Tuesday with Tata Motors gaining more than 6 percent for the day. There was some select buying in Tech counters like HCL Tech and bluechips like GAIL and Ranbaxy.Auto, Realy and Metal Stocks outperformed the rest of stocks on Tuesday.

We see a major correction in the banking sector as the stocks might fall on the weakness in the global financial stocks. Also expect some correction in Auto and Realty which have been major gainers yesterday.

Sugars stocks go sweeter after the price of the commodity hit record highs. We have see stellar gains in Andhra Sugar, Bannari Amman, KCP Sugar and Rajshree Sugars. Natco Pharma was an unusual mover with great price action on huge volume. Definitely a great speculative stock to watch out at Rs 94 level. NDTV and Aptech are two other stocks that look explosive. We advise investors to sit on the sidelines and avoid huge positions in the current market