Friday, December 31, 2010

Year 2010 : Nifty up 18 pct, Sensex up 17 pct

Dalal Street might wrap up the last day of the year with a ranged trade as traders look forward to new year celebrations. Year 2010 delivered excellent returns to investors.

Nikkei and Kospi were closed today on account of holidays.

News Bytes

* iGate to control Patni with 60% stake buy

* Citi, Goldman plan to buy 5% in Reliance Broadcast

* Manganese Ore in talks with Gabon: source

* SBI to raise Rs 12,000 cr from bonds by Mar 2012

* K S Oils to allot 1.64 cr shares to promoters

* SSWL commences Wheels Rims supply to Tata Motors

* Food inflation accelerates to 10-week high

* PNB seeks partners for insurance business

Market Outlook

Nifty delivered a surprise visit to 6100 levels, hitting all call writers till 6000 levels. We believe Markets might see new highs soon. With fresh inflows expect in January this time it might be unstoppable for Markets to hit new highs.

Stay invested.

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Nifty eyes 6100

Dalal Street is likely to head north after excellent gains yesterday with Nifty eyeing 6100, causing pain to 6000 strike call writers. On the wall street stocks indexes finish with small gains and remain on pace for their best December in nearly 20 years.

The Standard and Poor's 500-stock index is up 6.7 percent for the month. If it closes Friday at this level or higher, it will be the index's best December return since 1991. Japanese stocks declined as auto shares decline on a strengthening yen and concern about Chinese moves to curb car-buying.

News Bytes

* Suzlon sees revival, needs more cash just to survive

* PNB still interested in insurance sector, seeks JV

* NTPC likely to float Rs 18,000-cr tender

* SAIL FPO in Jan, ONGC in March, IOC deferred

* Godrej Properties signs development pact with Addison & Co

* Unity Infra to launch three Nagpur malls by mid-2012

* India Inc raises Rs2 trillion in decade via IPOs

Markets - Expiry moves, volumes low

FIIs were busy seen buying Index Futures and Index options as if it was a regular trading day. Volumes were on the higher side in the F&O segment. Major players appear to be active in the F&O segment. Speculative bets are back in the reckoning but we advice investors to stay cautious with these counters. Choose stocks with good fundamentals.

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Another choppy session on cards

Dalal Street is likely to extend the choppy ride with another lacklustre session thanks to simillar cues from global equity markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up to hit a fresh 2010 closing high in thin trading on Tuesday.

Asian Markets are trading flat on Wednesday.

News Bytes

* Gitanjali in talks to raise $100 mn

* HPCL, Mittal plan IPO for Bathinda refinery in 2011

* M&M faces $290 millon lawsuit by Reva ally in New York

* Indiabulls renews partnership with RSA

* Gayatri Projects bags order worth Rs 113 cr

* MFIs seek freeze on repayment to Banks

* MOIL invites bids to form JVs for acquisition.

* US firm buys 60% stake in Nitin Cylinders

Markets - Flat but exciting times ahead

The current boredom on Dalal Street has not been witnessed from the past two years with majority of the investors taking a break from trading. We write time and again that exciting times are ahead of us. It is time to accumulate good stocks and we advice investors to avoid this year's top two sectors Banking and Automobile

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Street's subdued saga likely to extend

Dalal Street is likely to trade in a band yet again on flattish global cues as majority of the retail investors and FIIs are holidaying. China's central bank could raise interest rates to alleviate negative real interest rates in the first half of next year while inflation pressures are large, the central bank-backed Financial News reported Tuesday. Asian markets are currently trading mixed today.

News Bytes

* Tata Steel may cut debt in Riversdale sale

* PFC & REC set sights on bank foray, to hire consultants

* Ramky mulls hiving off road, industrial park business

* CIL's overseas acquisitions in 2011-12

* RBI cuts SLR for RRBs to 24% to inject liquidity

* KEC Intl wins orders worth Rs 1,018 cr

* iGate, Apax close to buying 63% of Patni Computer

Markets - All roads point to new highs next month

We expect markets to hit new highs before the budget. One can see pre-budget rally from the second week. IT stocks look promising, so are Oil related stocks. Infrastructure and Realty are the two dark horse sectors while Banking and Auto are most likely to underperform going forward

Monday, December 27, 2010

Subdued start on cards, China hikes interest rates

Dalal Street is likely to open flat on Monday morning on mixed Asian markets and flattish US cues. Crude Oil is likely to witness a sharp rally as Arctic weather invades US East Coast, threatening to snarl air and ground transportation as holiday travelers scramble to find ways to get home.

Asian markets are trading mixed on Monday morning.

News Bytes

* RCF scanning price asked for Russian mine stake

* Yes Bank asks MFIs to return Rs 100 cr loans

* Manufacturing sector posts high growth in April-Dec: CII

* NMDC likely to hike iron ore prices by 3%

Markets - Look forward to underperforming sectors next year

We believe Infrastructure helped with Realty sectors are likely to lead the rally on the street. With major FIIs turning their heads to these underperforming sectors, we expect Banks and Autos to hand on the baton. Banking sector is unlikely to shine in the next year on account of lower margins.

Nifty should close above 6020 for a bull run. Given the low volume trade, we expect Nifty to again fall back below 6000 levels before expiry.

Friday, December 24, 2010

Another subdued session in the offing on Dalal Street

Indian equities might continue to languish near the current levels in the next 4-5 trading sessions on flattish global cues. On Wall Street stocks finished mixed but were little moved by Thursday's deluge of economic data as volumes thinned on the last trading day before the three-day Christmas holiday. Asian markets are trading in red on Friday morning.

News Bytes

* Strides to up stake in Australian pharma to 94%

* Titan to double Sonata sales over 3-4 yrs

* Temasek buys 3% pie in Max India

* GPI, ITC resume cigarette production

* Sugar hits fresh 30-year high, supply tight

* Adani Power awaits environ min nod for Bhadreshwar plant

* Glenmark receives USFDA nod for three drugs

* IOC's Rs 19,000-cr FPO hits subsidy block

Markets - Hanging on

While we expected a band of 5800-6000 for Nifty for this monthe expiry, it appears breaking 5900 on Nifty is also getting tougher on each passig day. Sugar stocks spiked up in the last hour of trade. Keep an eye on the same.

Stocks to watch for in today's trade include Ballarpur Indutries, OBC, Kingfisher Air, DCB

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Crude gets rude, trading at 2-year high

Dalal Street is likely to open flat yet again and might trade in a narrow band with a positive bias as Asian markets are trading in green. Overnight Wall Street finished off with marginal gains. Year end activity is taking a toll on volumes in all global markets.

U.S. crude oil futures prices extended gains and rose to a 26-month peak above $90 on Wednesday in choppy trading after government data showed crude stockpiles fell more than expected last week, a day after industry data showed a similar drop by inventories.

News Bytes

* Acquired Griffin for A$750 million: Lanco

* RBI sees liquidity easing in Jan

* 2 killed in Dr Reddy's nitrogen gas leak

* RBI bans FII purchases in IndusInd Bank

* Fortis Global to buy 30% in Aussie firm for Rs 450 cr

* M&M, Gulf Oil launch co-branded diesel engine oil

* Radico in advanced tie-up talks with 3 intl firms

* PTC India''s arm files draft prospectus with SEBI

Market Outlook - Choppy

We expect the Markets to display same kind of volatility we have witnessed yesterday but with in a band. There is no point in panicking and instead pick stocks good fundamental stories.

Few stocks to watch in today's trade include Indiabulls Financial, Kingfisher Airlines, Hind Motors and Navneet

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Nifty to face resistance at 6020

Dalal Street is likely to witness a volatile session today with Bull pointing guns towards 6020 level for Nifty, considered as a key resistance level. Overnight US Markets closed in the green. We expect a good rally in the US stocks in the next three months.

News Bytes

* Coal India close to buying 15% stake in Oz mine

* Satyam minority investors oppose merger with TechM

* Moser Baer commissions India's largest solar plant

* Dr Reddy’s inks pact with Russian pharma firm

* Patel Engg-led consortium bags Rs 300-cr order

* Dr Reddy's inks pact with Russian firm R-Pharm

* Essar bids for Shell's Stanlow refinery

Outlook

For today broking stocks might attract interest in conjunction with Japanese broking stocks. Essar Oil might witness some action after reports of UK acquisition is doing rounds. Overall we believe this market is for investors with a little patience and one can witness a big action in the next three months especially in the small and midcap stocks.

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Second rung IT to be the hot favourite

Indian equities might gap up marginally on Tuesday morning as Asian markets are trading in green with Nikkei leading the charge. Wall Street closed mixed on Monday.

News Bytes

* Jindal Power IPO likely in next calendar year: JSPL

* Ranbaxy’s South African JV bags Rs 603 cr order

* Tata Chemicals to buy British Salt for Rs 660 cr

* Reliance Industries plans to shut 200,000 bpd FCC

* Lanco Infra ties up funding for Maharashtra power project

* Diamond Power eyes turnkey to double order book by March

Markets : Not much to talk about

While markets continue to trade ranged, we believe second rung IT stocks are ready for a take-off. Yesterday's trade pointed towards a big move soon in this space. We expect more consolidation in this space going into year 2011.

Place your bets on second rung IT in the short term

Monday, December 20, 2010

Expect subdued activity in the coming weeks

Dalal Street is likely to open flat, inline with the global markets on account of listless trading due to "December" factor. From Wall Stret to Dalal Street there is not much to expect in the coming two weeks unless there is a major global event. Asian Markets are trading flat today.

News Bytes

* Patni Computer bid in last stage, new owner likely this week

* Moser Baer Solar plans up to $600 mn capex

* Gold jewellery sales increase 20% in last fortnight

* Ranbaxy to recall batches of anti-cholesterol drug from UK

* PTC finance arm to float, parent’s stake to reduce

Market Outlook

We expect markets to trade in the range of 5800-6000, taking the pain to option traders. This month's expiry has another ten days to go. We advice investors to start picking up stocks as New year is most likely to rock. We are expecting massive inflows in the second week of Janunary

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Spain fails to impact Wall Street

Wall Street closed marginally in the red despite of warning from Moody's that it would downgrade Spain. Meanwhile "all is not well" at Dalal Street which might witness further selling pressure today.

News Bytes


* RIL, Tata Steel among top advance tax payers

* BoB inks Spanish JV to ride credit card boom

* Lanco Infratech to acquire Australian coal mine

* Essar, Kobe join hands to develop auto steel

Markets - Choppy but not much downside


We expect markets to trade with a negative bas. Having said that we do not expect major downsides from current levels. Investors should start picking stocks at these levels as come January we will believe renewed FII selling will take markets to higher levels.

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

All eyes on RBI policy meeting tomorrow

Indian Equities might open flat on Wednesday morning on no major news flow but all eye would be set on RBI policy meet tomorrow.

Fed statement re-iterated job market weakness and low inflation, the Fed characterized the U.S. expansion as "continuing," a modest upgrade from its November description of the recovery as "slow."

Wall Street closed marginally in the green. Asian Indices are trading flat on Wednesday morning.

News Bytes :

* LIC Housing Finance approves 1:5 stock split

* Mallya stake in Kingfisher to drop below 50%

* TCS bags $100mn tech deal from Deutsche Bank

* Eveready hikes prices of batteries by up to 9%

* BPCL increases petrol prices by Rs 2.95 a litre

* Neyveli in search for JV partner for overseas acquisitions

Markets - Caution Today

After three consecutive days of rally, Markets are likely to take a pause before the next move. On the contrary it is advisable to stick to strong midcaps for now. Do not over trade and choppy sessions are expected for rest of the december.

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

D-Street to open flat, Midcaps to extend pullback

Indian equities are likely to open near the touchline on Tuesday on the back of flattish global markets and lack of news flow. Wall Street closed mixed but again near to the the previous close though Nasdaq snapped nine-day winning streak. Asian markets are trading flat on Tuesday.

News Bytes

* DB Corp launches Dainik Bhaskar in Jamshedpur

* GVK bid process for Mumbai airport hospitality zone soon

* Lincoln Pharma ties up with US based Human Biosciences Inc

* Hinduja’s flagship Ashok Leyland has bagged an order for 600 vehicles from VRL Logistics of Hubli

* DoT rejects Liberty bid for ITI takeover

Markets - Flat but volatile

We believe Markets are likely to trade flat atleast for the first half of the trade with the focus shifting to mid and smallcap stocks. These stocks will see consolidation after this pull back rally. Rest of the month we expect a ranged trade with volatility in the next one week to ten days. Investors should get ready for the January rally by accumulating stocks with solid fundamentals.

Monday, December 13, 2010

Hesitant start on cards, Asia trades in green

Dalal Street might open marginally in the red on Monday morning as follow up buying might not be evident after Friday's decent pull back. Wall Street closed in the green on Friday, hitting a 2 year highs might see some profits off the table in the next couple of weeks due to window dressing.

Asian Markets lead by Shangai are trading positively.

News Bytes

* Coal India, NPC mull JV for nuclear power

* Redington India Promoters' Sell 14% Stake

* Fortis Healthcare Acquires UP-Based Vivekanand Hospital

* Sequoia Bought 7% Stake In Hindustan Glass

* SEBI tightens promoter norms

* K Sera Sera on buying spree, acquires coal mine in Indonesia

* L&T, Russian firm in Nuclear Power JV

Markets - Ranged trade with volatility

Markets are likely to shed some weight today. FIIs were short in Index futures on Friday. While volumes were low during Friday's rally, Nifty at 5600-5700 might provide the much needed support. Indian investors might not see major moves above 6000 levels for Nifty before this year end.