Market may turn volatile

Thomas cook Buy around 90 to 90.50 with Sl of 85 for a Target of 95.50 to 98.90 or Even 100+

Today, Nifty has support at 4,227 and resistance at 4,408 and BSE Sensex has support at 13,989 and resistance at 14,627.

Stock on radar - Cairn,Ranbaxy,Axisbank,M&M,Tatamotors
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BUY IT STOCKS like INFOSYS,SATYAM,WIPRO

Buy Sega goa,Bongaigaon Refinery, target for clients only

Some of the stocks that look interesting in today's trade are Punj Lloyd, Bag Films, TV Today Networks and Pyramid Saimira

After a bear day today.. now a bull day is waiting for you tomorrow. Lots of good news will give a positive effect to the market like Crude falling below 123 trading at 121, one more support is broken .. dollar trading good .. good for IT sector … and finally US market showing strength. Opening will be good and positive hope we don’t get any bad news before that, and also be careful at every resistance because at those levels we can see some profit booking if not crossed.

Any upside will immediately face resistance at 4200 it would be good if we open above this level then next target will be 4240 followed by 4280 and 4300. Downside 4168 on the Nifty spot should act as a first good support if we break this then we get next minor support around 4130 which can break easily if sustains there and can push further down to 4090 and 4075.

Lets talk something technically, I will not go much in technical terms but in simple terms for you people to understand .. the current downfall is good thing is we are filling up the gaps in the charts and second good thing is we have technically corrected the rally which took place from 12500 to 15000, in technical terms the word retrace is used for such. In this whole scenario 13425 – 13500 will form a good support. Short term will not have to worry as long as we stay above 13500, only a two close below 13400 can worsen the situation.

Trading strategy – Day trader can look to buy at the opening and should look to book 75% profit around 4240. Investor as we mentioned before around 3900 to put in your 30% cash keep investing in it.

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Well said on Thursday that ICICI results are bad . Sell it ...today see the the effect

Rumors are ripe in the market that the government is willing to dilute 10-15 percent of its PSU holdings.This should boost the share prices of the PSU stocks listed on the exchanges. There are around 44 listed PSU stocks trading in the market.

According a pink paper report government has given a green signal to BSNL IPO and this will followed up with a merger with MTNL. So watch out for this scrip in early trade

MM Forgings Ltd has recommended issue of Bonus Shares in the ratio of 1:1.

BUY India bulls sec ,IMP Powers,Relaxo Footwear

After a five-day, 2300-point rally in the Sensex, the bulls decided to take stock of the situation. Hence, the correction in the last two days. Friday's serial blasts in IT hub Bangalore made matters worse. Sentiment may get hit further (albeit temporarily) by weekend blasts in Ahmedabad. History shows that stock markets have bounced back in the aftermath of terrorist strikes. We expect history to get repeated today. After a cautious to lower opening, things should start looking up again, especially if oil prices remain stable or fall further, and global markets hold up. Another positive could be the strong revival in monsoon, which should ease inflationary expectations.

Yesterday said hold 4300 nifty put BINDAAS , See now

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Boldly said .....

stbt short nifty kal -50 point khulega

Sell RelCapital sl 1420 tgt 1350

STBT nifty fut/icici bank/rel energy

Cairn India could be a dark horse. Buy around Rs.220 with a stop of Rs.215.80. The stock could witness some brisk action which will take it to Rs.228/232

Today's Pick - MTNL

We recommend a buy in Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL) from a short-term perspective. It is evident from the charts of MTNL that from its 52-week high of Rs 219, the stock tumbled steeply during January 2008. This down-move continued until the stock found support at Rs 83 in early July. Since then it has been charting a short-term uptrend. We notice that the stock has formed a falling wedge pattern (a bullish pattern), spanning over the past five months. On July 24, th e stock broke out of this falling wedge pattern by gaining 7 per cent with extraordinary volume. The stock is trading well-above its 21- and 50-day moving averages. The daily relative strength index (RSI) is featuring in the bullish zone. The weekly RSI is displaying a prolonged positive divergence and has entered into the neutral region from the bearish zone. The moving average convergence and divergence has entered into the positive territory. Our short-term forecast of the stock is bullish. We expect the stock to move up until it hits our price target of Rs 115 in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can buy the stock, while maintaining a stop-loss at Rs 98.

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Now bull run ends or just begaining ??

Somi Conveyor Beltings having issued shares at Rs 35 is likely to list on BSE at around Rs 30. Share may witness momentum post listing and could move to Rs 40 next week

keep eyes on Hpcl, Bpcl, Rnrl, sbi, Zee entertainment


Insurance bill coming soon ....

The insurance bill would enable the government to raise FDI in insurance sector from 26 per cent to 49 per cent

We recommend a buy in Steel Authority of India (SAIL) from a short-term perspective

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Huge gap up till 4500 levels nifty and 14700 sensex

A whole host of companies that will benefit from the Indo-US nuclear deal will see some positive action today. These include the likes of L&T, HCC, BHEL, NTPC, Tata Power, Reliance Power, Areva T&D, Alstom Projects, Siemens and ABB. The ADAG group shares may also extend their recent gains. Sesa Goa is likely to rise after announcing strong results.

We will also have the F&O expiry next week, which could make the market volatile. On the whole though, we are in for a short-term rebound, which could take the Nifty up a few hundred points. But, one must not get carried away and start buying aggressively.

The improvement in the mood may last for a few more days, provided oil prices retreat further, global markets hold and inflation cools down. On the flip side, the market could turn lower again on any fresh negative news. One must add here that the last four days of rally has been driven mainly by short-covering by bears. Also, FIIs have turned net sellers again in the last two days after pumping over Rs10bn in the two days of last week. The monsoon has been quite bad over western and southern parts of the country. This could spoil the party for the Government and the markets

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The Nuke Deal now looks reality provided
the UPA can prove majority on the floor which should happen mostly on 20th or 22nd of
this month.” And its finalised for 22/July, and this day should finalise the future of this
present Govt.
- India is right now in a very very sorry state of affairs. Our honourable Members of
Parliament (MP's) who are supposed to be People Representatives for doing good for the
Nation are busy squeezing out the most of the situation for their personal benefits. By now
every one of us would have heard that the rate of each MP is Rs.25 Crs for selling out the
promises he made to the public. (Its not just their fault, wait and see same public will again
vote them). The new lows of morale hit by the MP's are not from the Congress or BJP, this
situation of sorry state of affairs is on Regional parties.
- The political parties who have taken a stand on Nuclear Deal after understanding or
reading it are just three BJP, Congress and Left, for EVERY Body else the national interest
and the stand on Nuke Deal would depend only on how well their personal interests are met!
- All now depends now on what happens on the 22nd evening 4 PM. If the Govt falls
the market may fall the next day may be even hits a lower circuit. Then there are chances
that sense may prevail and peple buy thinking elections would be held on Nov'08 and we
definitely will have a new Govt (mostly the strong man L.K.Advani)
- If the Govt wins trust vote and if the Nuke Deal gets signed we may test 15500 to
16000 levels. A immediate rally on winning the trust vote may be short lived until unless the
deal is operationalised! Lets wait and watch for the final results and expect Monday and
Tuesday to be very volatile with negative bias on Monday.

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Dont be surprise by rally of 700 points

SGX (Singapore nifty) up 144 points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! day's high 163 points up!!!!!!!!

Markets will be opening in a very aggressive mood with a huge gap of 400- 500 points on positive side of Sensex . Markets will be witnessing
Huge uptrend of about 700-850 points during the trading session with high volatile movements and with optimistic trends. Markets will be closing large gains.

Buy HPCL (197) SL 193
Target 207, 210

Today's Pick - GMDC

We recommend a sell in Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation from a short-term perspective. From the charts of Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation, we observe that it has been on a long-term downtrend since its November 2007 peak.

The down move accelerated in March 2008 and the stock penetrated its 200-day moving average during this decline. The stock has been testing the key support level at Rs 240 over the last two weeks. On July 16, the stock conclusively broke through this support level and closed 6 per cent lower.

The daily and weekly relative strength indices have entered into the bearish zone from the neutral region. The stock is trading well-below it 21- and 50-day moving averages. The long-term down trendline of the stock is still in place.

Considering the above negative factors, we are bearish on the stock in the short-term horizon. We expect the stock’s decline to prolong until it hits our price target of Rs 198 in the approaching trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock, while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 234.

Buy Ranbaxy n book on time

Now at Present
Singapore Nifty +36.5 point
43.1460 INR = $
Crude = 138.7 $

MARKET, IS HAVING NEGATIVE SENTIMENT AND CAN LOOK TO TEST 3780,PANIC IN THE MARKET AND THE NIFTY CAN GO DOWN TO 3780 AND BREAK OF THIS THEN 3710 WILL SHOW UP ON YOUR SCREEN

ON THE UPSIDE NIFTY IS LIKELY TO FACE HURDLE AT 3890 AND THEN UPON CROSSOVER OF 3890 NIFTY WILL FACE NEXT RESISTANCE AT 3955-60

IMPORTANT DATES TO BE WATCHED.

o JULY 16 - EIA PETROLEUM REPORT

o JULY 22 - VOTE OF CONFIDENCE AGAINST UPA GOVT.

o JULY 29 - RBI MEET

TRADING STRATEGY - AT THE MOMENT MARKET SEEMS TO BE DIRECTIONLESS MORE ON THE NEGATIVE SIDE. NIFTY SPOT TRADING RANGE 3780 – 3890. BREAK OF ANY SIDE WILL CATCH THE MOMENTUM ON THAT SIDE

Parsvanath could see some short term gains as the company is set to make some announcement later in the day

IFCI bounced back from its intra-day low, the stock gained by a percent to close at Rs37. The company is planning to buy non-performing assets (NPAs) of the IIBI Ltd, according to a report also plans to revive these assets and recover money from them to add to its net profit. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs38.5 and a low of Rs35 and recorded volumes of over 1,00,00,000 shares on BSE

Indian Markets might close in the positive zone

Bulls and Bears are Playing,Subscribe to know who wins

Our Trading Call of SAURASHTRA CEMENT, Flared and Hit 20% UPPER-FILTER

Our Trading Call of Ranbaxy, Also Flared Almost 11% , and Complete's IT'S Days Target

Nifty (4040) Sup 3920 Res 4100

Sell HDFC (1934) SL 1960
Target 1885, 1875

Ranbaxy may see some recovery after the company clarified that its deal with Daiichi is on track. Earlier reports stated production at three facilities of Ranbaxy Laboratories could be banned if charges of fraud, forging of documents and manufacturing from unapproved locations leveled by USFDA are proved

Some buying may be seen in mid cap counters. HUL could be among the safer stocks for the time being.

Steel companies could see some action on reports that they are considering 15% hike in prices to offset rising raw material costs. Meanwhile, the railways has reportedly decided to give a 25% discount on domestic iron ore freight booked to ports in a bid to help steel companies.

Among the major bulk deals, Merrill Lynch sold 200,000 shares of Selan Exploration at an average price of Rs217.

Insider trades:

Sakthi Sugars: M.Manickam, Vice Chairman & Managing Director of the company from the market has purchased 10,499 equity shares on 10th July 2008.

Gateway Distriparks: Kirpa Ram Vij, Director of the company has purchased 15,000 shares from the open market on 9th July 2008.

This week how to trade with markets

Nifty Futures
Buy Nifty July Futures @ 3920-3930* Stop Loss: 3850* Target:
4180-4200* (*Spot levels)

Nifty Strategy
Sell One Nifty July 3800 PE @ 74-78; Sell One July 4200 CE @
66-70; UBEP:4340; LBEP: 3660; SL: 185 (total premium); TF:
8-10 days

Pair strategy
Buy Tata Motors and Sell M&M
Buy one lot TataMotor July Fut @ 392-395 and Sell one lot M&M
July Fut @ 525-530. Time Frame: 10-12 Days.

Buy PNB and Sell Allahabad Bank
Buy two lot ALBK July Fut @ 57-58 and Sell one lot PNB July
Fut @ 392-394. Time Frame: 10-12 Days.

Hybrid strategy
Covered Call in Reliance
Buy 1 lot Reliance July Fut @ 2028-2030 and Sell 1 July 2160 CA
@ 28-30. BEP: 2000. Stop Loss: 1980. Time Frame: 10-12 days

Trading Calls - July 14 2008

Rel Com can be bought around 435 with a stop loss of 428. The stock may be a slow starter but could be a surprise package. Above 444 it will show strength

Market Grape Wine :

In House :

Nifty at a support of 3995 and 3935 levels with resistance at 4115 and 4165 levels .

Buy : in F&O Tisco above 644 target 665 s/l fo 635

Sell : in F&O Centextile below 490 target 465 s/l of 505

Out House:

Markets at a support of 13456 & 13232 resistance at 13786 & 13636 levels .

Buy : Sail & Tsico

Buy : Sbin at dips

Buy : ITC at dips

Buy : Bhel & LT at dips

Buy : ACC

Buy : RIL

Buy : Titan at dips

Dark Horse : Sbin , LT , RIL , Suzlon & Tisco

Close above 14000 ,Partytime

Cairn our pick

Infosys result as mention earlier to clients are better than expected

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Market may remain cautious

Now at Present
Singapore Nifty -43.0 point
43.2170 INR = $
Crude = 136.57 $

Yesterday's Rally

Led By ???

SHORT COVERING
or

Technical Pull Back
or

Rally in Bear Market
or

Something Else

Soon this site will go paid
For membership pls contact sheth_jg@yahoo.com

I have an Ideaaaaaaaaaaa

BUY R-pack today

We expect a positive opening. What is not certain is whether the gains can be extended further. Fresh bad news can hit the markets anytime and reverse most of the gains.

One Can buy Banks like Kotak,icici,Banknifty

Today's Pick - GSK Pharma

We recommend a buy in GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals from a short-term horizon. It is clearly visible from the charts of GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals that it was on a long-term down trend from its April 2006 high of Rs 1,553 to its January 2008 low of Rs 704. However, the stock reversed direction in January and has been on a steady uptrend since then. We notice an inverse complex head and shoulders pattern, spanning over the past nine months with neckline at Rs 1,150. On July 8, the stock decisively broke out of the neckline by surging more than 3 per cent, accompanied with above 2 week average volume. The stock is trading well above its 21 and 50-day moving averages. The daily and weekly momentum indicators are featuring in the bullish zone. The daily moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) is featuring in the positive territory and the weekly MACD has entered this territory. Besides, the up trendline of the stock is intact. Our short-term forecast for the stock is bullish and we expect it to rally until it hits our price target of Rs 1,300 in the forthcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can buy the stock while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 1,125

Results today:
Bajaj Auto Finance, Bajaj Finserv and Prithvi Information
New Listing:

TTT Rohan Mehta: New Listing:
Chakkilam Infotech; no circuit filter today ((currently listed on Bangalore SE))

Bulls feel Left out!

Sell Rcom,reliance,sterlite as much as u can in truck loads n timely book profit

Today, Nifty has support at 3,848 and resistance at 4,096 and BSE Sensex has support at 13,072 and resistance at 13,764

The Left parties are likely to announce withdrawal of their support today. While this may be factored in, future events on the political front need to be watched.

IT sector may hog the limelight as Infosys will declare its results on Friday and others will follow suit next week

Banks may be in focus today amid reports of SBI suffering big MTM loss. Reliance counters of course may continue to attract attention amid the ongoing row over MTN deal.

SpiceJet will be in action again amid reports that it has apparently spurned Vijay Mallya's buyout offer and will instead go for private placement with billionaire US investor Wilbur Ross

Shares of First Winner Industries Ltd. will be listed today.

Today's Pick - Sterlite Industries

We recommend a sell in Sterlite Industries India from a short-term perspective. It is evident from the charts of Sterlite Industries India that it has been on a long-term downtrend from its all-time high of Rs 1,140 (recorded in early December 2007). In early June 2008, the stock declined breaching the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Moreover, in the recent times, the stock tested the key support level Rs 700 and broke out by tumbling almost 8 per cent on July 3 with good volume. The daily and weekly relative strength indices are featuring in the bearish zone. In line with the stock price, the moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) is also declining in the negative territory. The medium-term down trend of the stock that commenced from Rs 950 level is intact. We are bearish on the stock in the short-term. We expect the stock’s decline to continue until it hits our price target of Rs 565 in the approaching trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining stop-loss at Rs 653.




Economic Front Page

Pharma companies have approached government seeking a review of prices control on key brand. (ET)

Shipping Industry has asked the finance ministry to reduce service tax and FBT. (ET)

New Port SEZ norms to be floated soon. (ET)

The Government plans regulator for tea industry. (FE)

The textile ministry plans not to impose ban on cotton export.(FE)

The Government to curb export of fertiliser raw materials like sulphuric acid, phosphoric acid, rubber and cotton. (BS)

Cotton import duty to be cut from 14% to nil. (BS)

The Government has approved allocation of 23 coking and non-coking coal blocks to leading steel, cement and power producers.

Market may remain volatile

Today, Nifty has support at 3,942 and resistance at 4,111 and BSE Sensex has support at 13,214 and resistance at 13,748.


L&T can be bought at the current level and decline upto Rs.2,365 with a stop of Rs.2,346. The key level is Rs.2,414 above which it will touch Rs.2,444 .. Rs.2,469 .. Rs.2,483

Sugar might see some more action on firming global prices and also short fall of Sugarcane crop in Pakistan.

IT as sector at this point of time. No doubt the Q1 numbers that will come out of Infy boardroom will be positive and the profits will be better than expected, boosted by currency gains

BUY IT,Sugar n Fertilizer stock

Buy Rpower only if n- deal rumours comes

Can see Positive closing?????????????

Inflation expected to 11.88 to 11.96 % for the week .

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we expect the main indices to soften a little bit

Nifty at a support of 4008 and 3946 with resistance at 4150 and 4223 levels

Buy : Infy at dips, Infact IT stock

The European Central Bank (ECB) is all set to hike rates today to contain inflation. If the ECB indeed raises rates, the euro will strengthen against the dollar, which may push oil further up.

Some technical analysts suggest that good times may return soon. Their contention is that the Nifty rebounded from a level which marked 50% correction from the lows of May 2004, when the current bull run began


Economic Front Page

The Centre has decided to initiate decontrol of the sugar industry from the new crushing season, beginning October. (BL)

The Government may ease service tax norms for truckers. (BS)

The Karnataka government set to scrap Rs300bn petroleum, chemicals and petrochemicals investment region (PCPIR) project. (BS)

The steel ministry has summoned steel producers to discuss retail prices and export figures. (BS)

PF Act likely to cover firms with 10 employees. (BL)

The soaring global food prices will adversely impact government finances in countries like India, says S&P. (FE)

The Government to liberalizing the 10% mandatory cap on price hike of drugs outside the price control. (ET)

India to have 737mn mobile users by 2012, says Gartner. (ET)

3G spectrum auctions not before the year end. (TOI)

There is no threat from Blackberry services, says Telecom Secretary Siddharth Behura.

Vijay Mallya may acquire a stake in SpiceJet

Stocks may shine, avoid the trap!

Overall view about markets today : Markets will be opening in positive zone with a marginal gap of 10-15 points on positive side of Sensex . Markets will be witnessing huge volatility , due to erratic behaviour of CRUDE , POLITIANS HAVE BECOME VERY RUDE , and both are making
investors and traders PERFECTLY NUDE. . Markets will be having very uncertainy at close

Buy ongc, IT stock ,Cement stock

Today, Nifty has support at 3,787 and resistance at 3,965 and BSE Sensex has support at 12,513 and resistance at 13,212.

The market may well rebound after Tuesday's pounding. At such times, beaten down stocks will suddenly have the wow factor, especially when the indices are in the green. Resist the temptation. We reiterate our warning that the pullback may not last long. Remain extremely cautious in this market whether one is trading or investing

Action in cement buy them
Cement prices likely to increase by 3/bag in Mumbai, Gujarat and southern markets from next week

Drowning Street…avoid getting wet

Sejal Architectural Glass having issued shares at Rs 115 is likely to list around Rs 120 with not much investors’ interest. In view of good subscription momentum play is not likely in the near term.

Sell rcom in train lots n book profit on time

Market Grape Wine :

In House :

Nifty at a support of 3910 and 3970 with resistance at 4100 and 4160 levels.

Cash: Sell BAJAJ HIND below 165 TGT154 with S/L 169.

Cash Buy INFOSYS above 1750 TGT 1790 with S/L 1730

Future: sell HDFC below 1982 TGT 1914 with S/L 2010



The Indian stock market has been one of the worst performers in the first half (down 34%). We have China for company in this dubious club. In fact, it is even worse off with a negative return of 48%. The Dow in the US has lost 14.4% so far this year, and is on the brink of entering the official territory for bear market.

For the day we could see the key indices opening on a cautious to slightly higher note. There is no clear trend emerging from the global markets at this point in time. Some markets are slightly down while some others are modestly up. Oil has cooled off to $140 per barrel after hitting $143.67 in electronic trading yesterday. However, this is still quite a bit high and only a drop to $100-110 levels will bring cheers to the stock markets.





Today's Pick -Essar Oil

We recommend a sell in Essar Oil from a short-term perspective. From the charts of the Essar Oil, we see that it has been on a long-term down trend from its 52-week high of Rs 360 recorded in early January 2008. On June 30, the stock conclusively broke through the key support level at Rs 200 where the 200-day moving average is positioned and tumbled 11 per cent accompanied by above average volume.

The daily relative strength index is featuring in the bearish zone and the weekly RSI is on the brink of entering this zone. The daily moving average convergence and divergence is also declining and is featuring in the negative territory, reinforcing our bearish stance.

The long-term down trendline of the stock is intact. Considering the above bearish facts we are negative on the stock in the short-term and expect its decline to prolong until it hits our price target of Rs 158 in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining a stop-loss at Rs 185.