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Asian Markets off to a flyer

Dalal Street is likely to witness a gap opening today with higher chances of a decent close on positive Wall Street, followed by rally in Asian Markets on Wednesday.

News Bytes

* Merck ends pact with Ranbaxy

* NMDC gets green nod for Himachal limestone project

* Gitanjali Gems likely to close PE deal by Feb

* Indian Bank plans insurance foray

* Gujarat NRE sees floods raising coking coal demand

* Suzlon chairman says ‘no question’ of family exiting

* Dr Reddy’s to contest Pfizer’s patent suit

* Keep hiking rates to cool inflation: IMF

RBI - Rate hike Fears?

While stories in media suggest that RBI might hike rates again and markets are jittery on the same. We believe a rate hike in January is already factored in and do not expect a major hiccup in the short term. We expect a 25 bps hike in Interest rates.

Slow down in FII Inflows?

Analysts are expecting a slow down in the FII inflows in the new year. We expect a thumping number in the first quarter followed by a cool-off, only to pick up in the second half of the year.

Nifty - Takes support at 6070

Nifty took support at 6070 but failed to cross 6170. A cross above 6170 might take Nifty to 6300 levels. Stay invested as global indicators point to a January rally.

Expect a subdued opening and lacklustre trade in the first half

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Indian equities might see a flattish opening and a lacklustre trade in the morning session of trade today on flattish global markets. Investors abandoned red-hot commodity shares on Tuesday, while fears of lower supermarket profits hit food retailers, sending the S&P and Nasdaq lower while Dow Jones closed in the green.

Asian markets are trading mixed with Shangai taking a knock of nearly one percent and Nikkei trading flat.

News Bytes

* L&T to be split into nine independent entities

* Natco seeks Pfizer nod for HIV drug clone

* Maruti sales jump 17% in Dec, exports drop 29%

* Lakshmi Vilas Bank eyes QIP in February-March

* Max India to seek shareholders nod to invest Rs 750 cr

* Iconix signs licensing deal with Arvind for Mossimo

* Cement overcapacity set to double inside two years

* Dishman eyes $20-25 million revenues from China API unit

* IGate, Apax set to buy Patni in 3-stage deal for around $1 bn

* FDI dips 7% to $1.6 bn in November

* RPower targets 1,000 MW renewable capacity

Markets - Some more consolidation before take off

We expect markets are likely to spend some more time in this band before the take off.Bearish signs are not in sight and we do not expect major correction till March-April this year. Till then it is time to ride the rally. Midcap and smallcap stocks will outperform large caps this year on account of thumping performance

Asian markets on the run, D-Street to extend the rally

Indian stocks are likely to extend the four day rally on Tuesday on positive global cues and overnight gains in the US market. Wall Street stocks posted strong gains of roughly 1% during 2011's first trading session as promising manufacturing and construction data bolstered confidence in the U.S. economy's recovery prospects. Stocks are expected to rally in January, potentially marking 2011 as the year investors returned in number to the equities market.

Asian Markets are trading in the green on Tuesday.

News Bytes

* Nalanda Capital hikes Voltamp stake to 8%

* Lupin settles litigation over Lunesta with Japanese firm

* Patni-iGate deal hit by procedural delays

* Exports rise 26.5% in Nov, may exceed $200-bn target

* Rubber output up in Dec; consumption drops 1.3%

* ACC, Ambuja despatches rise in December

* KEC International strengthens order book to Rs7,500-8,000 crore

* Reliance Cap’s unit buys 26% stake in ICEX from Indiabulls

Railway Stocks might cut loose

Its time for the Railway budget stocks to spike up. Kalindee Rail, Titagarh Wagons, Texmaco and Kernex are the ideal bets in this space. Realty and Infra started showing momentum and might inch up today also. Second rung IT looks promising while Banks and Autos will be pushed to the back burner.

We had a decent start to the F&O segment while our latest swing trade call is on the move with gains of 8 pct till date.

New trading year likely to start with a bang

Dalal Street is likely to open in the green on the first trading day of year 2011 on the back of positive global cues. Inflows are expected to be a major booster for the markets in the next two months. One should not be surprised if the markets run up another 10 pct in two months.

News Bytes

* iGate cancels announcement of deal with Patni

* External debt exceeds forex reserves after 7 yrs

* Tata Steel, Nippon to ink Rs 2,400-cr JV by Jan-end

* Govt explores capping FDI in pharma

* NTPC to set up 4,000 MW unit in Vizag

* China manufacturing growth slows

Get ready for the run

While technically FIIs start punching cash orders from the second week of January, we believe the rush for midcap and smallcap stocks is likely to continue this week too. With Q3 numbers round the corner, the onus is on the frontliners to deliver goods.

Kalindee, Titagarh are looking good while Coal stocks are likely to see massive interest on the back of Australian floods. Realty stocks are looking interesting too.

Year 2010 : Nifty up 18 pct, Sensex up 17 pct

Dalal Street might wrap up the last day of the year with a ranged trade as traders look forward to new year celebrations. Year 2010 delivered excellent returns to investors.

Nikkei and Kospi were closed today on account of holidays.

News Bytes

* iGate to control Patni with 60% stake buy

* Citi, Goldman plan to buy 5% in Reliance Broadcast

* Manganese Ore in talks with Gabon: source

* SBI to raise Rs 12,000 cr from bonds by Mar 2012

* K S Oils to allot 1.64 cr shares to promoters

* SSWL commences Wheels Rims supply to Tata Motors

* Food inflation accelerates to 10-week high

* PNB seeks partners for insurance business

Market Outlook

Nifty delivered a surprise visit to 6100 levels, hitting all call writers till 6000 levels. We believe Markets might see new highs soon. With fresh inflows expect in January this time it might be unstoppable for Markets to hit new highs.

Stay invested.

Nifty eyes 6100

Dalal Street is likely to head north after excellent gains yesterday with Nifty eyeing 6100, causing pain to 6000 strike call writers. On the wall street stocks indexes finish with small gains and remain on pace for their best December in nearly 20 years.

The Standard and Poor's 500-stock index is up 6.7 percent for the month. If it closes Friday at this level or higher, it will be the index's best December return since 1991. Japanese stocks declined as auto shares decline on a strengthening yen and concern about Chinese moves to curb car-buying.

News Bytes

* Suzlon sees revival, needs more cash just to survive

* PNB still interested in insurance sector, seeks JV

* NTPC likely to float Rs 18,000-cr tender

* SAIL FPO in Jan, ONGC in March, IOC deferred

* Godrej Properties signs development pact with Addison & Co

* Unity Infra to launch three Nagpur malls by mid-2012

* India Inc raises Rs2 trillion in decade via IPOs

Markets - Expiry moves, volumes low

FIIs were busy seen buying Index Futures and Index options as if it was a regular trading day. Volumes were on the higher side in the F&O segment. Major players appear to be active in the F&O segment. Speculative bets are back in the reckoning but we advice investors to stay cautious with these counters. Choose stocks with good fundamentals.