US Markets resumed the slide yesterday after one day of pull back rally on Friday despite economic data falling in line with expectations. Indian market strength is weak, presumed from the last 2 sessions.
Reliance grabs EIH stake
Reliance Industries Ltd. paid Rs 1,021 crore, which is a 22 per cent premium on the company’s current market price of Rs 151 a share, valuing EIH at Rs 7,200 crore. RIL bought 14.2% stake from EIH Ltd. promoter P R S Oberoi and two other promoter entities, Oberoi Hotels Pvt Ltd and Aravali Polymers LLP. Reliance will not participate in the management activities and is treating this investment as a diversifying act.
Hotel & Entertainment stocks are likely to witness strong action in today's trade following this news.
Q1 GDP
The official GDP, a measure of a country's overall official economic output, figures for first fiscal quarter ended June will be released on today. While economists expect 8.6% to 9.2 % growth rate for the Q1 ending June, we at DStreet believe consolidation in economic growth will be witnessed in the coming quarters.
Market momentum will be impacted by Q1 GDP numbers.
Lackluster trading
Markets lack conviction and rightly so the retail investor participation is at a low. We believe this time the retail investor is correct in his own terms and any decent correction will see him taking a plunge into the market.
Lot of cash on sidelines will provide a cushion to the slide in the market. We are in for a long term bull market but yes not with out a meaningful correction
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Monday, August 30, 2010
Asia Bulls on a honeymoon,Indian stocks to gap up
Japanese benchmark index Nikkei spiked up considerably today on the back of short covering and BOJ meet. Japanese currency Yen is on a song in the last few weeks, hitting the country's exporters hard. BOJ(Bank of Japan) is most likely to take measures to curb the currency's dream run.
Dalal Street to gap up
D-Street is set to open higher today on the back of positive global cues. US Markets closed with a good gain on Friday and today Asian opens strong enough for Dalal Street bulls to prepare for a decent open.
Here is the catch while many of the global markets are in the midst of a correction, India just started the same. While for today's trade we are cautiously optimistic and bearish for the coming weeks. September might turn out deadly for Indian markets for various reasons.
Analysts expect India's GDP to top out for Apr-June quarter, we at DStreet agree on the same. Indian economy will go soft for next couple of quarters. But softening economy is definitely a good sign after a year and half period's dramatic rise. The softening economy will not deter foreign investments and in fact we believe every major sector in India will get re-rated in the next one year as we gear up for a multi-year bull run but not with out another correction creating confusion among investors
Stocks that are likely to witness action on Monday morning
DNA reports that DB Realty Ltd. is in talks with private equity firms for selling 20% stake in its Bandra Government Colony project
Sesa Goa Ltd. is planning to diversify into steelmaking with an investment of Rs 6,000-9,000 crore, in Orissa and Jharkand - BS
Public sector mining firms NMDC Ltd and Coal India are forming a joint venture with West Bengal Mineral Development and Trading Company to acquire one of the largest coal blocks in the country having reserves of around 19 billion tonnes - ET
Tech Mahindra Ltd. CEO Sanjay Kalra has resigned from the firm after spending around six years in its management.
Jay Shree Tea & Inds. Ltd. (JTIL), a BK Birla Group company, is eyeing tea estates in Rwanda.
PSU Oil India Ltd (OIL) is likely to form a joint venture (JV) with a US-based shale gas company to acquire shale gas assets globally, a top official said
Many stock specific stories are planted in the media and investors are advised to check the depth of fundamentals before taking a stab. We expect markets to gap up and lose some of its gains but close in the green today.
Read : 5 Notable stocks that resisted Friday's carnage
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
Kamat Hotels (India) Ltd.
DB Realty Ltd.
Spice Mobility Ltd.
Aarti Industries Ltd.
Dalal Street to gap up
D-Street is set to open higher today on the back of positive global cues. US Markets closed with a good gain on Friday and today Asian opens strong enough for Dalal Street bulls to prepare for a decent open.
Here is the catch while many of the global markets are in the midst of a correction, India just started the same. While for today's trade we are cautiously optimistic and bearish for the coming weeks. September might turn out deadly for Indian markets for various reasons.
Analysts expect India's GDP to top out for Apr-June quarter, we at DStreet agree on the same. Indian economy will go soft for next couple of quarters. But softening economy is definitely a good sign after a year and half period's dramatic rise. The softening economy will not deter foreign investments and in fact we believe every major sector in India will get re-rated in the next one year as we gear up for a multi-year bull run but not with out another correction creating confusion among investors
Stocks that are likely to witness action on Monday morning
DNA reports that DB Realty Ltd. is in talks with private equity firms for selling 20% stake in its Bandra Government Colony project
Sesa Goa Ltd. is planning to diversify into steelmaking with an investment of Rs 6,000-9,000 crore, in Orissa and Jharkand - BS
Public sector mining firms NMDC Ltd and Coal India are forming a joint venture with West Bengal Mineral Development and Trading Company to acquire one of the largest coal blocks in the country having reserves of around 19 billion tonnes - ET
Tech Mahindra Ltd. CEO Sanjay Kalra has resigned from the firm after spending around six years in its management.
Jay Shree Tea & Inds. Ltd. (JTIL), a BK Birla Group company, is eyeing tea estates in Rwanda.
PSU Oil India Ltd (OIL) is likely to form a joint venture (JV) with a US-based shale gas company to acquire shale gas assets globally, a top official said
Many stock specific stories are planted in the media and investors are advised to check the depth of fundamentals before taking a stab. We expect markets to gap up and lose some of its gains but close in the green today.
Read : 5 Notable stocks that resisted Friday's carnage
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
Kamat Hotels (India) Ltd.
DB Realty Ltd.
Spice Mobility Ltd.
Aarti Industries Ltd.
Friday, August 27, 2010
Stocks on Wall Street tumble again, Dow loses 658 points in 11 sessions
Dalal Street open might open marginally in the red on negative cues from the overseas markets.
Global Market - Snapshot
US stocks tumbled Thursday, with the Dow index closing below the sensitive 10,000 level for the first time in nearly two months, as traders braced for a sharp revision of US economic growth. Medium term outlook remains bearish according to our US based analyst Satish Bhogadi.
Nikkei, the Japanese benchmark index is trading down 1 pct today at 8823 levels, while Australian Index shaved off 0.29 pct.
New F&O series - New hopes
September's series will kick in with out much fan fare. We do expect fireworks to the downside in the markets next month. For now we believe Indian markets are decently valued and only fresh inflows can change the valuations. Indian markets trade near to 18X forward earnings and we will see a multiple of 23-25 in the coming years. Domestic consumption matra is getting stronger and longer and that should be considered as of the major de-coupling theory for Indian market from rest of the globe.
For today expect few midcaps and smallcaps to make some noise while largecaps extend their vacation
Global Market - Snapshot
US stocks tumbled Thursday, with the Dow index closing below the sensitive 10,000 level for the first time in nearly two months, as traders braced for a sharp revision of US economic growth. Medium term outlook remains bearish according to our US based analyst Satish Bhogadi.
Nikkei, the Japanese benchmark index is trading down 1 pct today at 8823 levels, while Australian Index shaved off 0.29 pct.
New F&O series - New hopes
September's series will kick in with out much fan fare. We do expect fireworks to the downside in the markets next month. For now we believe Indian markets are decently valued and only fresh inflows can change the valuations. Indian markets trade near to 18X forward earnings and we will see a multiple of 23-25 in the coming years. Domestic consumption matra is getting stronger and longer and that should be considered as of the major de-coupling theory for Indian market from rest of the globe.
For today expect few midcaps and smallcaps to make some noise while largecaps extend their vacation
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Nifty eyes 5500 levels, global metal stocks weak
Indian markets will go through a volatile session today as F&O expiry is likely to weigh on traders.
Global Markets
US Market fared better on wednesday despite of weak durable goods orders. Asian markets started flat today with Japenese market slipping into red after Yen made another move towards the highs. Austrailia stocks are trading flat with mining stocks trading weak.
Indian Markets - Expiry hangover
F&O expiry is always tricky and with Nifty hovering between 5400 and 5500 levels it is a tough day ahead. Ideally Nifty is expected to close near to the strike price on the last day causing max pain to traders. Metals, realty and auto pushed the markets lower yesterday. We expect realty sector to show some resilience today after back to back loses.
Speculative stocks - Hop on
Investors should be careful with stocks like Prakash Steelage, Usha Martin Education. While many of us have seen the new listing movies lot of times, it is ideal to sit back and watch the show instead of participating.
DStreet market analyst Venkata Srikanth says "We still believe markets have some more steam left before the carnage. We expect underperforming sectors like Hotels, Power to participate in the midcap rally. From an investor perspective we are advicing our clients to wait till September for a better entry point
Global Markets
US Market fared better on wednesday despite of weak durable goods orders. Asian markets started flat today with Japenese market slipping into red after Yen made another move towards the highs. Austrailia stocks are trading flat with mining stocks trading weak.
Indian Markets - Expiry hangover
F&O expiry is always tricky and with Nifty hovering between 5400 and 5500 levels it is a tough day ahead. Ideally Nifty is expected to close near to the strike price on the last day causing max pain to traders. Metals, realty and auto pushed the markets lower yesterday. We expect realty sector to show some resilience today after back to back loses.
Speculative stocks - Hop on
Investors should be careful with stocks like Prakash Steelage, Usha Martin Education. While many of us have seen the new listing movies lot of times, it is ideal to sit back and watch the show instead of participating.
DStreet market analyst Venkata Srikanth says "We still believe markets have some more steam left before the carnage. We expect underperforming sectors like Hotels, Power to participate in the midcap rally. From an investor perspective we are advicing our clients to wait till September for a better entry point
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
US Markets slide, D-Street gear up for selling tide
US Markets extended their nightmarish run after pending Home sales dropped a record 27.2% in July.
Global news
Japanese currency Yen hit a 15-month high against the Greenback (USD) on investors shunning equities and commodities. Japanese central bank might intervene soon. In another interesting development which might ignite memories of recent Euro crisis, S&P downgraded Ireland's rating to 'AA-'. Global economy along with the equity markets face tough times ahead
How long will India be resilient ?
Indian economy fortunately was driven by local factors along with FII inflows. While India has been the hottest destination for FIIs in the last 18 months, domestic consumption story might keep Indian market alive. But there are many ifs and buts attached to the market upmove. If global markets continue to slide and India stays on the sidelines there is a fear that citing cheaper valuations else where FIIs might exit Indian markets in favour of better returns.
With F&O expiry slated for tomorrow we do not expect a massive downside to the market. Having said that we are confident of a quick but major correction unwinding sometime next month.
Global news
Japanese currency Yen hit a 15-month high against the Greenback (USD) on investors shunning equities and commodities. Japanese central bank might intervene soon. In another interesting development which might ignite memories of recent Euro crisis, S&P downgraded Ireland's rating to 'AA-'. Global economy along with the equity markets face tough times ahead
How long will India be resilient ?
Indian economy fortunately was driven by local factors along with FII inflows. While India has been the hottest destination for FIIs in the last 18 months, domestic consumption story might keep Indian market alive. But there are many ifs and buts attached to the market upmove. If global markets continue to slide and India stays on the sidelines there is a fear that citing cheaper valuations else where FIIs might exit Indian markets in favour of better returns.
With F&O expiry slated for tomorrow we do not expect a massive downside to the market. Having said that we are confident of a quick but major correction unwinding sometime next month.
Monday, August 23, 2010
Dalal Street to open flat
Mixed global cues greet Dalal Street when it opens for trade on Monday. Asian markets are largely in the red except one or two markets. Australia after opening in the red moved swiftly into green after the country's general election is headed towards a hung. Expectations are building up on new government to abolish the mining tax. US markets recovered from the lows of the day but still ended in red on Friday.
Global M&A deals are on the rise. Reports suggest world's No. 2 beer maker SABMiller PLC is interested in Foster's Group Ltd., the largest brewer in Australia with the approximate deal value pegged at USD 10.9 billion
What is the next theme ?
DStreet Analysts still feel there is some more steam in the sector rotation theme and there are two possible themes after sector rotation, while one is the group theme and then the small cap theme. We have seen the group theme kicked out on Friday with Jindal group stocks jumping from no where. Other major groups include Birla, Tata, Ambani and few more. And finally the small cap theme which might mark the end of the current bull run at least for the short term.
Under performing Sectors
Sectors that are under performing the market include Shipping, Power, Infrastructure, Hotels, Metals etc. We acknowledge that the pep-talk among the FII community is turning bearish on India or Overbought. Investors are advised to stay cautious but medium term outlook remains bullish
Global M&A deals are on the rise. Reports suggest world's No. 2 beer maker SABMiller PLC is interested in Foster's Group Ltd., the largest brewer in Australia with the approximate deal value pegged at USD 10.9 billion
What is the next theme ?
DStreet Analysts still feel there is some more steam in the sector rotation theme and there are two possible themes after sector rotation, while one is the group theme and then the small cap theme. We have seen the group theme kicked out on Friday with Jindal group stocks jumping from no where. Other major groups include Birla, Tata, Ambani and few more. And finally the small cap theme which might mark the end of the current bull run at least for the short term.
Under performing Sectors
Sectors that are under performing the market include Shipping, Power, Infrastructure, Hotels, Metals etc. We acknowledge that the pep-talk among the FII community is turning bearish on India or Overbought. Investors are advised to stay cautious but medium term outlook remains bullish
Friday, August 20, 2010
Stocks Set For Shaky Start
US Markets tumbled thanks to dismal regional manufacturing data and after US jobless claims jumped to a nine month high. Indian markets might receive a jolt in the form of overseas cues when they open for trading on Friday morning.
Overseas markets
Taking a cue from US markets, Asia tumbled in the early morning trades. Japan's Nikkei fell 1.4% to 9,232.6 while Australian market was down by 1.14 pct at 4,428.10DStreet US based analyst Satish Bhogadi commenting on yesterday's trade in the US markets said "US economy is deteriorating gradually. We stick to our ealier S&P SELL target of 950. We see more pain in the second quarter as US Manufacturing slowdown will continue."
In another intersting M&A (Merger & Acquisition) deal world's largest computer chip maker Intel paid $48 per share to acquire antivirus company McAfee.The deal is valued at $7.68 billion.
Inflation worries ease
Food inflation eased to to 10.35 pct from 11.4 pct much to the relief of regulators. RBI went on a rate hiking spree to curb inflation. The reserve bank also hinted of another hike in September. Inflation is expected to further ease in the coming days.
“We may raise inflation forecast for India in our next Economic Outlook slated for September 28. It may depend on how Monsoon plays out,” said cheif economist of Asian Development Bank (ADB) Jong-Wha Lee.
Markets gung-ho
Indian markets are gung-ho on upbeat economic outlook. But troubles in the form of global economic situation, another round of rate hike from RBI await. We will see a gap down open today on the back of global cues but the intrinsic strength in the market is still bullish and it is highly unlikely we might end deep in the red.
Sector rotation continues it was Cement, Airlines and midcap pharma that shined on the street. Watch out for untouched sectors like Power, Infra, Paper, Metals, Telecom, Engineering and Sugar.
Overseas markets
Taking a cue from US markets, Asia tumbled in the early morning trades. Japan's Nikkei fell 1.4% to 9,232.6 while Australian market was down by 1.14 pct at 4,428.10DStreet US based analyst Satish Bhogadi commenting on yesterday's trade in the US markets said "US economy is deteriorating gradually. We stick to our ealier S&P SELL target of 950. We see more pain in the second quarter as US Manufacturing slowdown will continue."
In another intersting M&A (Merger & Acquisition) deal world's largest computer chip maker Intel paid $48 per share to acquire antivirus company McAfee.The deal is valued at $7.68 billion.
Inflation worries ease
Food inflation eased to to 10.35 pct from 11.4 pct much to the relief of regulators. RBI went on a rate hiking spree to curb inflation. The reserve bank also hinted of another hike in September. Inflation is expected to further ease in the coming days.
“We may raise inflation forecast for India in our next Economic Outlook slated for September 28. It may depend on how Monsoon plays out,” said cheif economist of Asian Development Bank (ADB) Jong-Wha Lee.
Markets gung-ho
Indian markets are gung-ho on upbeat economic outlook. But troubles in the form of global economic situation, another round of rate hike from RBI await. We will see a gap down open today on the back of global cues but the intrinsic strength in the market is still bullish and it is highly unlikely we might end deep in the red.
Sector rotation continues it was Cement, Airlines and midcap pharma that shined on the street. Watch out for untouched sectors like Power, Infra, Paper, Metals, Telecom, Engineering and Sugar.
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