Markets closed flat only to start sliding further after hours despite of better numbers from the likes of Ebay, Starbux and Qualcomm. This clearly
indicates tiredness in the rally. Asian markets are trading weak today.
Indian markets continued to trade with a negative bias and we might see 1 or 2 big down sessions coming on the way. Midcap rally continue to
gain momentum with more stocks joining the party. We expect this to burst in 1-2 week time frame.
Realty and banking counters attracted much interest yesterday from punters after the rate hike. Brandhouse Retails gained 18 pct to Rs 56 levels nearing our
target given some time back...We like the space and we have another stock in the sector, getting ready to change gears.
There are two ways to play this midcap rally. One to trade jumping in and out and other way is to sit out. Again we remind May is ahead and
remain extremely cautious.
JGS Investments is a home of expert stockmarket analysts, and premier source for technical analysts research and information on Indian Stock Markets.Just join us at Yahoo Messenger sheth_jg@yahoo.com OR Email at sheth_jg@yahoo.com
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
D-Street likely to go range bound
Nifty Calls given on sms only for paid memebers
US Markets are trying to settle down from a mini-Goldman Tsunami that tried to threaten the bulls. After hours tech giant Apple Inc hit the market with stunning numbers sending the shares higher.
Asian markets are currently trading higher on positive global cues and higher energy prices. RBI finally hiked interest rates, inline with expectations much to the relief of investing community. But the underlying strength is still missing and this month F&O expiry might be extremely volatile.
While tech sector in India too is showing highly positive momentum for the next 2-3 years, Realty is still not out of woods. Unitech's de-merger might show some interest in the stock. Midcaps continued to run and we attribute majority of it to operator driven moves. One should be extremely catious in dealing with such securities.
A correction is good for the health of global equity markets and it is hard to come. The more this gets pushed up the chances grow high for a mini-bubble. It is better to trade these markets instead of investing for short term. Long term investors can still call the shots
US Markets are trying to settle down from a mini-Goldman Tsunami that tried to threaten the bulls. After hours tech giant Apple Inc hit the market with stunning numbers sending the shares higher.
Asian markets are currently trading higher on positive global cues and higher energy prices. RBI finally hiked interest rates, inline with expectations much to the relief of investing community. But the underlying strength is still missing and this month F&O expiry might be extremely volatile.
While tech sector in India too is showing highly positive momentum for the next 2-3 years, Realty is still not out of woods. Unitech's de-merger might show some interest in the stock. Midcaps continued to run and we attribute majority of it to operator driven moves. One should be extremely catious in dealing with such securities.
A correction is good for the health of global equity markets and it is hard to come. The more this gets pushed up the chances grow high for a mini-bubble. It is better to trade these markets instead of investing for short term. Long term investors can still call the shots
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Stop : 5-Day losing streak
US Markets took a U-turn in the afternoon session after sliding in the first half. Tomorrow is another critical day on wall street as Goldie
declares its numbers. It has been a concept of "selling on news" or discount theory at play on the wall street. Despite of better earnings from
IBM, Citigroup stocks seem to have discounted the same.
Back to domestic markets TCS posted impressive quarterly numbers though revenue growth is not exciting enough. RBI is likely to deliver the much
expected rate hike today. A 50 basis point cut is expected broadly and atleast for a day or two D-Street might try to recover part of the loses incurred
in the last 5 sessions.
As mentioned many times stay away from second rung stocks like HOVS etc which are purely controlled by operators. Realestate, banks are the two major sectors
for the day today. Auto might get the stick.
Stock to watch : Indowind Energy, DS Kulkarni, Gokul Refoils
declares its numbers. It has been a concept of "selling on news" or discount theory at play on the wall street. Despite of better earnings from
IBM, Citigroup stocks seem to have discounted the same.
Back to domestic markets TCS posted impressive quarterly numbers though revenue growth is not exciting enough. RBI is likely to deliver the much
expected rate hike today. A 50 basis point cut is expected broadly and atleast for a day or two D-Street might try to recover part of the loses incurred
in the last 5 sessions.
As mentioned many times stay away from second rung stocks like HOVS etc which are purely controlled by operators. Realestate, banks are the two major sectors
for the day today. Auto might get the stick.
Stock to watch : Indowind Energy, DS Kulkarni, Gokul Refoils
Monday, April 19, 2010
Government" Sachs gets the stick, equities freak
(4/16/2010 8:43:03 AM): (4/9/2010 2:04:17 PM): guys buy only if ur convient with sl else remain nil coz v r expecting 200 points correction in nifty in coming days MARKET TO TEST 5175
Goldman Sachs popularly called as "Government" sachs by envies in the broking circles was charged on friday by SEC for fradulent dealings in CDOs. The news sent jitters across the globe pushing equities down in all major stock exchanges on the globe.
While the impact of the news ideally is not huge but the stock market is just looking for an excuse to correct and D-Street is already in the midst of a much awaited correction. RBI meeting tomorrow is likely to create high levels of volatility in the Indian market too.
We are uncomfortable with the current rally from the last 4-6 months though we participated in bits and pieces. Bears might have an upper hand in the next
2-3 months...
Goldman Sachs popularly called as "Government" sachs by envies in the broking circles was charged on friday by SEC for fradulent dealings in CDOs. The news sent jitters across the globe pushing equities down in all major stock exchanges on the globe.
While the impact of the news ideally is not huge but the stock market is just looking for an excuse to correct and D-Street is already in the midst of a much awaited correction. RBI meeting tomorrow is likely to create high levels of volatility in the Indian market too.
We are uncomfortable with the current rally from the last 4-6 months though we participated in bits and pieces. Bears might have an upper hand in the next
2-3 months...
Friday, April 16, 2010
Talk about interest rate hike causes market jitters
Nifty above 5305 is in BULLS Hands
Stocks on D-Street might trade in a narrow range,after the Sensex lost more than a percent on Thursday due to profit booking. Do not expect a big rally in the indices, as it is clearly evident that there is lack of support at higher levels.
It looks like the market is in a selling mode, as traders expect the central bank to raise rates at its meeting on April 20. The inflation numbers for the month came in at a 17 month high adding fuel to fire. So the momentum is clearly in the favor of bears for now and any up move could be used to book profits or trim your holdings. There is good amount of selling in banking sector and this is likely to continue in the next week or so. Stay away from the Banking stocks.
There were some fire works in select Midcap stocks like Prime Securities, Kamat Hotels and Excel Infoways, which managed to register double digit gains. We recommend Shorting banks like IndusInd and Development Credit Bank for bears, who would like to short the stocks. It is not advisable to take bullish positions in the current market scenario and one could take stocks of the market in the later part of next week after the RBI meeting.
Stocks on D-Street might trade in a narrow range,after the Sensex lost more than a percent on Thursday due to profit booking. Do not expect a big rally in the indices, as it is clearly evident that there is lack of support at higher levels.
It looks like the market is in a selling mode, as traders expect the central bank to raise rates at its meeting on April 20. The inflation numbers for the month came in at a 17 month high adding fuel to fire. So the momentum is clearly in the favor of bears for now and any up move could be used to book profits or trim your holdings. There is good amount of selling in banking sector and this is likely to continue in the next week or so. Stay away from the Banking stocks.
There were some fire works in select Midcap stocks like Prime Securities, Kamat Hotels and Excel Infoways, which managed to register double digit gains. We recommend Shorting banks like IndusInd and Development Credit Bank for bears, who would like to short the stocks. It is not advisable to take bullish positions in the current market scenario and one could take stocks of the market in the later part of next week after the RBI meeting.
Thursday, April 15, 2010
FOR MEMBERS CHECK UR MESSENGER & SMS
FOR NON-PAID MEMBERS - WE POST OUR NIFTY VIEW EVERYDAY AT 2:45 PM - PAID MEMBER CHECK THEIR EMAIL - !! WE ALL DAY POST HERE THOSE CALL ARE HIT THE TGT OR STOP LOSS
THOSE WHO SUBSCRIBE OUR NEWS LETTER + OTHER PLANS THEY GET NEWS LETTER BY EMAIL AT 8:30 AM. >
Strong Quarterly numbers from JP Morgan and Intel lifted the spirits of investors on Wall Street sending Dow Jones higher by 100 points over the previous close to end at a 19 month high. The bull run started in March 2009, from the debris continues unabated.
While caution is the buzzword everywhere, many of the retail investors were left out in the current rally. Speculator/Operator activity is on a high and is likely to continue for some more time..We recommend investors to remind the popular phrase "Sell in May and go away". Valuations are no doubt stretched and stockmarkets need a cool off.
Given the current strength in cheap dollars driven rally, it is out of one's imagination how and when the correction would hit. While raising interest rates in the US is likely to be one key trigger, Chinese GDP has outperformed expectations and too much growth too early is definitely not what any central bank wants...Watch out for interest rate jitters in the next one month..
Indian economy is growing leaps and bounds but needs a cool off too before the next take off...Raising like a phoenix is dangerous in terms of technicals. V-Shaped economic recoveries ideally lack sustainability.
Stocks to watch today : FSL, Kohinoor Foods
THOSE WHO SUBSCRIBE OUR NEWS LETTER + OTHER PLANS THEY GET NEWS LETTER BY EMAIL AT 8:30 AM. >
Strong Quarterly numbers from JP Morgan and Intel lifted the spirits of investors on Wall Street sending Dow Jones higher by 100 points over the previous close to end at a 19 month high. The bull run started in March 2009, from the debris continues unabated.
While caution is the buzzword everywhere, many of the retail investors were left out in the current rally. Speculator/Operator activity is on a high and is likely to continue for some more time..We recommend investors to remind the popular phrase "Sell in May and go away". Valuations are no doubt stretched and stockmarkets need a cool off.
Given the current strength in cheap dollars driven rally, it is out of one's imagination how and when the correction would hit. While raising interest rates in the US is likely to be one key trigger, Chinese GDP has outperformed expectations and too much growth too early is definitely not what any central bank wants...Watch out for interest rate jitters in the next one month..
Indian economy is growing leaps and bounds but needs a cool off too before the next take off...Raising like a phoenix is dangerous in terms of technicals. V-Shaped economic recoveries ideally lack sustainability.
Stocks to watch today : FSL, Kohinoor Foods
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Follow nifty trend just dont blindly short/long
US Markets managed to close above 11,000 benchmark, its 18 month high. But as usual the rally looks tired and might crack down on any hint of bad news. Asia is trading down with Nikkei sliding 110 points at the time of writing.
For the time being ULIP issue is burried with the Finance Ministry jumping in to broker a deal between SEBI and IRDA.
Infosys results will flag off the earnings season today. While Infosys as a trend decider has lost charm in the previous 2-3 earnings it still commands high respect from the IT group. Expect Infy to post better numbers while guidance may be muted and concerns might be raised in the currency front.
As always in this kind of run in the market we find many junkies moving up. The current rally is no exception and one should exercise caution here.
Keep a tab on hotel stocks Hotel Leela, Royal Orchid Hotels, Indian Hotels etc
For the time being ULIP issue is burried with the Finance Ministry jumping in to broker a deal between SEBI and IRDA.
Infosys results will flag off the earnings season today. While Infosys as a trend decider has lost charm in the previous 2-3 earnings it still commands high respect from the IT group. Expect Infy to post better numbers while guidance may be muted and concerns might be raised in the currency front.
As always in this kind of run in the market we find many junkies moving up. The current rally is no exception and one should exercise caution here.
Keep a tab on hotel stocks Hotel Leela, Royal Orchid Hotels, Indian Hotels etc
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