Thursday, January 7, 2010

Sensex to stay flat, Midcaps to remain in the limelight

Stocks on Dalal Street are likely to stay flat for the second day in a row as investors look for new triggers before before committing new funds to equities. However midcap stocks might continue their north bound journey as the party might extend for few more days

Healthcare and Realty stocks were among the sectors that showed some strength yesterday, while It remained subdued. We exoect metals to show some strength even in a flat market. Shipping is another space that is looking attractive and investors who want to bet on a global recovery in the coming quarters might take positions in stocks like GE Shipping and Shipping Corporation.Investors with risk appetite could look at Mercator Lines.

New listing DB Corp had a great listing yesterday. The stock, which was priced at Rs 212, ended the day at Rs 265.90, posting a gain of 25.42%. We recommend investors to book profits at Rs 274 level as the valuation will look stretched past the Rs 290 mark.Hilton Metal, Nahar Capital, Ucal Fuel and Pidilite Ind were other midcaps that were active in yesterday's trade.Traders could place their bets on stocks like Cubex Tubings, Bartronics, Jyoti Structures and Geojit Securities for quick return in the coming trading sessions

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Bulls to take a pause, Midcaps might continue their uptrend

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Stocks on Dalal Street are likely to trade flat as investors might take a pause after two days of rally in the markets. Expect the benchmark index or the Sensex to trade in aband of 50 to 75 points for the day. Midcaps are likely to maintain their momentum even in a flat market

Metal stocks took the honors for the day with sectoral index gaining 3.8 percent for the day. Aluminum stocks like Hindalco and Nalco gained on speculation of rise Chinese alumina prices.MTNL was another surprise gainer among the largecaps with a 10 percent gain for the day, on speculation that the real estate value might be unlocked in the near term.

The markets welcomed the new listing Godrej properties by bidding up the shares by more than 9 percent to Rs 536 level. SREI Infra, GSFC, Micro Tech and Shipping Corp were other gainers in the midcap space. Investors could look at taking short term positions in stocks like Geojit Securities, Exide Ind, Power Grid and Dhampur Sugars ahead of the positive news flow in these counters. Tanla Solutions might be a dark horse for the day. Overall, a flat day with the possibility of further gains in the Midcaps, is in the offing

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Stocks set to gain for the second day in a row

Indian markets are likely to gain for the second day in a row maintaining its winning streak for the year. Expect the benchmark index or the Sensex to gain more than one percent for the day. SGX Nifty futures up by more than one percent indicating a strong open for the day but the mood could turn a little sour later in the day.

Cement and Auto stocks remained strong with ACC taking the honors by gaining more than 5 percent for the day, while Tata Motors and M&M helped gains in the auto sector. We expect Metals and Real Estate stocks to outperform the rest of the pack today.

The much awaited Godrej Properties is likely to list this morning on the indices.The stocks is likely to trade close to Rs 500 level or nearly flat, close to the issue price of Rs 490.Midcaps and Smallcap indices outperformed the benchmark index by gaining more than 1.5 percent for the day.

Aditya Birla Money was locked in circuit for the second day in a row and more gains are likely in this stock, from current levels of Rs 58.Investors could bet on Geojit Securities as an alternative to this stock at Rs 42 level. There is a possibility of the stock touching Rs 52 in the near term.Patel Integrated, RCF and Bag Films are some of the stocks that were active and might gain further in the coming days

Monday, January 4, 2010

Sensex to open 2010 with gains

Stocks on Dalal Street begin the New Year an hour earlier marking the beginning of the new decade with new hours of operation. Expect the benchmark index to trade flat with some positive momentum. However, a run away rally is ruled out due to the correction we have seen in U.S markets on Friday.

Auto stocks could gain on the back of another month of strong sales volume.

Shares of JSW Energy will get listed on the bourses. Godrej Property will list on Tuesday and DB Corp on Wednesday

Crew Bos Products was one of the active counters with a gain of more than 17 percent for the day on the news of preferential allotment to the promoters. SEL manufatring was another scrip that was active on news of GDR offering. We recommend booking profits in both the scrips on another 10 percent raise.

We recommend short term traders to take positions in stocks like Clutch Auto, Prism Cement, Jyoti Structures and Exide Ind, as we expect positive new flow in these counters in the coming week. Overall a positive start for the year with fire works in select midcap counters is expected for the day

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

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New high in the offing

After a really long weekend, the market could be headed for a new high before bidding farewell to the year 2009. However, with only three trading sessions and F&O expiry one will have to brace for a volatile week. Trading might be thin, both here as well as overseas, as many players would have opted for an extended year-end holiday. As for today, we see a modestly higher opening for the key indices and sideways movement. We would urge some caution at this juncture, as the market has already had a spectacular rally this year.

The headroom for further advance is limited. One will have to be extremely choosy and careful

Our favorite Max India has announced that a private equity arm of Goldman Sachs. The company's board has approved a proposal to raise $115 million. The debentures will be converted at a price of Rs 215 and has a lock in period of 18 months. The scrip has closed at RS 224 and has the potential to appreciate by more than 50 percent in the next 12-18 months. We expect the stock to move side ways for the time being. This scrip is strictly for long term investors.

Midcap space as usual is hot and Deccan Chronicle is one stock one should watch out for ahead of some restructuring news some time today or tomorrow. Great offshore Ltd, Nilkamal Plastics, VIP Ind and Maytas Infra are some of the stocks that are showing great momentum and are worth taking a look for traders with risk appetite

Thursday, December 24, 2009

Stocks to maintain postive momentum after a big rally on Wednesday

While the bulls are eating Christmas cakes, the bears seem to be eating humble pie as the Nifty ended well above 5100 and is now eyeing a new high for 2009. Wednesday’s sudden surge would have taken many by surprise. We reiterate that further short covering is not ruled out ahead of the F&O expiry. Also, some long build-up may take place amid signs that the economy and India Inc. may do better.

But clearly, any rise will not be sustainable in the absence of incremental good news – local as well as global. Rich valuations and concerns on an impending reversal in stimulus steps are among the major headwinds. One should not get carried away by any sharp swings in the near term as the market remains in a consolidation phase. Today we expect a higher opening. Asian markets are mostly up. US market got a boost from technology space, though the blue chips closed flat. European shares hit 14-month high. With several holidays on the horizon, the market could yet again turn choppy and clueless.

Midcaps might outperform largecaps as they have not participated in the rally yesterday

Our favourite Hindalco gained more than 7 percent to close at RS 153. NTPC was another stock that has sprung to life after being subdued for a long time. The stock gained 7 percent to end the day at Rs 229. We have seen a broadbased rally with some window dressing by mutual funds coming in to play. There was some heavy year end fund buying in largecaps that helped the index. Expect some follow up buying today, but do not expect a repeat by the major indices today.

For a change, we have seen the Midcap and smallcap indices sidelined from the market activity as the Largecaps took the charge. Midcaps might make a come back today as they might catch up in today's trade. We recommend Deccan Chronicle for the second day in a row, even at these levels (Rs 168). also keep an eye on entertainment sector, watch out for stocks like NDTV, TV Today and last but not least Zee Entertainment Ltd.Penny pincher's might look at stocks like LML Ltd ad Lloyd Steel from a short term perspective